Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 8, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard 		44.8%
30.0%		25.2%
+131
+193

1.54
1.21		2.75
o2¾-111
u2¾-108

Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle 		36.5%
37.9%		25.5%
+161
+153

1.36
1.39		2.75
o2¾-118
u2¾+105

Games for Nov 7, 2025
Games for Nov 9, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Groningen
Utrecht		32.0%
40.2%		27.7%
+320
-110
+350
-125
3
1		-1.47033-1.55452-1.13822
Zwolle
Twente		26.5%
49.6%		23.9%
+538
-175
+500
-180
0
1		-0.48833-0.49389-0.70152
Heracles Almelo
Heerenveen		28.8%
45.3%		25.9%
+240
+126
+195
+140
0
2		-0.84562-0.92402-0.79133
Twente
AZ Alkmaar		11.2%
72.1%		16.6%
+400
-110
+400
-130
1
0		-1.61974-1.65910-2.18631
Feyenoord
Zwolle		64.5%
16.0%		19.5%
-200
+550
-210
+550
2
1		-0.44732-0.44158-0.43920
Vitesse
Heracles Almelo		47.6%
26.9%		25.5%
+265
+105
+185
+150
0
0		-1.30745-1.24643-1.36477
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht		52.2%
24.7%		23.0%
-140
+360
-135
+340
1
0		-0.57174-0.60475-0.64919
Willem II
Fortuna Sittard		34.1%
40.0%		25.9%
+235
+128
+215
+135
0
1		-0.86800-0.90387-0.91542
Heerenveen
RKC Waalwijk		60.0%
18.2%		21.8%
+190
+159
+180
+150
0
0		-1.26104-1.27379-1.52468
Zwolle
Fortuna Sittard		33.3%
41.4%		25.3%
+170
+180
+160
+170
1
0		-1.01382-1.00343-1.09904
RKC Waalwijk
Ajax		2.8%
90.1%		7.1%
+5000
-2445

2
3		-0.07042-0.10439
Heracles Almelo
PSV Eindhoven		13.0%
69.2%		17.8%
+1467
-535
+1000
-450
1
3		-0.20564-0.25132-0.36792
Groningen
Feyenoord		21.1%
54.5%		24.5%
+1452
-461
+1200
-400
1
1		-1.97942-1.79878-1.40829
Heerenveen
Willem II		43.5%
31.0%		25.5%
+175
+177
+165
+175
0
0		-1.21049-1.21527-1.36543
Utrecht
Heerenveen		37.1%
36.2%		26.7%
+115
+252
+105
+250
2
1		-0.78404-0.76787-0.99166
PSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam		66.1%
15.5%		18.4%
-199
+653
-215
+610
2
1		-0.43245-0.43135-0.41412
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.