Heracles Almelo at Ajax

Updated

Heracles Almelo

5.6%11.4%82.9%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.66Projected Goals 2.91
1Final Score 4

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam+140
L 0-2 at RKC Waalwijk+240
L 0-2 at Willem II+250
T 1-1 vs Twente+250
W 1-0 at Groningen+340
Ajax
Money Line
L 1-3 at Twente+105
W 1-3 vs Utrecht-340
T 0-0 vs AZ Alkmaar-155
L 0-3 at PSV Eindhoven+230
W 1-3 vs Emmen-950

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+1400-+825+945-+945+945-
Ajax-625--385-425--425-385-
Draw+675-+500+600-+600+600-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+1300----+900+900-
Ajax-585-----475-475-
Draw+700----+685+685-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Ajax: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +825 to +800
Ajax ML moved from -420 to -435

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +1000 to +900
Ajax ML moved from -585 to -600

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-105-o3½-110o3½-117-o3½-117o3½-110-
Underu3½-115-u3½-110u3½-103-u3½-103u3½-103-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.5%
 
No54.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.83%
Exactly 217.97%
Exactly 419.05%
Exactly 68.07%
Exactly 81.83%
Exactly 100.26%
 
Exactly 110.08%
Exactly 321.36%
Exactly 513.58%
Exactly 74.11%
Exactly 90.73%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 051.89%
Exactly 134.04%
Exactly 211.16%
Exactly 32.44%
Exactly 40.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 05.45%
Exactly 115.85%
Exactly 223.06%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 416.28%
Exactly 59.47%
Exactly 64.60%
Exactly 71.91%
Exactly 80.69%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.18%
Exactly 226.15%
Exactly 45.94%
Exactly 60.54%
 
Exactly 131.67%
Exactly 314.39%
Exactly 51.96%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 073.81%
Exactly 122.42%
Exactly 23.40%
Exactly 30.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 025.99%
Exactly 135.02%
Exactly 223.59%
Exactly 310.60%
Exactly 43.57%
Exactly 50.96%
Exactly 60.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals1.31%
Wins by 3+ goals0.22%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals63.85%
Wins by 3+ goals42.20%
Wins by 4+ goals23.87%
Wins by 5+ goals11.64%
Wins by 6+ goals4.92%
Wins by 7+ goals1.81%
Wins by 8+ goals0.55%
Wins by 9+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal4.28%
Wins by 2 goals1.09%
Wins by 3 goals0.20%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal19.01%
Wins by 2 goals21.65%
Wins by 3 goals18.33%
Wins by 4 goals12.23%
Wins by 5 goals6.71%
Wins by 6 goals3.12%
Wins by 7 goals1.25%
Wins by 8 goals0.44%
Wins by 9 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.17%2.83%
1.587.09%12.91%
2.569.12%30.88%
3.547.76%52.24%
4.528.71%71.29%
5.515.12%84.88%
6.57.05%92.95%
7.52.94%97.06%
8.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.11%51.89%
1.514.07%85.93%
2.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.55%5.45%
1.578.70%21.30%
2.555.64%44.36%
3.533.26%66.74%
4.516.99%83.01%
5.57.51%92.49%
6.52.92%97.08%
7.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.82%19.18%
1.549.14%50.86%
2.522.99%77.01%
3.58.60%91.40%
4.52.66%97.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
Ajax
Score012345
0
2.83%
8.23%
11.97%
11.61%
8.45%
4.92%
1
1.85%
5.40%
7.85%
7.62%
5.54%
3.23%
2
0.61%
1.77%
2.58%
2.50%
1.82%
1.06%
3
0.13%
0.39%
0.56%
0.55%
0.40%
0.23%
Heracles Almelo
1-01.85%
2-00.61%
2-11.77%
3-00.13%
3-10.39%
3-20.56%
Draw
0-02.83%
1-15.40%
2-22.58%
3-30.55%
Ajax
0-18.23%
0-211.97%
1-27.85%
0-311.61%
1-37.62%
2-32.50%
0-48.45%
1-45.54%
2-41.82%
3-40.40%
0-54.92%
1-53.23%
2-51.06%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
Ajax
Score0123456
0
19.18%
25.85%
17.41%
7.82%
2.63%
0.71%
0.16%
1
5.83%
7.85%
5.29%
2.38%
0.80%
0.22%
0.05%
2
0.88%
1.19%
0.80%
0.36%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Heracles Almelo
1-05.83%
2-00.88%
2-11.19%
Draw
0-019.18%
1-17.85%
2-20.80%
Ajax
0-125.85%
0-217.41%
1-25.29%
0-37.82%
1-32.38%
2-30.36%
0-42.63%
1-40.80%
2-40.12%
0-50.71%
1-50.22%
0-60.16%
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