Zwolle at Ajax

Updated

Zwolle

4.2%8.9%86.9%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.68Projected Goals 3.32
0Final Score 3

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Zwolle
Money Line
W 2-0 at RKC Waalwijk+155
W 1-2 vs AZ Alkmaar+375
L 0-1 at Twente+500
L 2-1 vs Feyenoord+550
W 1-0 at Fortuna Sittard+160
Ajax
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam-1100
W 3-1 at Groningen-385
W 2-3 vs Feyenoord-210
W 2-3 vs RKC Waalwijk
W 1-0 at Willem II-775

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-190.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Zwolle+2000+1204+1100+1200+1094+1200+1204+1250.9
Ajax-1000-484-500+600-570+600+600-407.6
Draw+825+684+600+700+696+700+700+713.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Zwolle+1745----+1400+1400+1250.9
Ajax-780-----650-650-407.6
Draw+810----+760+760+713.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Ajax: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Zwolle: 0.0%
Ajax: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Zwolle: 0.0%
Ajax: 90.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Zwolle ML moved from +1240 to +1204
Ajax ML moved from -530 to -565

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Zwolle: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Zwolle: 30.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Zwolle ML moved from +1480 to +1400
Ajax ML moved from -775 to -830

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-118o3½-119o3¾-102o3¾-103-o3¾-103o3½-119o3½-114
Underu3½-102u3½+104u3¾-118u3¾-117-u3¾-117u3¾-117u3½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½-114
Under-----u3½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¾-107 to u3½+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.84%
Exactly 214.68%
Exactly 419.54%
Exactly 610.40%
Exactly 82.96%
Exactly 100.53%
 
Exactly 17.35%
Exactly 319.56%
Exactly 515.61%
Exactly 75.93%
Exactly 91.32%
Exactly 110.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Zwolle
Exactly 051.11%
Exactly 134.30%
Exactly 211.51%
Exactly 32.58%
Exactly 40.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 03.60%
Exactly 111.96%
Exactly 219.89%
Exactly 322.04%
Exactly 418.32%
Exactly 512.18%
Exactly 66.75%
Exactly 73.21%
Exactly 81.33%
Exactly 90.49%
Exactly 100.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 015.72%
Exactly 226.91%
Exactly 47.67%
Exactly 60.88%
 
Exactly 129.09%
Exactly 316.59%
Exactly 52.84%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Zwolle
Exactly 073.29%
Exactly 122.77%
Exactly 23.54%
Exactly 30.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 021.45%
Exactly 133.02%
Exactly 225.42%
Exactly 313.04%
Exactly 45.02%
Exactly 51.54%
Exactly 60.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Zwolle
Wins by 2+ goals0.97%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals70.80%
Wins by 3+ goals50.62%
Wins by 4+ goals31.48%
Wins by 5+ goals17.08%
Wins by 6+ goals8.13%
Wins by 7+ goals3.42%
Wins by 8+ goals1.26%
Wins by 9+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Zwolle
Ajax
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Zwolle
Wins by 1 goal3.22%
Wins by 2 goals0.81%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal16.00%
Wins by 2 goals20.18%
Wins by 3 goals19.14%
Wins by 4 goals14.41%
Wins by 5 goals8.95%
Wins by 6 goals4.72%
Wins by 7 goals2.16%
Wins by 8 goals0.87%
Wins by 9 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.16%1.84%
1.590.81%9.19%
2.576.13%23.87%
3.556.57%43.43%
4.537.03%62.97%
5.521.42%78.58%
6.511.02%88.98%
7.55.09%94.91%
8.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals Zwolle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.89%51.11%
1.514.58%85.42%
2.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.40%3.60%
1.584.44%15.56%
2.564.55%35.45%
3.542.51%57.49%
4.524.19%75.81%
5.512.01%87.99%
6.55.26%94.74%
7.52.06%97.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.28%15.72%
1.555.19%44.81%
2.528.28%71.72%
3.511.69%88.31%
4.54.01%95.99%
5.51.17%98.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Zwolle
Ajax
Score012345
0
1.84%
6.12%
10.17%
11.27%
9.36%
6.23%
1
1.23%
4.10%
6.82%
7.56%
6.28%
4.18%
2
0.41%
1.38%
2.29%
2.54%
2.11%
1.40%
Zwolle
1-01.23%
2-00.41%
2-11.38%
Draw
0-01.84%
1-14.10%
2-22.29%
3-30.57%
Ajax
0-16.12%
0-210.17%
1-26.82%
0-311.27%
1-37.56%
2-32.54%
0-49.36%
1-46.28%
2-42.11%
3-40.47%
0-56.23%
1-54.18%
2-51.40%
3-50.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Zwolle
Ajax
Score0123456
0
15.72%
24.20%
18.63%
9.56%
3.68%
1.13%
0.29%
1
4.89%
7.52%
5.79%
2.97%
1.14%
0.35%
0.09%
2
0.76%
1.17%
0.90%
0.46%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
Zwolle
1-04.89%
2-00.76%
2-11.17%
Draw
0-015.72%
1-17.52%
2-20.90%
Ajax
0-124.20%
0-218.63%
1-25.79%
0-39.56%
1-32.97%
2-30.46%
0-43.68%
1-41.14%
2-40.18%
0-51.13%
1-50.35%
0-60.29%