Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated 7 days ago

Upcoming Games for November 17, 2024

There are no games on the schedule today.

Games for Nov 16, 2024

Games for Nov 18, 2024

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
09/25/2021 02:30 PM	PSV Eindhoven Willem II	60.8% 21.6%	17.6%	-220 +640 -225 +575	1 2	-2.02989-1.95928	-1.53197
09/23/2021 07:00 PM	AZ Alkmaar Twente	58.1% 22.5%	19.4%	+110 +235 +110 +230	1 3	-1.25295-1.24223	-1.49086
09/22/2021 07:00 PM	Sparta Rotterdam Zwolle	37.8% 38.8%	23.5%	+138 +230 +140 +210	1 1	-1.20909-1.21362	-1.45026
09/22/2021 07:00 PM	Heerenveen Feyenoord	24.5% 54.9%	20.6%	+1000 -326 +850 -340	1 3	-0.29013-0.30843	-0.59966
09/22/2021 06:00 PM	Vitesse Groningen	38.1% 35.4%	26.5%	+205 +133 +200 +130	1 0	-1.15315-1.14721	-0.96569
09/21/2021 07:00 PM	Willem II RKC Waalwijk	46.1% 30.1%	23.8%	+190 +140 +190 +135	2 1	-1.10250-1.11544	-0.77455
09/21/2021 04:45 PM	Ajax Fortuna Sittard	76.3% 12.0%	11.7%	-700 +1600 -800 +1900	5 0	-0.17977-0.16959	-0.27031
09/19/2021 02:45 PM	AZ Alkmaar Heracles Almelo	57.7% 22.2%	20.1%	-141 +370 -140 +350	2 3	-1.59425-1.55523	-1.50517
09/19/2021 02:45 PM	Twente Vitesse	26.3% 51.9%	21.7%	+326 -123 +300 -115	4 1	-1.49237-1.43658	-1.33431
09/19/2021 12:30 PM	Feyenoord PSV Eindhoven	32.6% 44.0%	23.4%	+388 -139 +375 -145	4 0	-1.62100-1.60919	-1.12113
09/18/2021 07:00 PM	RKC Waalwijk Utrecht	18.2% 64.8%	17.0%	+939 -345 +950 -375	2 2	-1.82084-1.84187	-1.77243
09/18/2021 04:45 PM	Groningen Willem II	44.6% 30.4%	25.0%	+225 +126 +225 +120	1 2	-0.85381-0.83924	-1.19162
09/18/2021 02:30 PM	Fortuna Sittard Heerenveen	28.2% 49.8%	21.9%	+350 -122 +360 -140	0 1	-0.62019-0.58848	-0.69627
08/29/2021 02:45 PM	AZ Alkmaar Heerenveen	54.6% 24.6%	20.8%	-110 +305 -110 +280	3 1	-0.67995-0.69555	-0.60508
08/29/2021 12:30 PM	Vitesse Ajax	17.2% 66.5%	16.3%	+1800 -667 +1400 -625	0 5	-0.16171-0.19716	-0.40806
08/29/2021 10:15 AM	Feyenoord Utrecht	44.7% 31.7%	23.6%	+171 +155 +155 +160	1 3	-0.97061-1.00501	-1.14747

Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)	18.0	5.0	2.0	56.0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)	18.0	5.0	2.0	56.0	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
3	Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)	14.0	3.0	8.0	50.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
4	PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)	14.0	5.0	7.0	49.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
5	Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)	13.0	8.0	5.0	44.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
6	Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)	12.0	8.0	5.0	41.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
7	Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)	12.0	9.0	5.0	41.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
8	Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)	10.0	10.0	6.0	36.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)	10.0	11.0	5.0	35.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)	8.0	9.0	9.0	33.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)	9.0	11.0	6.0	33.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)	9.0	12.0	5.0	32.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)	8.0	14.0	4.0	28.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)	7.0	13.0	6.0	27.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
15	Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)	7.0	14.0	5.0	26.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
16	Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)	6.0	12.0	8.0	26.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
17	ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)	4.0	15.0	7.0	19.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
18	RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)	4.0	19.0	3.0	15.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.