Willem II at Heracles Almelo

Updated

Willem II

31.1%23.9%45.0%
Willem II WinDrawHeracles Almelo Win
1.18Projected Goals 1.71
2Final Score 3

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

Willem II
Money Line
W 1-2 vs PSV Eindhoven+575
W 2-1 at RKC Waalwijk+190
W 1-2 vs Groningen+120
W 0-1 vs Zwolle-115
W 3-0 at Vitesse+325
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
W 0-1 vs RKC Waalwijk-155
W 2-3 vs AZ Alkmaar+350
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+270
L 2-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+450
L 0-5 at AZ Alkmaar+410

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+210-+340+345+315+340+340+366.4
Heracles Almelo+120--130-128-127-127-127-117.2
Draw+260-+280+280+284+280+288+306.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+250----+330+330+366.4
Heracles Almelo+105-----120-120-117.2
Draw+255----+265+265+306.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Willem II: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +300 to +290
Heracles Almelo ML moved from -127 to -133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Willem II: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +385 to +330
Heracles Almelo ML moved from -115 to -150

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o2¾+100o2¾+100-o2¾+100o2¾+107
Under-u2¾-120u2¾-120-u2¾-120u2¾-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+107
Under-----u2¾-107

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.7%
 
No43.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.56%
Exactly 223.21%
Exactly 416.15%
Exactly 64.49%
Exactly 80.67%
 
Exactly 116.07%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 59.33%
Exactly 71.86%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 030.71%
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 221.40%
Exactly 38.42%
Exactly 42.49%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 018.10%
Exactly 130.94%
Exactly 226.44%
Exactly 315.06%
Exactly 46.44%
Exactly 52.20%
Exactly 60.63%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.24%
Exactly 223.48%
Exactly 43.50%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.11%
Exactly 310.47%
Exactly 50.94%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 057.89%
Exactly 131.64%
Exactly 28.65%
Exactly 31.58%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 045.33%
Exactly 135.87%
Exactly 214.19%
Exactly 33.74%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals10.52%
Wins by 3+ goals3.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals26.80%
Wins by 3+ goals11.64%
Wins by 4+ goals4.15%
Wins by 5+ goals1.23%
Wins by 6+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Willem II
Heracles Almelo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal15.83%
Wins by 2 goals7.23%
Wins by 3 goals2.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.66%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal22.91%
Wins by 2 goals15.16%
Wins by 3 goals7.49%
Wins by 4 goals2.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.94%
Wins by 6 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.44%5.56%
1.578.37%21.63%
2.555.16%44.84%
3.532.80%67.20%
4.516.65%83.35%
5.57.32%92.68%
6.52.82%97.18%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.29%30.71%
1.533.03%66.97%
2.511.63%88.37%
3.53.21%96.79%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.90%18.10%
1.550.96%49.04%
2.524.52%75.48%
3.59.45%90.55%
4.53.02%96.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.76%26.24%
1.538.65%61.35%
2.515.17%84.83%
3.54.70%95.30%
4.51.19%98.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
5.56%
9.50%
8.12%
4.63%
1.98%
0.68%
1
6.56%
11.22%
9.59%
5.46%
2.33%
0.80%
2
3.87%
6.62%
5.66%
3.22%
1.38%
0.47%
3
1.52%
2.61%
2.23%
1.27%
0.54%
0.19%
4
0.45%
0.77%
0.66%
0.37%
0.16%
0.05%
5
0.11%
0.18%
0.16%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
Willem II
1-06.56%
2-03.87%
2-16.62%
3-01.52%
3-12.61%
3-22.23%
4-00.45%
4-10.77%
4-20.66%
4-30.37%
5-00.11%
5-10.18%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-05.56%
1-111.22%
2-25.66%
3-31.27%
4-40.16%
Heracles Almelo
0-19.50%
0-28.12%
1-29.59%
0-34.63%
1-35.46%
2-33.22%
0-41.98%
1-42.33%
2-41.38%
3-40.54%
0-50.68%
1-50.80%
2-50.47%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Score01234
0
26.24%
20.76%
8.22%
2.17%
0.43%
1
14.34%
11.35%
4.49%
1.18%
0.23%
2
3.92%
3.10%
1.23%
0.32%
0.06%
3
0.71%
0.57%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
Willem II
1-014.34%
2-03.92%
2-13.10%
3-00.71%
3-10.57%
3-20.22%
Draw
0-026.24%
1-111.35%
2-21.23%
Heracles Almelo
0-120.76%
0-28.22%
1-24.49%
0-32.17%
1-31.18%
2-30.32%
0-40.43%
1-40.23%
Twente at Groningen
Heerenveen at Zwolle