RKC Waalwijk at Ajax

Updated

RKC Waalwijk

2.8%7.1%90.1%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.54Projected Goals 3.47
2Final Score 3

Ajax

Last 5 Games

RKC Waalwijk
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Twente+225
L 2-0 vs Feyenoord+1100
L 1-3 at Willem II+225
W 1-2 vs Fortuna Sittard+140
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+420
Ajax
Money Line
W 1-0 at Willem II-775
W 0-5 vs Twente-600
W 0-3 vs Heracles Almelo-1000
W 2-1 at PSV Eindhoven-115
W 3-0 at Utrecht-220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
RKC Waalwijk+4000+4950+5000+3500-+3500+5000+4820.0
Ajax-2500-2445-5000-3333--3333-2445-1222.8
Draw+1400+1881+1700+1750-+1750+1881+1709.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
RKC Waalwijk-----+4820.0
Ajax------1222.8
Draw-----+1709.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
RKC Waalwijk: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

RKC Waalwijk: 20.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

RKC Waalwijk: 10.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

RKC Waalwijk ML moved from +4976 to +4726
Ajax ML moved from -2415 to -2445

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo4-118o4-196o4¾-102o4¾-106-o4¾-106o4-142o4¾+104
Underu4-102u4+173u4¾-118u4¾-114-u4¾-114u4½-105u4¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4¾+104
Under-----u4¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o4½-110 to o4¾-101
The Under moved from u4¾-118 to u4½-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.2%
 
No59.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.82%
Exactly 214.60%
Exactly 419.54%
Exactly 610.46%
Exactly 83.00%
Exactly 100.54%
 
Exactly 17.29%
Exactly 319.50%
Exactly 515.66%
Exactly 75.99%
Exactly 91.34%
Exactly 110.19%
Exact Goals Scored - RKC Waalwijk
Exactly 058.49%
Exactly 131.37%
Exactly 28.41%
Exactly 31.50%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 03.11%
Exactly 110.79%
Exactly 218.73%
Exactly 321.67%
Exactly 418.80%
Exactly 513.05%
Exactly 67.55%
Exactly 73.74%
Exactly 81.62%
Exactly 90.63%
Exactly 100.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 015.64%
Exactly 226.92%
Exactly 47.72%
Exactly 60.89%
 
Exactly 129.02%
Exactly 316.65%
Exactly 52.87%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - RKC Waalwijk
Exactly 078.01%
Exactly 119.37%
Exactly 22.40%
Exactly 30.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 020.05%
Exactly 132.22%
Exactly 225.89%
Exactly 313.87%
Exactly 45.57%
Exactly 51.79%
Exactly 60.48%
Exactly 70.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

RKC Waalwijk
Wins by 2+ goals0.54%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals75.68%
Wins by 3+ goals56.14%
Wins by 4+ goals36.35%
Wins by 5+ goals20.56%
Wins by 6+ goals10.22%
Wins by 7+ goals4.48%
Wins by 8+ goals1.73%
Wins by 9+ goals0.56%
Wins by 10+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

RKC Waalwijk
Ajax
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
RKC Waalwijk
Wins by 1 goal2.21%
Wins by 2 goals0.46%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal14.32%
Wins by 2 goals19.54%
Wins by 3 goals19.79%
Wins by 4 goals15.79%
Wins by 5 goals10.34%
Wins by 6 goals5.74%
Wins by 7 goals2.76%
Wins by 8 goals1.16%
Wins by 9 goals0.43%
Wins by 10 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.18%1.82%
1.590.90%9.10%
2.576.30%23.70%
3.556.79%43.21%
4.537.26%62.74%
5.521.60%78.40%
6.511.14%88.86%
7.55.16%94.84%
8.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals RKC Waalwijk Over/Under

OverUnder
0.541.51%58.49%
1.510.14%89.86%
2.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.89%3.11%
1.586.10%13.90%
2.567.38%32.62%
3.545.71%54.29%
4.526.91%73.09%
5.513.86%86.14%
6.56.31%93.69%
7.52.56%97.44%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.36%15.64%
1.555.34%44.66%
2.528.42%71.58%
3.511.78%88.22%
4.54.05%95.95%
5.51.19%98.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

RKC Waalwijk
Ajax
Score012345
0
1.82%
6.31%
10.95%
12.67%
11.00%
7.63%
1
0.98%
3.38%
5.87%
6.80%
5.90%
4.09%
2
0.26%
0.91%
1.57%
1.82%
1.58%
1.10%
RKC Waalwijk
1-00.98%
2-00.26%
2-10.91%
Draw
0-01.82%
1-13.38%
2-21.57%
3-30.33%
Ajax
0-16.31%
0-210.95%
1-25.87%
0-312.67%
1-36.80%
2-31.82%
0-411.00%
1-45.90%
2-41.58%
3-40.28%
0-57.63%
1-54.09%
2-51.10%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

RKC Waalwijk
Ajax
Score0123456
0
15.64%
25.13%
20.20%
10.82%
4.35%
1.40%
0.37%
1
3.88%
6.24%
5.01%
2.69%
1.08%
0.35%
0.09%
2
0.48%
0.77%
0.62%
0.33%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
RKC Waalwijk
1-03.88%
2-00.48%
2-10.77%
Draw
0-015.64%
1-16.24%
2-20.62%
Ajax
0-125.13%
0-220.20%
1-25.01%
0-310.82%
1-32.69%
2-30.33%
0-44.35%
1-41.08%
2-40.13%
0-51.40%
1-50.35%
0-60.37%