Fortuna Sittard at Ajax

Updated

Fortuna Sittard

4.2%8.9%86.8%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.66Projected Goals 3.30
0Final Score 4

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Groningen+115
L 3-0 vs Twente+300
W 2-1 at Utrecht+430
L 4-2 vs Feyenoord+625
L 1-3 at RKC Waalwijk+220
Ajax
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Feyenoord-140
W 4-2 at Heerenveen-270
W 2-1 at Vitesse-205
W 0-4 vs Sparta Rotterdam-435
W 1-3 vs RKC Waalwijk-700

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+1400+1606+1300+1600-+1600+1606-
Ajax-625-732-675-825--825-675-
Draw+625+884+725+925-+925+925-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+1800----+1650+1650-
Ajax-800-----850-850-
Draw+805----+900+900-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +1651 to +1606
Ajax ML moved from -850 to -950

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Ajax: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +1500 to +1350
Ajax ML moved from -840 to -850

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-122o3½-137o4+102o3¾-117-o3¾-117o3½-137-
Underu3¼+102u3½+122u4-122u3¾-103-u3¾-103u4-122-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¾-113 to o4-101
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.6%
 
No53.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.90%
Exactly 214.92%
Exactly 419.53%
Exactly 610.23%
Exactly 82.87%
Exactly 100.50%
 
Exactly 17.53%
Exactly 319.71%
Exactly 515.49%
Exactly 75.79%
Exactly 91.26%
Exactly 110.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 051.58%
Exactly 134.15%
Exactly 211.30%
Exactly 32.49%
Exactly 40.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 03.68%
Exactly 112.15%
Exactly 220.07%
Exactly 322.09%
Exactly 418.23%
Exactly 512.04%
Exactly 66.63%
Exactly 73.13%
Exactly 81.29%
Exactly 90.47%
Exactly 100.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 015.96%
Exactly 226.87%
Exactly 47.54%
Exactly 60.85%
 
Exactly 129.28%
Exactly 316.44%
Exactly 52.77%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 073.60%
Exactly 122.56%
Exactly 23.46%
Exactly 30.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 021.68%
Exactly 133.14%
Exactly 225.34%
Exactly 312.91%
Exactly 44.94%
Exactly 51.51%
Exactly 60.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals0.96%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals70.63%
Wins by 3+ goals50.35%
Wins by 4+ goals31.19%
Wins by 5+ goals16.84%
Wins by 6+ goals7.98%
Wins by 7+ goals3.33%
Wins by 8+ goals1.22%
Wins by 9+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal3.22%
Wins by 2 goals0.80%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal16.12%
Wins by 2 goals20.28%
Wins by 3 goals19.16%
Wins by 4 goals14.35%
Wins by 5 goals8.86%
Wins by 6 goals4.64%
Wins by 7 goals2.11%
Wins by 8 goals0.84%
Wins by 9 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.10%1.90%
1.590.58%9.42%
2.575.66%24.34%
3.555.95%44.05%
4.536.41%63.59%
5.520.93%79.07%
6.510.70%89.30%
7.54.90%95.10%
8.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.42%51.58%
1.514.27%85.73%
2.52.97%97.03%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.32%3.68%
1.584.17%15.83%
2.564.10%35.90%
3.542.01%57.99%
4.523.78%76.22%
5.511.74%88.26%
6.55.11%94.89%
7.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.04%15.96%
1.554.76%45.24%
2.527.89%72.11%
3.511.45%88.55%
4.53.90%96.10%
5.51.13%98.87%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Score012345
0
1.90%
6.27%
10.35%
11.39%
9.41%
6.21%
1
1.26%
4.15%
6.85%
7.54%
6.23%
4.11%
2
0.42%
1.37%
2.27%
2.50%
2.06%
1.36%
Fortuna Sittard
1-01.26%
2-00.42%
2-11.37%
Draw
0-01.90%
1-14.15%
2-22.27%
3-30.55%
Ajax
0-16.27%
0-210.35%
1-26.85%
0-311.39%
1-37.54%
2-32.50%
0-49.41%
1-46.23%
2-42.06%
3-40.45%
0-56.21%
1-54.11%
2-51.36%
3-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Score0123456
0
15.96%
24.39%
18.65%
9.50%
3.63%
1.11%
0.28%
1
4.89%
7.48%
5.72%
2.91%
1.11%
0.34%
0.09%
2
0.75%
1.15%
0.88%
0.45%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
Fortuna Sittard
1-04.89%
2-00.75%
2-11.15%
Draw
0-015.96%
1-17.48%
2-20.88%
Ajax
0-124.39%
0-218.65%
1-25.72%
0-39.50%
1-32.91%
2-30.45%
0-43.63%
1-41.11%
2-40.17%
0-51.11%
1-50.34%
0-60.28%