AZ Alkmaar at Ajax

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

18.5%21.6%59.9%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.99Projected Goals 1.95
2Final Score 1

Ajax

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Fortuna Sittard-300
T 1-1 vs Heracles Almelo-430
W 3-0 at Zwolle-140
W 0-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam-210
W 2-0 at Vitesse+135
Ajax
Money Line
L 1-3 at Twente+160
T 0-0 at Fortuna Sittard-200
W 1-4 vs Heracles Almelo-475
L 1-3 at Twente+105
W 1-3 vs Utrecht-340

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+190+158+150+156-+156+158-
Ajax+120+168+155+158-+158+168-
Draw+260+268+245+259-+259+268-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+195----+165+165-
Ajax+125----+145+145-
Draw+275----+275+275-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Ajax: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +180 to +170
No Steam Moves On Ajax ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Ajax: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +175 to +165
No Steam Moves On Ajax ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3+113o2¾-118o2¾-120-o2¾-120o2¾-118-
Underu3-105u3-133u2¾-102u2¾+100-u2¾+100u3-133-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-112 to u2¾+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.8%
 
No46.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.28%
Exactly 222.84%
Exactly 416.46%
Exactly 64.75%
Exactly 80.73%
 
Exactly 115.53%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.69%
Exactly 72.00%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 037.29%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.14%
Exactly 35.97%
Exactly 41.47%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 014.16%
Exactly 127.68%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 317.63%
Exactly 48.61%
Exactly 53.37%
Exactly 61.10%
Exactly 70.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.62%
Exactly 223.76%
Exactly 43.67%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.89%
Exactly 310.78%
Exactly 51.00%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 063.33%
Exactly 128.93%
Exactly 26.61%
Exactly 31.01%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 040.45%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 216.57%
Exactly 35.00%
Exactly 41.13%
Exactly 50.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals6.33%
Wins by 3+ goals1.66%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals35.79%
Wins by 3+ goals17.44%
Wins by 4+ goals7.02%
Wins by 5+ goals2.35%
Wins by 6+ goals0.64%
Wins by 7+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal12.13%
Wins by 2 goals4.67%
Wins by 3 goals1.33%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal24.04%
Wins by 2 goals18.35%
Wins by 3 goals10.42%
Wins by 4 goals4.67%
Wins by 5 goals1.71%
Wins by 6 goals0.52%
Wins by 7 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.72%5.28%
1.579.19%20.81%
2.556.35%43.65%
3.533.96%66.04%
4.517.50%82.50%
5.57.81%92.19%
6.53.06%96.94%
7.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.71%37.29%
1.525.93%74.07%
2.57.78%92.22%
3.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.84%14.16%
1.558.16%41.84%
2.531.11%68.89%
3.513.48%86.52%
4.54.87%95.13%
5.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.38%25.62%
1.539.49%60.51%
2.515.74%84.26%
3.54.95%95.05%
4.51.28%98.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Score012345
0
5.28%
10.32%
10.09%
6.57%
3.21%
1.26%
1
5.21%
10.18%
9.95%
6.48%
3.17%
1.24%
2
2.57%
5.02%
4.91%
3.20%
1.56%
0.61%
3
0.84%
1.65%
1.61%
1.05%
0.51%
0.20%
4
0.21%
0.41%
0.40%
0.26%
0.13%
0.05%
AZ Alkmaar
1-05.21%
2-02.57%
2-15.02%
3-00.84%
3-11.65%
3-21.61%
4-00.21%
4-10.41%
4-20.40%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-05.28%
1-110.18%
2-24.91%
3-31.05%
4-40.13%
Ajax
0-110.32%
0-210.09%
1-29.95%
0-36.57%
1-36.48%
2-33.20%
0-43.21%
1-43.17%
2-41.56%
3-40.51%
0-51.26%
1-51.24%
2-50.61%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Score012345
0
25.62%
23.19%
10.49%
3.17%
0.72%
0.13%
1
11.70%
10.59%
4.79%
1.45%
0.33%
0.06%
2
2.67%
2.42%
1.09%
0.33%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.41%
0.37%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
AZ Alkmaar
1-011.70%
2-02.67%
2-12.42%
3-00.41%
3-10.37%
3-20.17%
Draw
0-025.62%
1-110.59%
2-21.09%
Ajax
0-123.19%
0-210.49%
1-24.79%
0-33.17%
1-31.45%
2-30.33%
0-40.72%
1-40.33%
0-50.13%
Feyenoord at Zwolle
Twente at Fortuna Sittard