Fortuna Sittard at Willem II

Updated

Fortuna Sittard

33.8%25.3%40.9%
Fortuna Sittard WinDrawWillem II Win
1.25Projected Goals 1.50
1Final Score 2

Willem II

Last 5 Games

Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Vitesse+280
L 0-1 at AZ Alkmaar+850
W 0-3 vs Twente+210
W 3-0 at ADO Den Haag-110
L 3-1 vs Emmen+135
Willem II
Money Line
W 4-1 at ADO Den Haag-105
L 2-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+540
L 2-3 at Utrecht+525
W 0-1 vs RKC Waalwijk-110
L 0-4 at Heracles Almelo+250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+266+390+400+385+380+385+400-
Willem II-116-169-170-159-168-159-159-
Draw+301+361+350+330+346+330+361-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+265----+390+390-
Willem II-120-----170-170-
Draw+325----+355+355-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 50.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +420 to +390
Willem II ML moved from -166 to -177

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 50.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +360 to +350
Willem II ML moved from -160 to -170

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3¼-105o3½+110o3¼-112-o3¼-112o3¼-105-
Underu3+105u3¼-116u3½-130u3¼-108-u3¼-108u3½-130-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-118 to o3¼-105
The Under moved from u3+105 to u3-115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.3%
 
No44.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.41%
Exactly 224.19%
Exactly 415.21%
Exactly 63.83%
Exactly 80.52%
 
Exactly 117.62%
Exactly 322.15%
Exactly 58.36%
Exactly 71.50%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 028.88%
Exactly 135.87%
Exactly 222.27%
Exactly 39.22%
Exactly 42.86%
Exactly 50.71%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 022.20%
Exactly 133.41%
Exactly 225.14%
Exactly 312.61%
Exactly 44.74%
Exactly 51.43%
Exactly 60.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.03%
Exactly 222.67%
Exactly 43.06%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.65%
Exactly 39.61%
Exactly 50.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 056.27%
Exactly 132.36%
Exactly 29.30%
Exactly 31.78%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 049.82%
Exactly 134.71%
Exactly 212.09%
Exactly 32.81%
Exactly 40.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals13.20%
Wins by 3+ goals4.35%
Wins by 4+ goals1.15%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%
Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals21.29%
Wins by 3+ goals8.30%
Wins by 4+ goals2.61%
Wins by 5+ goals0.64%
Wins by 6+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortuna Sittard
Willem II
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal18.12%
Wins by 2 goals8.84%
Wins by 3 goals3.20%
Wins by 4 goals0.91%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal21.96%
Wins by 2 goals12.98%
Wins by 3 goals5.70%
Wins by 4 goals1.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.54%
Wins by 6 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.59%6.41%
1.575.97%24.03%
2.551.78%48.22%
3.529.63%70.37%
4.514.41%85.59%
5.56.06%93.94%
6.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.12%28.88%
1.535.25%64.75%
2.512.97%87.03%
3.53.75%96.25%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.80%22.20%
1.544.38%55.62%
2.519.24%80.76%
3.56.63%93.37%
4.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.97%28.03%
1.536.32%63.68%
2.513.64%86.36%
3.54.03%95.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortuna Sittard
Willem II
Score012345
0
6.41%
9.65%
7.26%
3.64%
1.37%
0.41%
1
7.96%
11.99%
9.02%
4.52%
1.70%
0.51%
2
4.95%
7.44%
5.60%
2.81%
1.06%
0.32%
3
2.05%
3.08%
2.32%
1.16%
0.44%
0.13%
4
0.64%
0.96%
0.72%
0.36%
0.14%
0.04%
5
0.16%
0.24%
0.18%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Fortuna Sittard
1-07.96%
2-04.95%
2-17.44%
3-02.05%
3-13.08%
3-22.32%
4-00.64%
4-10.96%
4-20.72%
4-30.36%
5-00.16%
5-10.24%
5-20.18%
Draw
0-06.41%
1-111.99%
2-25.60%
3-31.16%
4-40.14%
Willem II
0-19.65%
0-27.26%
1-29.02%
0-33.64%
1-34.52%
2-32.81%
0-41.37%
1-41.70%
2-41.06%
3-40.44%
0-50.41%
1-50.51%
2-50.32%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortuna Sittard
Willem II
Score01234
0
28.03%
19.53%
6.80%
1.58%
0.28%
1
16.12%
11.23%
3.91%
0.91%
0.16%
2
4.63%
3.23%
1.13%
0.26%
0.05%
3
0.89%
0.62%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.13%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Fortuna Sittard
1-016.12%
2-04.63%
2-13.23%
3-00.89%
3-10.62%
3-20.22%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-028.03%
1-111.23%
2-21.13%
Willem II
0-119.53%
0-26.80%
1-23.91%
0-31.58%
1-30.91%
2-30.26%
0-40.28%
1-40.16%