Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 8, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard 		44.8%
30.0%		25.2%
+126
+190

1.54
1.21		2.75
o2¾-120
u2¾+100

Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle 		36.5%
37.9%		25.5%
+163
+153

1.36
1.39		2.75
o2¾-118
u2¾+112

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Vitesse
Utrecht		38.4%
34.9%		26.8%
+265
+105
+285
-115
0
1		-0.73980-0.67548-1.05389
Heerenveen
Ajax		6.6%
81.3%		12.2%
+1296
-475
+1100
-500
0
5		-0.21570-0.23110-0.20722
Vitesse
Groningen		37.3%
33.7%		29.0%
+192
+154
+185
+145
1
0		-1.09643-1.09910-0.98513
AZ Alkmaar
Emmen		83.1%
5.7%		11.2%
-104
+305
-115
+300
3
0		-0.70913-0.67598-0.18547
PSV Eindhoven
Twente		61.6%
18.1%		20.3%
-126
+352
-140
+360
1
2		-1.53090-1.57852-1.71125
Utrecht
Fortuna Sittard		50.3%
26.1%		23.6%
+111
+243
+115
+215
4
3		-0.77360-0.81697-0.68720
Ajax
Utrecht		72.8%
11.0%		16.2%
-217
+550
-230
+520
2
0		-0.40572-0.41211-0.31728
Fortuna Sittard
Heerenveen		23.0%
54.2%		22.9%
+446
-153
+425
-160
1
2		-0.52862-0.53408-0.61306
Emmen
Feyenoord		5.7%
83.3%		11.0%
+954
-337
+850
-335
0
4		-0.28964-0.30933-0.18293
RKC Waalwijk
Vitesse		8.8%
76.0%		15.2%
+356
-117
+340
-120
2
2		-1.35833-1.33018-1.88480
Feyenoord
RKC Waalwijk		75.7%
9.0%		15.3%
-244
+642
-250
+620
1
0		-0.37535-0.38455-0.27810
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam		81.6%
6.6%		11.8%
-392
+1167
-400
+1000
1
0		-0.25864-0.27279-0.20281
Utrecht
Emmen		68.8%
13.5%		17.8%
+155
+187
+150
+180
2
3		-1.07634-1.07960-2.00493
Heerenveen
Vitesse		23.7%
52.5%		23.8%
+230
+128
+240
+115
4
0		-1.21777-1.27576-1.43948
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam		68.9%
13.3%		17.7%
-105
+326
-110
+310
3
2		-0.69728-0.69485-0.37198
Fortuna Sittard
Twente		26.3%
49.7%		24.0%
+675
-200
+600
-220
0
3		-0.40949-0.42593-0.69997
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.