Ajax at PSV Eindhoven

Updated

Ajax

55.9%22.3%21.7%
Ajax WinDrawPSV Eindhoven Win
1.89Projected Goals 1.10
2Final Score 5

PSV Eindhoven

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
L 3-4 at Utrecht-115
L 2-1 vs AZ Alkmaar+145
L 1-3 at Twente+160
T 0-0 at Fortuna Sittard-200
W 1-4 vs Heracles Almelo-475
PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Fortuna Sittard-800
W 4-0 at Sparta Rotterdam-275
W 4-0 at RKC Waalwijk-375
W 3-1 at Vitesse-150
W 0-2 vs Utrecht-300

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+500+696+700+850-+850+850-
PSV Eindhoven-235-289-345-350--350-289-
Draw+390+490+500+500-+500+500-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+615----+900+900-
PSV Eindhoven-265-----375-375-
Draw+435----+525+525-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Ajax: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 60.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 60.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +800 to +700
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -375 to -385

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Ajax: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 60.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 70.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ajax ML
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -350 to -375

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-108o3½-113o3¾+100o3½-115-o3½-115o3½-113-
Underu3½-112u3½-107u3¾-120u3½-105-u3½-105u3¾-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.5%
 
No43.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.04%
Exactly 222.50%
Exactly 416.73%
Exactly 64.98%
Exactly 80.79%
 
Exactly 115.06%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.00%
Exactly 72.12%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 015.08%
Exactly 128.53%
Exactly 226.99%
Exactly 317.02%
Exactly 48.05%
Exactly 53.05%
Exactly 60.96%
Exactly 70.26%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 033.43%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.07%
Exactly 37.33%
Exactly 42.01%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.08%
Exactly 223.99%
Exactly 43.82%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.69%
Exactly 311.06%
Exactly 51.06%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 041.65%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 215.98%
Exactly 34.66%
Exactly 41.02%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 060.21%
Exactly 130.54%
Exactly 27.75%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals32.38%
Wins by 3+ goals15.27%
Wins by 4+ goals5.94%
Wins by 5+ goals1.92%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals8.02%
Wins by 3+ goals2.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal23.49%
Wins by 2 goals17.11%
Wins by 3 goals9.32%
Wins by 4 goals4.02%
Wins by 5 goals1.42%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal13.60%
Wins by 2 goals5.73%
Wins by 3 goals1.80%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.96%5.04%
1.579.90%20.10%
2.557.40%42.60%
3.534.99%65.01%
4.518.26%81.74%
5.58.27%91.73%
6.53.29%96.71%
7.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.92%15.08%
1.556.39%43.61%
2.529.41%70.59%
3.512.39%87.61%
4.54.34%95.66%
5.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.57%33.43%
1.529.94%70.06%
2.59.87%90.13%
3.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.92%25.08%
1.540.23%59.77%
2.516.25%83.75%
3.55.18%94.82%
4.51.36%98.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
Score01234
0
5.04%
5.52%
3.03%
1.10%
0.30%
1
9.54%
10.45%
5.72%
2.09%
0.57%
2
9.02%
9.88%
5.41%
1.98%
0.54%
3
5.69%
6.23%
3.41%
1.25%
0.34%
4
2.69%
2.95%
1.61%
0.59%
0.16%
5
1.02%
1.12%
0.61%
0.22%
0.06%
Ajax
1-09.54%
2-09.02%
2-19.88%
3-05.69%
3-16.23%
3-23.41%
4-02.69%
4-12.95%
4-21.61%
4-30.59%
5-01.02%
5-11.12%
5-20.61%
5-30.22%
Draw
0-05.04%
1-110.45%
2-25.41%
3-31.25%
4-40.16%
PSV Eindhoven
0-15.52%
0-23.03%
1-25.72%
0-31.10%
1-32.09%
2-31.98%
0-40.30%
1-40.57%
2-40.54%
3-40.34%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
Score0123
0
25.08%
12.72%
3.23%
0.55%
1
21.97%
11.14%
2.83%
0.48%
2
9.62%
4.88%
1.24%
0.21%
3
2.81%
1.42%
0.36%
0.06%
4
0.62%
0.31%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-021.97%
2-09.62%
2-14.88%
3-02.81%
3-11.42%
3-20.36%
4-00.62%
4-10.31%
5-00.11%
Draw
0-025.08%
1-111.14%
2-21.24%
PSV Eindhoven
0-112.72%
0-23.23%
1-22.83%
0-30.55%
1-30.48%
2-30.21%