Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 8, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard 		44.8%
30.0%		25.2%
+130
+195

1.54
1.21		2.75
o2¾-109
u2¾-108

Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle 		36.5%
37.9%		25.5%
+152
+160

1.36
1.39		2.75
o2¾-125
u2¾+105

Games for Nov 7, 2025
Games for Nov 9, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar		25.7%
49.6%		24.7%
+170
+173
+150
+170
1
2		-1.02884-1.04401-0.70120
Willem II
Groningen		20.4%
55.9%		23.7%
+399
-112
+425
-135
0
1		-0.65322-0.60373-0.58141
Zwolle
Heracles Almelo		26.6%
48.9%		24.5%
+245
+128
+265
+105
0
2		-0.84992-0.76819-0.71627
Twente
RKC Waalwijk		55.8%
21.1%		23.1%
+121
+247
+120
+225
2
1		-0.81667-0.83924-0.58306
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven		15.4%
65.7%		18.9%
+1733
-548
+1600
-600
1
3		-0.19254-0.20226-0.41957
Vitesse
Utrecht		38.4%
34.9%		26.8%
+387
-131
+355
-135
1
1		-1.41787-1.41038-1.31789
Groningen
Zwolle		48.3%
26.0%		25.7%
+253
+130
+225
+125
1
1		-1.22540-1.25836-1.36055
Heracles Almelo
AZ Alkmaar		11.2%
71.6%		17.2%
+790
-256
+750
-265
1
2		-0.36150-0.37086-0.33463
Ajax
Willem II		82.5%
6.0%		11.5%
-667
+2010
-775
+2000
1
0		-0.16648-0.17108-0.19231
Twente
Ajax		12.2%
79.8%		8.1%
+1500
-553
+1450
-600
0
5		-0.19605-0.20360-0.22619
Feyenoord
RKC Waalwijk		70.4%
16.4%		13.2%
-345
+1086
-425
+1100
2
0		-0.27727-0.26282-0.35059
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam		33.2%
42.1%		24.8%
+313
+100
+290
-105
0
1		-0.72221-0.71812-0.86603
PSV Eindhoven
Vitesse		42.7%
32.3%		25.0%
-152
+447
-150
+400
5
0		-0.53444-0.55961-0.85181
Fortuna Sittard
Groningen		25.3%
52.4%		22.3%
+368
-110
+355
-120
1
0		-1.55917-1.56480-1.37362
Utrecht
Heracles Almelo		39.9%
33.6%		26.4%
+169
+182
+120
+220
0
1		-1.04954-1.21456-1.08969
Heracles Almelo
Ajax		11.5%
75.9%		12.7%
+1976
-714
+2500
-1000
0
3		-0.15637-0.14677-0.27624
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.