Willem II at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

Willem II

15.9%14.8%69.3%
WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
0.55Projected Goals 2.39
1Final Score 4

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

Willem II
Money Line
L 0-5 at Ajax+3000
L 1-2 at Heerenveen+290
L 3-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam+135
T 1-1 vs Fortuna Sittard-120
T 1-1 at Twente+440
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 2-1 at Ajax+1000
W 1-3 vs Sparta Rotterdam-245
W 1-2 vs Fortuna Sittard-435
T 0-0 at Vitesse+135
L 0-1 at Feyenoord+290

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+600-+1100+1300-+1300+1300+1199.9
AZ Alkmaar-265--455-455--455-455-343.6
Draw+400-+500+540-+540+540+573.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+850----+1050+1050+1199.9
AZ Alkmaar-315-----410-410-343.6
Draw+440----+525+525+573.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +770 to +750
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -435 to -455

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +900 to +850
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -330 to -410

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o3-105o3-109-o3-109o3+102
Under-u3-115u3-111-u3-111u3-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+102
Under-----u3-102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.3%
 
No61.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.29%
Exactly 222.85%
Exactly 416.45%
Exactly 64.74%
Exactly 80.73%
 
Exactly 115.55%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.67%
Exactly 71.99%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 057.85%
Exactly 131.66%
Exactly 28.66%
Exactly 31.58%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 09.14%
Exactly 121.87%
Exactly 226.16%
Exactly 320.86%
Exactly 412.48%
Exactly 55.97%
Exactly 62.38%
Exactly 70.81%
Exactly 80.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.64%
Exactly 223.75%
Exactly 43.67%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.90%
Exactly 310.77%
Exactly 51.00%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 077.62%
Exactly 119.67%
Exactly 22.49%
Exactly 30.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 033.04%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 220.26%
Exactly 37.48%
Exactly 42.07%
Exactly 50.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals1.41%
Wins by 3+ goals0.21%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals55.45%
Wins by 3+ goals32.53%
Wins by 4+ goals15.95%
Wins by 5+ goals6.62%
Wins by 6+ goals2.34%
Wins by 7+ goals0.69%
Wins by 8+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal5.25%
Wins by 2 goals1.19%
Wins by 3 goals0.19%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal22.95%
Wins by 2 goals22.92%
Wins by 3 goals16.57%
Wins by 4 goals9.33%
Wins by 5 goals4.28%
Wins by 6 goals1.66%
Wins by 7 goals0.55%
Wins by 8 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.71%5.29%
1.579.16%20.84%
2.556.31%43.69%
3.533.92%66.08%
4.517.47%82.53%
5.57.79%92.21%
6.53.06%96.94%
7.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.15%57.85%
1.510.49%89.51%
2.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.86%9.14%
1.568.99%31.01%
2.542.83%57.17%
3.521.97%78.03%
4.59.49%90.51%
5.53.52%96.48%
6.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.36%25.64%
1.539.46%60.54%
2.515.72%84.28%
3.54.94%95.06%
4.51.28%98.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
5.29%
12.65%
15.13%
12.07%
7.22%
3.45%
1
2.89%
6.92%
8.28%
6.60%
3.95%
1.89%
2
0.79%
1.89%
2.27%
1.81%
1.08%
0.52%
3
0.14%
0.35%
0.41%
0.33%
0.20%
0.09%
Willem II
1-02.89%
2-00.79%
2-11.89%
3-00.14%
3-10.35%
3-20.41%
Draw
0-05.29%
1-16.92%
2-22.27%
3-30.33%
AZ Alkmaar
0-112.65%
0-215.13%
1-28.28%
0-312.07%
1-36.60%
2-31.81%
0-47.22%
1-43.95%
2-41.08%
3-40.20%
0-53.45%
1-51.89%
2-50.52%

Correct Score - First Half

Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
25.64%
28.40%
15.73%
5.81%
1.61%
0.36%
1
6.50%
7.20%
3.99%
1.47%
0.41%
0.09%
2
0.82%
0.91%
0.50%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
Willem II
1-06.50%
2-00.82%
2-10.91%
Draw
0-025.64%
1-17.20%
2-20.50%
AZ Alkmaar
0-128.40%
0-215.73%
1-23.99%
0-35.81%
1-31.47%
2-30.19%
0-41.61%
1-40.41%
0-50.36%