Heracles Almelo at Groningen

Updated

Heracles Almelo

24.8%26.6%48.6%
Heracles Almelo WinDrawGroningen Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.45
1Final Score 0

Groningen

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Feyenoord+585
W 2-0 at Fortuna Sittard+185
L 0-2 at Heerenveen+195
T 0-0 vs Vitesse+150
L 1-3 at PSV Eindhoven+1000
Groningen
Money Line
L 1-3 at Heerenveen+240
L 3-1 vs Ajax+1000
W 3-1 at Utrecht+350
T 1-1 at Feyenoord+1200
W 0-1 vs Willem II-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+250+354+320+370+321+370+370+383.2
Groningen+110-110-115-125-119-125-110-107.3
Draw+230+252+240+250+258+250+258+262.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+270----+340+340+383.2
Groningen+105-----115-115-107.3
Draw+240----+245+245+262.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 20.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 10.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +340 to +320
Groningen ML moved from -119 to -125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 20.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Heracles Almelo ML
Groningen ML moved from +105 to -110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2½+120o2¼-118o2¼-118-o2¼-118o2¼-118o2½+124
Underu2½-118u2½-135u2¼-102u2¼-102-u2¼-102u2½-135u2½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+124
Under-----u2½-124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.0%
 
No53.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.06%
Exactly 226.12%
Exactly 412.55%
Exactly 62.41%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.76%
Exactly 320.91%
Exactly 56.03%
Exactly 70.83%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 038.57%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.50%
Exactly 35.56%
Exactly 41.32%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 023.50%
Exactly 134.03%
Exactly 224.64%
Exactly 311.90%
Exactly 44.31%
Exactly 51.25%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.90%
Exactly 220.33%
Exactly 42.09%
 
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 37.53%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 064.34%
Exactly 128.38%
Exactly 26.26%
Exactly 30.92%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 051.14%
Exactly 134.29%
Exactly 211.50%
Exactly 32.57%
Exactly 40.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals8.63%
Wins by 3+ goals2.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%
Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals23.99%
Wins by 3+ goals9.29%
Wins by 4+ goals2.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.71%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
Groningen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal16.13%
Wins by 2 goals6.36%
Wins by 3 goals1.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal24.52%
Wins by 2 goals14.70%
Wins by 3 goals6.41%
Wins by 4 goals2.17%
Wins by 5 goals0.59%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.94%9.06%
1.569.18%30.82%
2.543.05%56.95%
3.522.15%77.85%
4.59.60%90.40%
5.53.57%96.43%
6.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.43%38.57%
1.524.68%75.32%
2.57.18%92.82%
3.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.50%23.50%
1.542.47%57.53%
2.517.83%82.17%
3.55.93%94.07%
4.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.10%32.90%
1.530.52%69.48%
2.510.19%89.81%
3.52.66%97.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
Groningen
Score012345
0
9.06%
13.13%
9.51%
4.59%
1.66%
0.48%
1
8.63%
12.50%
9.06%
4.37%
1.58%
0.46%
2
4.11%
5.96%
4.31%
2.08%
0.75%
0.22%
3
1.31%
1.89%
1.37%
0.66%
0.24%
0.07%
4
0.31%
0.45%
0.33%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
Heracles Almelo
1-08.63%
2-04.11%
2-15.96%
3-01.31%
3-11.89%
3-21.37%
4-00.31%
4-10.45%
4-20.33%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-09.06%
1-112.50%
2-24.31%
3-30.66%
Groningen
0-113.13%
0-29.51%
1-29.06%
0-34.59%
1-34.37%
2-32.08%
0-41.66%
1-41.58%
2-40.75%
3-40.24%
0-50.48%
1-50.46%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
Groningen
Score01234
0
32.90%
22.06%
7.40%
1.65%
0.28%
1
14.51%
9.73%
3.26%
0.73%
0.12%
2
3.20%
2.15%
0.72%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.47%
0.32%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Heracles Almelo
1-014.51%
2-03.20%
2-12.15%
3-00.47%
3-10.32%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-032.90%
1-19.73%
2-20.72%
Groningen
0-122.06%
0-27.40%
1-23.26%
0-31.65%
1-30.73%
2-30.16%
0-40.28%
1-40.12%