Willem II at Ajax

Updated

Willem II

9.7%10.5%79.8%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.32Projected Goals 2.64
0Final Score 5

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Willem II
Money Line
L 1-2 at Heerenveen+290
L 3-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam+135
T 1-1 vs Fortuna Sittard-120
T 1-1 at Twente+440
L 2-3 at Heracles Almelo+330
Ajax
Money Line
W 1-0 at Sparta Rotterdam-650
W 5-0 at RKC Waalwijk-900
W 0-5 vs PSV Eindhoven-230
W 2-0 at Heerenveen-450
L 1-0 vs Utrecht-455

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+1300-+3500+2900+3070+2900+3500+3727.7
Ajax-600--2000-1667-2262-1667-1667-1003.6
Draw+625-+1300+1200+1312+1200+1312+1450.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+2200----+3000+3000+3727.7
Ajax-975-----1500-1500-1003.6
Draw+900----+1100+1100+1450.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Willem II: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +3300 to +3000
Ajax ML moved from -1350 to -1667

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Willem II: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Willem II ML
Ajax ML moved from -1100 to -1500

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o4¼+102o4¼-106-o4¼-106o4¼+101
Under-u4¼-122u4¼-114-u4¼-114u4¼-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4¼+101
Under-----u4¼-101

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes25.5%
 
No74.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.16%
Exactly 222.67%
Exactly 416.60%
Exactly 64.86%
Exactly 80.76%
 
Exactly 115.29%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.84%
Exactly 72.06%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 072.55%
Exactly 123.28%
Exactly 23.73%
Exactly 30.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 07.11%
Exactly 118.80%
Exactly 224.85%
Exactly 321.89%
Exactly 414.47%
Exactly 57.65%
Exactly 63.37%
Exactly 71.27%
Exactly 80.42%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.35%
Exactly 223.87%
Exactly 43.75%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.79%
Exactly 310.92%
Exactly 51.03%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 086.20%
Exactly 112.80%
Exactly 20.95%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 029.40%
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 222.03%
Exactly 38.99%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals0.37%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals66.25%
Wins by 3+ goals42.56%
Wins by 4+ goals23.00%
Wins by 5+ goals10.59%
Wins by 6+ goals4.21%
Wins by 7+ goals1.45%
Wins by 8+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Willem II
Ajax
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal2.46%
Wins by 2 goals0.34%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal20.30%
Wins by 2 goals23.69%
Wins by 3 goals19.55%
Wins by 4 goals12.41%
Wins by 5 goals6.39%
Wins by 6 goals2.76%
Wins by 7 goals1.03%
Wins by 8 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.84%5.16%
1.579.55%20.45%
2.556.88%43.12%
3.534.48%65.52%
4.517.88%82.12%
5.58.04%91.96%
6.53.18%96.82%
7.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.527.45%72.55%
1.54.17%95.83%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.89%7.11%
1.574.09%25.91%
2.549.25%50.75%
3.527.35%72.65%
4.512.88%87.12%
5.55.23%94.77%
6.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.65%25.35%
1.539.87%60.13%
2.515.99%84.01%
3.55.07%94.93%
4.51.32%98.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Willem II
Ajax
Score01234
0
5.16%
13.64%
18.03%
15.89%
10.50%
1
1.66%
4.38%
5.78%
5.10%
3.37%
2
0.27%
0.70%
0.93%
0.82%
0.54%
Willem II
1-01.66%
2-00.27%
2-10.70%
Draw
0-05.16%
1-14.38%
2-20.93%
Ajax
0-113.64%
0-218.03%
1-25.78%
0-315.89%
1-35.10%
2-30.82%
0-410.50%
1-43.37%
2-40.54%

Correct Score - First Half

Willem II
Ajax
Score0123456
0
25.35%
31.02%
18.99%
7.75%
2.37%
0.58%
0.12%
1
3.76%
4.61%
2.82%
1.15%
0.35%
0.09%
0.02%
2
0.28%
0.34%
0.21%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Willem II
1-03.76%
2-00.28%
2-10.34%
Draw
0-025.35%
1-14.61%
2-20.21%
Ajax
0-131.02%
0-218.99%
1-22.82%
0-37.75%
1-31.15%
0-42.37%
1-40.35%
0-50.58%
0-60.12%
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