Groningen at Willem II

Updated

Groningen

44.6%25.0%30.4%
Groningen WinDrawWillem II Win
1.59Projected Goals 1.08
1Final Score 2

Willem II

Last 5 Games

Groningen
Money Line
L 2-5 at PSV Eindhoven+950
T 0-0 vs Utrecht+225
L 0-1 at Utrecht+525
L 0-1 at Zwolle+155
T 0-0 vs AZ Alkmaar+450
Willem II
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Zwolle-115
W 3-0 at Vitesse+325
L 4-0 vs Feyenoord+425
W 1-2 vs Fortuna Sittard-170
W 4-1 at ADO Den Haag-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+180-+220+225+223+225+225+241.0
Willem II+150-+120+126+117+126+126+132.1
Draw+240-+235+235+246+235+246+262.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+180----+225+225+241.0
Willem II+155----+120+120+132.1
Draw+230----+245+245+262.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +235 to +225
Willem II ML moved from +124 to +117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +200 to +185
Willem II ML moved from +160 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o2½-105o2½+100-o2½+100o2½+103
Under-u2½-115u2½-120-u2½-120u2½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+103
Under-----u2½-103

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.7%
 
No47.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.89%
Exactly 224.66%
Exactly 414.70%
Exactly 63.50%
Exactly 80.45%
 
Exactly 118.44%
Exactly 321.98%
Exactly 57.86%
Exactly 71.34%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 020.36%
Exactly 132.41%
Exactly 225.79%
Exactly 313.68%
Exactly 45.44%
Exactly 51.73%
Exactly 60.46%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 033.86%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 219.86%
Exactly 37.17%
Exactly 41.94%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.99%
Exactly 222.22%
Exactly 42.84%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 39.17%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 047.86%
Exactly 135.27%
Exactly 212.99%
Exactly 33.19%
Exactly 40.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 060.57%
Exactly 130.37%
Exactly 27.61%
Exactly 31.27%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals25.55%
Wins by 3+ goals10.59%
Wins by 4+ goals3.58%
Wins by 5+ goals1.01%
Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals9.74%
Wins by 3+ goals2.81%
Wins by 4+ goals0.62%

Exact Winning Margin

Groningen
Willem II
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal23.57%
Wins by 2 goals14.96%
Wins by 3 goals7.01%
Wins by 4 goals2.58%
Wins by 5 goals0.78%
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal16.04%
Wins by 2 goals6.92%
Wins by 3 goals2.20%
Wins by 4 goals0.53%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.11%6.89%
1.574.67%25.33%
2.550.01%49.99%
3.528.03%71.97%
4.513.33%86.67%
5.55.47%94.53%
6.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.64%20.36%
1.547.23%52.77%
2.521.45%78.55%
3.57.77%92.23%
4.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.14%33.86%
1.529.47%70.53%
2.59.62%90.38%
3.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.01%28.99%
1.535.12%64.88%
2.512.89%87.11%
3.53.72%96.28%

Score Props

Correct Score

Groningen
Willem II
Score01234
0
6.89%
7.47%
4.04%
1.46%
0.40%
1
10.97%
11.88%
6.43%
2.32%
0.63%
2
8.73%
9.46%
5.12%
1.85%
0.50%
3
4.63%
5.02%
2.72%
0.98%
0.27%
4
1.84%
2.00%
1.08%
0.39%
0.11%
5
0.59%
0.64%
0.34%
0.12%
0.03%
Groningen
1-010.97%
2-08.73%
2-19.46%
3-04.63%
3-15.02%
3-22.72%
4-01.84%
4-12.00%
4-21.08%
4-30.39%
5-00.59%
5-10.64%
5-20.34%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.89%
1-111.88%
2-25.12%
3-30.98%
4-40.11%
Willem II
0-17.47%
0-24.04%
1-26.43%
0-31.46%
1-32.32%
2-31.85%
0-40.40%
1-40.63%
2-40.50%
3-40.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Groningen
Willem II
Score0123
0
28.99%
14.53%
3.64%
0.61%
1
21.36%
10.71%
2.69%
0.45%
2
7.87%
3.95%
0.99%
0.17%
3
1.93%
0.97%
0.24%
0.04%
4
0.36%
0.18%
0.04%
0.01%
Groningen
1-021.36%
2-07.87%
2-13.95%
3-01.93%
3-10.97%
3-20.24%
4-00.36%
4-10.18%
Draw
0-028.99%
1-110.71%
2-20.99%
Willem II
0-114.53%
0-23.64%
1-22.69%
0-30.61%
1-30.45%
2-30.17%