Ajax at Fortuna Sittard

Updated

Ajax

83.3%10.9%5.7%
Ajax WinDrawWin
3.05Projected Goals 0.72
0Final Score 0

Fortuna Sittard

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Heracles Almelo-475
L 1-3 at Twente+105
W 1-3 vs Utrecht-340
T 0-0 vs AZ Alkmaar-155
L 0-3 at PSV Eindhoven+230
Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
T 0-0 at Feyenoord+1320
L 1-2 at PSV Eindhoven+1800
W 0-2 vs Vitesse+220
L 3-0 vs AZ Alkmaar+365
L 0-4 at Ajax+1650

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-290--160-155--155-155-
Fortuna Sittard+600-+380+375-+375+380-
Draw+440-+320+334-+334+334-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-265-----200-200-
Fortuna Sittard+640----+480+480-
Draw+435----+375+375-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 50.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -195 to -205
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +400 to +375

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 40.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ajax ML
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +550 to +480

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-108-o3-118o3-110-o3-110o3-110-
Underu3½-112-u3-102u3-110-u3-110u3-102-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.31%
Exactly 216.40%
Exactly 419.40%
Exactly 69.18%
Exactly 82.33%
Exactly 100.37%
 
Exactly 18.70%
Exactly 320.59%
Exactly 514.62%
Exactly 74.94%
Exactly 90.97%
Exactly 110.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 04.74%
Exactly 114.45%
Exactly 222.03%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 417.07%
Exactly 510.41%
Exactly 65.29%
Exactly 72.31%
Exactly 80.88%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 048.75%
Exactly 135.02%
Exactly 212.58%
Exactly 33.01%
Exactly 40.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.47%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 46.74%
Exactly 60.68%
 
Exactly 130.48%
Exactly 315.46%
Exactly 52.35%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 024.37%
Exactly 134.40%
Exactly 224.29%
Exactly 311.43%
Exactly 44.04%
Exactly 51.14%
Exactly 60.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 071.70%
Exactly 123.85%
Exactly 23.97%
Exactly 30.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals65.07%
Wins by 3+ goals44.00%
Wins by 4+ goals25.62%
Wins by 5+ goals12.91%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals1.40%
Wins by 3+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal18.15%
Wins by 2 goals21.07%
Wins by 3 goals18.38%
Wins by 4 goals12.71%
Wins by 5 goals7.25%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal4.26%
Wins by 2 goals1.15%
Wins by 3 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.69%2.31%
1.588.99%11.01%
2.572.59%27.41%
3.552.00%48.00%
4.532.60%67.40%
5.517.98%82.02%
6.58.79%91.21%
7.53.85%96.15%
8.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.26%4.74%
1.580.82%19.18%
2.558.79%41.21%
3.536.39%63.61%
4.519.32%80.68%
5.58.90%91.10%
6.53.61%96.39%
7.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.25%48.75%
1.516.22%83.78%
2.53.64%96.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.53%17.47%
1.552.05%47.95%
2.525.46%74.54%
3.510.00%90.00%
4.53.25%96.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
Score0123
0
2.31%
1.66%
0.60%
0.14%
1
7.04%
5.06%
1.82%
0.44%
2
10.74%
7.72%
2.77%
0.66%
3
10.92%
7.84%
2.82%
0.67%
4
8.32%
5.98%
2.15%
0.51%
5
5.08%
3.65%
1.31%
0.31%
Ajax
1-07.04%
2-010.74%
2-17.72%
3-010.92%
3-17.84%
3-22.82%
4-08.32%
4-15.98%
4-22.15%
4-30.51%
5-05.08%
5-13.65%
5-21.31%
5-30.31%
Draw
0-02.31%
1-15.06%
2-22.77%
3-30.67%
Fortuna Sittard
0-11.66%
0-20.60%
1-21.82%
0-30.14%
1-30.44%
2-30.66%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
Score0123
0
17.47%
5.81%
0.97%
0.11%
1
24.67%
8.21%
1.36%
0.15%
2
17.42%
5.79%
0.96%
0.11%
3
8.20%
2.73%
0.45%
0.05%
4
2.89%
0.96%
0.16%
0.02%
5
0.82%
0.27%
0.05%
0.01%
6
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-024.67%
2-017.42%
2-15.79%
3-08.20%
3-12.73%
3-20.45%
4-02.89%
4-10.96%
4-20.16%
5-00.82%
5-10.27%
6-00.19%
Draw
0-017.47%
1-18.21%
2-20.96%
Fortuna Sittard
0-15.81%
0-20.97%
1-21.36%
0-30.11%
1-30.15%
2-30.11%