Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 8, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard 		44.8%
30.0%		25.2%
+126
+190

1.54
1.21		2.75
o2¾-120
u2¾+100

Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle 		36.5%
37.9%		25.5%
+163
+153

1.36
1.39		2.75
o2¾-118
u2¾+105

Games for Nov 7, 2025
Games for Nov 9, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
PSV Eindhoven
Zwolle		69.2%
13.5%		17.3%
-238
+634
-220
+475
2
1		-0.37603-0.42528-0.36833
Sparta Rotterdam
Heracles Almelo		29.6%
45.1%		25.2%
+250
+145
+245
+140
3
1		-1.27533-1.28844-1.21729
Twente
Feyenoord		15.4%
65.0%		19.5%
+539
-214
+500
-220
2
1		-1.88466-1.84263-1.86808
RKC Waalwijk
AZ Alkmaar		4.8%
84.6%		10.6%
+1068
-417
+975
-420
3
1		-2.49157-2.42588-3.03136
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht		55.9%
21.5%		22.6%
+127
+203
+115
+210
2
2		-1.40666-1.38462-1.48687
Groningen
Twente		40.1%
32.0%		27.9%
+621
-198
+620
-220
0
3		-0.43581-0.42216-1.14025
Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam		30.0%
45.5%		24.4%
+212
+144
+215
+130
0
2		-0.91200-0.88242-0.78700
Heracles Almelo
RKC Waalwijk		54.9%
21.2%		23.8%
+252
+128
+240
+120
0
2		-0.84341-0.83884-1.55089
Vitesse
Fortuna Sittard		56.4%
21.2%		22.4%
+145
+204
+160
+165
2
1		-0.91707-1.00605-0.57275
Heerenveen
Ajax		6.6%
81.3%		12.2%
+1684
-625
+1300
-650
0
5		-0.17431-0.19416-0.20722
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord		36.8%
36.8%		26.4%
+224
+112
+200
+120
2
2		-1.42749-1.38478-1.33044
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar		50.9%
24.7%		24.3%
-110
+346
-150
+350
2
2		-1.35580-1.52092-1.41453
Heerenveen
Vitesse		23.7%
52.5%		23.8%
+307
+100
+320
-125
2
1		-1.41878-1.48391-1.43948
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen		22.2%
53.8%		24.0%
+310
+106
+270
+110
2
1		-1.43590-1.35662-1.50458
Heracles Almelo
Willem II		38.3%
34.6%		27.1%
+227
+144
+250
+120
0
2		-0.90959-0.83986-1.06140
Utrecht
Zwolle		50.2%
26.2%		23.6%
+185
+150
+185
+145
1
1		-1.31327-1.28609-1.44587
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.