Twente at Ajax

Updated

Twente

12.2%8.1%79.8%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.49Projected Goals 3.23
0Final Score 5

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Twente
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Vitesse+165
W 1-0 at Willem II+130
W 0-2 vs Heerenveen-115
T 1-1 at Utrecht+320
W 3-1 at Zwolle+115
Ajax
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Heracles Almelo-1000
W 2-1 at PSV Eindhoven-115
W 3-0 at Utrecht-220
W 0-5 vs Fortuna Sittard
W 2-0 at Feyenoord-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+1000+1468+1400+1500+1336+1500+1500+1492.4
Ajax-400-564-625-675-553-675-553-449.1
Draw+500+727+625+725+623+725+727+738.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+1725----+1450+1450+1492.4
Ajax-640-----600-600-449.1
Draw+645----+675+675+738.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 20.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twente: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 10.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +1560 to +1454
Ajax ML moved from -552 to -564

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 10.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twente: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +1800 to +1350
Ajax ML moved from -550 to -600

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-118o3½+104o3¼-118o3¼-122-o3¼-122o3¼-118o3½+114
Underu3-102u3½-124u3¼-102u3¼+102-u3¼+102u3½-124u3½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+114
Under-----u3½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes37.4%
 
No62.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.42%
Exactly 216.74%
Exactly 419.34%
Exactly 68.94%
Exactly 82.21%
Exactly 100.34%
 
Exactly 18.99%
Exactly 320.78%
Exactly 514.40%
Exactly 74.75%
Exactly 90.92%
Exactly 110.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 061.11%
Exactly 130.10%
Exactly 27.41%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 03.95%
Exactly 112.77%
Exactly 220.63%
Exactly 322.22%
Exactly 417.94%
Exactly 511.59%
Exactly 66.24%
Exactly 72.88%
Exactly 81.16%
Exactly 90.42%
Exactly 100.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.84%
Exactly 226.50%
Exactly 46.56%
Exactly 60.65%
 
Exactly 130.75%
Exactly 315.23%
Exactly 52.26%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 079.61%
Exactly 118.15%
Exactly 22.07%
Exactly 30.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 022.41%
Exactly 133.52%
Exactly 225.07%
Exactly 312.50%
Exactly 44.67%
Exactly 51.40%
Exactly 60.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Twente
Wins by 2+ goals0.55%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals72.98%
Wins by 3+ goals52.20%
Wins by 4+ goals32.29%
Wins by 5+ goals17.33%
Wins by 6+ goals8.14%
Wins by 7+ goals3.37%
Wins by 8+ goals1.22%
Wins by 9+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Twente
Ajax
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Twente
Wins by 1 goal2.42%
Wins by 2 goals0.48%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal15.90%
Wins by 2 goals20.77%
Wins by 3 goals19.92%
Wins by 4 goals14.95%
Wins by 5 goals9.19%
Wins by 6 goals4.77%
Wins by 7 goals2.14%
Wins by 8 goals0.85%
Wins by 9 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.58%2.42%
1.588.59%11.41%
2.571.85%28.15%
3.551.07%48.93%
4.531.72%68.28%
5.517.32%82.68%
6.58.39%91.61%
7.53.63%96.37%
8.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.538.89%61.11%
1.58.79%91.21%
2.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.05%3.95%
1.583.28%16.72%
2.562.65%37.35%
3.540.43%59.57%
4.522.49%77.51%
5.510.89%89.11%
6.54.65%95.35%
7.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.16%17.84%
1.551.41%48.59%
2.524.91%75.09%
3.59.68%90.32%
4.53.12%96.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

Twente
Ajax
Score012345
0
2.42%
7.80%
12.61%
13.58%
10.97%
7.08%
1
1.19%
3.84%
6.21%
6.69%
5.40%
3.49%
2
0.29%
0.95%
1.53%
1.65%
1.33%
0.86%
Twente
1-01.19%
2-00.29%
2-10.95%
Draw
0-02.42%
1-13.84%
2-21.53%
3-30.27%
Ajax
0-17.80%
0-212.61%
1-26.21%
0-313.58%
1-36.69%
2-31.65%
0-410.97%
1-45.40%
2-41.33%
3-40.22%
0-57.08%
1-53.49%
2-50.86%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Twente
Ajax
Score0123456
0
17.84%
26.68%
19.96%
9.95%
3.72%
1.11%
0.28%
1
4.07%
6.08%
4.55%
2.27%
0.85%
0.25%
0.06%
2
0.46%
0.69%
0.52%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Twente
1-04.07%
2-00.46%
2-10.69%
Draw
0-017.84%
1-16.08%
2-20.52%
Ajax
0-126.68%
0-219.96%
1-24.55%
0-39.95%
1-32.27%
2-30.26%
0-43.72%
1-40.85%
0-51.11%
1-50.25%
0-60.28%
Feyenoord at RKC Waalwijk
Ajax at Willem II