Willem II at Utrecht

Updated

Willem II

26.4%21.0%52.7%
Willem II WinDrawUtrecht Win
1.01Projected Goals 2.03
2Final Score 3

Utrecht

Last 5 Games

Willem II
Money Line
W 0-1 vs RKC Waalwijk-110
L 0-4 at Heracles Almelo+250
L 1-0 vs AZ Alkmaar+400
T 0-0 at Vitesse+425
W 1-3 vs Heerenveen+165
Utrecht
Money Line
W 2-1 at Twente+105
T 1-1 at Ajax+575
L 2-1 vs Feyenoord+130
W 4-1 at ADO Den Haag-285
W 1-0 at Fortuna Sittard-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+475+466+500+520+484+520+520-
Utrecht-205-185-200-196-198-196-185-
Draw+340+345+335+340+346+340+346-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+535----+525+525-
Utrecht-200-----195-195-
Draw+335----+335+335-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 40.0%
Utrecht: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 20.0%
Utrecht: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +520 to +510
Utrecht ML moved from -179 to -185

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 40.0%
Utrecht: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 20.0%
Utrecht: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +535 to +525
No Steam Moves On Utrecht ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+115o3-102o3+105o2¾-129-o2¾-129o3+105-
Underu3-140u3-120u3-125u2¾+109-u2¾+109u3-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+115 to o3-105
The Under moved from u3-115 to u2½+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.3%
 
No44.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.78%
Exactly 222.09%
Exactly 417.03%
Exactly 65.25%
Exactly 80.87%
 
Exactly 114.53%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.36%
Exactly 72.28%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 036.25%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.66%
Exactly 36.31%
Exactly 41.60%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 013.17%
Exactly 126.70%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.28%
Exactly 49.26%
Exactly 53.76%
Exactly 61.27%
Exactly 70.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.46%
Exactly 224.25%
Exactly 44.01%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.44%
Exactly 311.38%
Exactly 51.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 062.51%
Exactly 129.37%
Exactly 26.90%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 039.12%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.23%
Exactly 35.39%
Exactly 41.26%
Exactly 50.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals6.32%
Wins by 3+ goals1.69%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%
Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals36.97%
Wins by 3+ goals18.45%
Wins by 4+ goals7.63%
Wins by 5+ goals2.63%
Wins by 6+ goals0.73%
Wins by 7+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Willem II
Utrecht
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal11.86%
Wins by 2 goals4.64%
Wins by 3 goals1.35%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal23.70%
Wins by 2 goals18.52%
Wins by 3 goals10.82%
Wins by 4 goals5.00%
Wins by 5 goals1.90%
Wins by 6 goals0.60%
Wins by 7 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.22%4.78%
1.580.70%19.30%
2.558.60%41.40%
3.536.21%63.79%
4.519.18%80.82%
5.58.82%91.18%
6.53.56%96.44%
7.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.75%36.25%
1.526.96%73.04%
2.58.30%91.70%
3.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.83%13.17%
1.560.12%39.88%
2.533.06%66.94%
3.514.78%85.22%
4.55.51%94.49%
5.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.54%24.46%
1.541.10%58.90%
2.516.85%83.15%
3.55.47%94.53%
4.51.46%98.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

Willem II
Utrecht
Score012345
0
4.78%
9.68%
9.81%
6.63%
3.36%
1.36%
1
4.85%
9.82%
9.95%
6.73%
3.41%
1.38%
2
2.46%
4.98%
5.05%
3.41%
1.73%
0.70%
3
0.83%
1.69%
1.71%
1.15%
0.58%
0.24%
4
0.21%
0.43%
0.43%
0.29%
0.15%
0.06%
Willem II
1-04.85%
2-02.46%
2-14.98%
3-00.83%
3-11.69%
3-21.71%
4-00.21%
4-10.43%
4-20.43%
4-30.29%
Draw
0-04.78%
1-19.82%
2-25.05%
3-31.15%
4-40.15%
Utrecht
0-19.68%
0-29.81%
1-29.95%
0-36.63%
1-36.73%
2-33.41%
0-43.36%
1-43.41%
2-41.73%
3-40.58%
0-51.36%
1-51.38%
2-50.70%
3-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Willem II
Utrecht
Score012345
0
24.46%
22.95%
10.77%
3.37%
0.79%
0.15%
1
11.49%
10.78%
5.06%
1.58%
0.37%
0.07%
2
2.70%
2.53%
1.19%
0.37%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.42%
0.40%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Willem II
1-011.49%
2-02.70%
2-12.53%
3-00.42%
3-10.40%
3-20.19%
Draw
0-024.46%
1-110.78%
2-21.19%
Utrecht
0-122.95%
0-210.77%
1-25.06%
0-33.37%
1-31.58%
2-30.37%
0-40.79%
1-40.37%
0-50.15%