Heracles Almelo at Willem II

Updated

Heracles Almelo

38.3%27.1%34.6%
Heracles Almelo WinDrawWillem II Win
1.29Projected Goals 1.20
0Final Score 2

Willem II

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Twente+250
W 1-0 at Groningen+340
L 4-1 vs Feyenoord+585
W 2-0 at Fortuna Sittard+185
L 0-2 at Heerenveen+195
Willem II
Money Line
L 2-4 at PSV Eindhoven+1780
W 0-1 vs Vitesse+265
L 0-2 at Feyenoord+1500
T 2-2 vs AZ Alkmaar+480
L 0-1 at Fortuna Sittard+215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+205+227+210+215+199+215+227+228.2
Willem II+125+144+140+136+137+136+144+150.6
Draw+230+224+205+220+231+220+231+237.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+220----+250+250+228.2
Willem II+120----+120+120+150.6
Draw+250----+220+220+237.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 30.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +205 to +195
Willem II ML moved from +151 to +135

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Heracles Almelo: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 30.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 60.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +185 to +155
Willem II ML moved from +150 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108o2½+123o2¼-112o2¼-110-o2¼-110o2¼-110o2¼+100
Underu2¾-112u2½-138u2¼-108u2¼-110-u2¼-110u2½-138u2¼+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+100
Under-----u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%
 
No49.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.31%
Exactly 225.71%
Exactly 413.26%
Exactly 62.74%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.67%
Exactly 321.32%
Exactly 56.60%
Exactly 70.97%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 027.72%
Exactly 135.56%
Exactly 222.82%
Exactly 39.76%
Exactly 43.13%
Exactly 50.80%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 029.98%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 221.75%
Exactly 38.74%
Exactly 42.63%
Exactly 50.63%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.60%
Exactly 220.97%
Exactly 42.32%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 38.05%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 055.21%
Exactly 132.80%
Exactly 29.74%
Exactly 31.93%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 057.25%
Exactly 131.93%
Exactly 28.91%
Exactly 31.66%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals16.99%
Wins by 3+ goals5.87%
Wins by 4+ goals1.62%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%
Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals14.56%
Wins by 3+ goals4.75%
Wins by 4+ goals1.24%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
Willem II
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal21.32%
Wins by 2 goals11.12%
Wins by 3 goals4.25%
Wins by 4 goals1.27%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal20.02%
Wins by 2 goals9.80%
Wins by 3 goals3.51%
Wins by 4 goals0.98%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.69%8.31%
1.571.02%28.98%
2.545.31%54.69%
3.523.98%76.02%
4.510.72%89.28%
5.54.12%95.88%
6.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.28%27.72%
1.536.72%63.28%
2.513.90%86.10%
3.54.14%95.86%
4.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.02%29.98%
1.533.91%66.09%
2.512.15%87.85%
3.53.42%96.58%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.40%31.60%
1.531.99%68.01%
2.511.02%88.98%
3.52.97%97.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
Willem II
Score012345
0
8.31%
10.01%
6.03%
2.42%
0.73%
0.18%
1
10.66%
12.84%
7.74%
3.11%
0.94%
0.23%
2
6.84%
8.24%
4.96%
1.99%
0.60%
0.14%
3
2.93%
3.52%
2.12%
0.85%
0.26%
0.06%
4
0.94%
1.13%
0.68%
0.27%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.24%
0.29%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
Heracles Almelo
1-010.66%
2-06.84%
2-18.24%
3-02.93%
3-13.52%
3-22.12%
4-00.94%
4-11.13%
4-20.68%
4-30.27%
5-00.24%
5-10.29%
5-20.17%
Draw
0-08.31%
1-112.84%
2-24.96%
3-30.85%
Willem II
0-110.01%
0-26.03%
1-27.74%
0-32.42%
1-33.11%
2-31.99%
0-40.73%
1-40.94%
2-40.60%
3-40.26%
0-50.18%
1-50.23%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
Willem II
Score01234
0
31.60%
17.63%
4.92%
0.91%
0.13%
1
18.78%
10.47%
2.92%
0.54%
0.08%
2
5.58%
3.11%
0.87%
0.16%
0.02%
3
1.10%
0.62%
0.17%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.16%
0.09%
0.03%
0.00%
0.00%
Heracles Almelo
1-018.78%
2-05.58%
2-13.11%
3-01.10%
3-10.62%
3-20.17%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-031.60%
1-110.47%
2-20.87%
Willem II
0-117.63%
0-24.92%
1-22.92%
0-30.91%
1-30.54%
2-30.16%
0-40.13%
Fortuna Sittard at Twente
Utrecht at Zwolle