Ajax at Willem II

Updated

Ajax

82.5%11.5%6.0%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.96Projected Goals 0.71
1Final Score 0

Willem II

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Twente-600
W 0-3 vs Heracles Almelo-1000
W 2-1 at PSV Eindhoven-115
W 3-0 at Utrecht-220
W 0-5 vs Fortuna Sittard
Willem II
Money Line
L 0-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+290
W 1-3 vs RKC Waalwijk+125
L 1-0 vs Twente+240
L 0-2 at Zwolle+190
L 1-4 at AZ Alkmaar+1050

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-675-716-800-667-854-667-667-539.5
Willem II+1600+2010+1600+1500+1757+1500+2010+1899.6
Draw+675+808+750+740+801+740+808+840.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-920-----775-775-539.5
Willem II+2200----+2000+2000+1899.6
Draw+850----+750+750+840.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Willem II: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Willem II: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -756 to -854
Willem II ML moved from +2019 to +2010

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Willem II: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Willem II: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ajax ML
Willem II ML moved from +2100 to +2000

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-118o3½-114o3½-115o3½-120-o3½-120o3½-114o3½-109
Underu3¼-102u3½-101u3½-105u3½+100-u3½+100u3½+100u3½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½-109
Under-----u3½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%
 
No51.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.54%
Exactly 217.13%
Exactly 419.26%
Exactly 68.66%
Exactly 82.09%
Exactly 100.31%
 
Exactly 19.33%
Exactly 320.98%
Exactly 514.15%
Exactly 74.55%
Exactly 90.85%
Exactly 110.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 05.17%
Exactly 115.32%
Exactly 222.69%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 416.59%
Exactly 59.83%
Exactly 64.85%
Exactly 72.05%
Exactly 80.76%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 049.12%
Exactly 134.92%
Exactly 212.41%
Exactly 32.94%
Exactly 40.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.26%
Exactly 226.40%
Exactly 46.36%
Exactly 60.61%
 
Exactly 131.05%
Exactly 314.97%
Exactly 52.16%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 025.37%
Exactly 134.80%
Exactly 223.86%
Exactly 310.91%
Exactly 43.74%
Exactly 51.03%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 071.95%
Exactly 123.68%
Exactly 23.90%
Exactly 30.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals63.64%
Wins by 3+ goals42.30%
Wins by 4+ goals24.14%
Wins by 5+ goals11.89%
Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals1.47%
Wins by 3+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Willem II
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal18.76%
Wins by 2 goals21.34%
Wins by 3 goals18.17%
Wins by 4 goals12.25%
Wins by 5 goals6.80%
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal4.49%
Wins by 2 goals1.21%
Wins by 3 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.46%2.54%
1.588.13%11.87%
2.571.00%29.00%
3.550.02%49.98%
4.530.76%69.24%
5.516.61%83.39%
6.57.95%92.05%
7.53.40%96.60%
8.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.83%5.17%
1.579.51%20.49%
2.556.83%43.17%
3.534.43%65.57%
4.517.84%82.16%
5.58.01%91.99%
6.53.16%96.84%
7.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.88%49.12%
1.515.96%84.04%
2.53.55%96.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.74%18.26%
1.550.69%49.31%
2.524.29%75.71%
3.59.33%90.67%
4.52.97%97.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Willem II
Score0123
0
2.54%
1.81%
0.64%
0.15%
1
7.52%
5.35%
1.90%
0.45%
2
11.14%
7.92%
2.82%
0.67%
3
11.00%
7.82%
2.78%
0.66%
4
8.15%
5.79%
2.06%
0.49%
5
4.83%
3.43%
1.22%
0.29%
Ajax
1-07.52%
2-011.14%
2-17.92%
3-011.00%
3-17.82%
3-22.78%
4-08.15%
4-15.79%
4-22.06%
4-30.49%
5-04.83%
5-13.43%
5-21.22%
5-30.29%
Draw
0-02.54%
1-15.35%
2-22.82%
3-30.66%
Willem II
0-11.81%
0-20.64%
1-21.90%
0-30.15%
1-30.45%
2-30.67%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Willem II
Score0123
0
18.26%
6.01%
0.99%
0.11%
1
25.04%
8.24%
1.36%
0.15%
2
17.17%
5.65%
0.93%
0.10%
3
7.85%
2.58%
0.43%
0.05%
4
2.69%
0.89%
0.15%
0.02%
5
0.74%
0.24%
0.04%
0.00%
6
0.17%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-025.04%
2-017.17%
2-15.65%
3-07.85%
3-12.58%
3-20.43%
4-02.69%
4-10.89%
4-20.15%
5-00.74%
5-10.24%
6-00.17%
Draw
0-018.26%
1-18.24%
2-20.93%
Willem II
0-16.01%
0-20.99%
1-21.36%
0-30.11%
1-30.15%
2-30.10%