Heracles Almelo at Willem II

Updated

Heracles Almelo

38.3%27.1%34.6%
Heracles Almelo WinDrawWillem II Win
1.29Projected Goals 1.20
0Final Score 2

Willem II

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Twente+250
W 1-0 at Groningen+340
L 4-1 vs Feyenoord+585
W 2-0 at Fortuna Sittard+185
L 0-2 at Heerenveen+195
Willem II
Money Line
L 2-4 at PSV Eindhoven+1780
W 0-1 vs Vitesse+265
L 0-2 at Feyenoord+1500
T 2-2 vs AZ Alkmaar+480
L 0-1 at Fortuna Sittard+215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+205+227+210+215+199+215+227+228.2
Willem II+125+144+140+136+137+136+144+150.6
Draw+230+224+205+220+231+220+231+237.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+220----+250+250+228.2
Willem II+120----+120+120+150.6
Draw+250----+220+220+237.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 30.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +205 to +195
Willem II ML moved from +151 to +135

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Heracles Almelo: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 30.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 60.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +185 to +155
Willem II ML moved from +150 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108o2½+123o2¼-112o2¼-110-o2¼-110o2¼-110o2¼+100
Underu2¾-112u2½-138u2¼-108u2¼-110-u2¼-110u2½-138u2¼+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+100
Under-----u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%
 
No49.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.31%
Exactly 225.71%
Exactly 413.26%
Exactly 62.74%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.67%
Exactly 321.32%
Exactly 56.60%
Exactly 70.97%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 027.72%
Exactly 135.56%
Exactly 222.82%
Exactly 39.76%
Exactly 43.13%
Exactly 50.80%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 029.98%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 221.75%
Exactly 38.74%
Exactly 42.63%
Exactly 50.63%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.60%
Exactly 220.97%
Exactly 42.32%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 38.05%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 055.21%
Exactly 132.80%
Exactly 29.74%
Exactly 31.93%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 057.25%
Exactly 131.93%
Exactly 28.91%
Exactly 31.66%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals16.99%
Wins by 3+ goals5.87%
Wins by 4+ goals1.62%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%
Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals14.56%
Wins by 3+ goals4.75%
Wins by 4+ goals1.24%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
Willem II
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal21.32%
Wins by 2 goals11.12%
Wins by 3 goals4.25%
Wins by 4 goals1.27%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal20.02%
Wins by 2 goals9.80%
Wins by 3 goals3.51%
Wins by 4 goals0.98%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.69%8.31%
1.571.02%28.98%
2.545.31%54.69%
3.523.98%76.02%
4.510.72%89.28%
5.54.12%95.88%
6.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.28%27.72%
1.536.72%63.28%
2.513.90%86.10%
3.54.14%95.86%
4.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.02%29.98%
1.533.91%66.09%
2.512.15%87.85%
3.53.42%96.58%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.40%31.60%
1.531.99%68.01%
2.511.02%88.98%
3.52.97%97.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
Willem II
Score012345
0
8.31%
10.01%
6.03%
2.42%
0.73%
0.18%
1
10.66%
12.84%
7.74%
3.11%
0.94%
0.23%
2
6.84%
8.24%
4.96%
1.99%
0.60%
0.14%
3
2.93%
3.52%
2.12%
0.85%
0.26%
0.06%
4
0.94%
1.13%
0.68%
0.27%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.24%
0.29%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
Heracles Almelo
1-010.66%
2-06.84%
2-18.24%
3-02.93%
3-13.52%
3-22.12%
4-00.94%
4-11.13%
4-20.68%
4-30.27%
5-00.24%
5-10.29%
5-20.17%
Draw
0-08.31%
1-112.84%
2-24.96%
3-30.85%
Willem II
0-110.01%
0-26.03%
1-27.74%
0-32.42%
1-33.11%
2-31.99%
0-40.73%
1-40.94%
2-40.60%
3-40.26%
0-50.18%
1-50.23%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
Willem II
Score01234
0
31.60%
17.63%
4.92%
0.91%
0.13%
1
18.78%
10.47%
2.92%
0.54%
0.08%
2
5.58%
3.11%
0.87%
0.16%
0.02%
3
1.10%
0.62%
0.17%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.16%
0.09%
0.03%
0.00%
0.00%
Heracles Almelo
1-018.78%
2-05.58%
2-13.11%
3-01.10%
3-10.62%
3-20.17%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-031.60%
1-110.47%
2-20.87%
Willem II
0-117.63%
0-24.92%
1-22.92%
0-30.91%
1-30.54%
2-30.16%
0-40.13%