Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 17, 2024

There are no games on the schedule today.
Games for Nov 16, 2024
Games for Nov 18, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Willem II
Utrecht		26.4%
52.7%		21.0%
+520
-185
+525
-195
2
3		-0.46619-0.46362-0.64111
Zwolle
Vitesse		22.9%
58.9%		18.2%
+565
-213
+575
-225
1
2		-0.42808-0.41746-0.52941
AZ Alkmaar
RKC Waalwijk		76.4%
13.3%		10.3%
-263
+675
-260
+650
3
1		-0.35325-0.37577-0.26890
Twente
Fortuna Sittard		39.3%
34.8%		25.9%
+128
+217
+115
+210
0
3		-1.17636-1.18101-1.05463
VVV-Venlo
Heracles Almelo		29.6%
46.5%		23.9%
+365
-135
+360
-140
0
4		-0.59307-0.58848-0.76615
Vitesse
Feyenoord		29.8%
45.6%		24.6%
+355
-139
+335
-130
0
0		-1.05882-1.07057-0.99772
Utrecht
Twente		40.1%
34.1%		25.8%
+112
+247
+105
+240
2
1		-0.78327-0.76873-0.91282
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax		24.8%
54.4%		20.7%
+570
-227
+460
-195
0
2		-0.40157-0.46288-0.60864
Fortuna Sittard
ADO Den Haag		47.9%
28.8%		23.4%
+128
+220
-110
+280
3
0		-0.84179-0.69555-0.73687
Heracles Almelo
Emmen		53.7%
25.2%		21.1%
+217
+131
+185
+145
1
3		-0.87074-0.94384-1.37813
Groningen
PSV Eindhoven		24.4%
54.3%		21.3%
+1300
-455
+1200
-475
0
1		-0.23774-0.24095-0.61112
VVV-Venlo
Sparta Rotterdam		32.0%
44.0%		24.0%
+425
-152
+450
-160
0
2		-0.54185-0.53164-0.82044
Zwolle
Heerenveen		28.2%
49.5%		22.3%
+265
-101
+260
-105
2
0		-1.32332-1.33272-1.26581
RKC Waalwijk
Willem II		25.5%
52.7%		21.7%
+345
-123
+285
-110
0
1		-0.63038-0.69904-0.63989
Utrecht
Ajax		15.4%
73.7%		11.0%
+534
-224
+575
-230
1
1		-1.15144-1.18331-1.08924
Ajax
RKC Waalwijk		82.0%
7.6%		10.4%
-588
+1400
-600
+1400
1
0		-0.19636-0.20181-0.19813
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.