Heerenveen at Ajax

Updated

Heerenveen

6.6%12.2%81.3%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.72Projected Goals 2.88
0Final Score 5

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Heerenveen
Money Line
W 2-1 at Vitesse+320
L 1-2 at AZ Alkmaar+750
W 1-3 vs Groningen+125
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+235
W 0-2 vs Heracles Almelo+140
Ajax
Money Line
T 2-2 at AZ Alkmaar-150
W 0-3 vs Zwolle-650
W 1-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam-1100
W 3-1 at Groningen-385
W 2-3 vs Feyenoord-210

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+1600+1684+1300+1250+1460+1250+1684+1478.8
Ajax-800-668-675-625-701-625-625-476.8
Draw+775+825+700+750+771+750+825+808.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+1400----+1300+1300+1478.8
Ajax-675-----650-650-476.8
Draw+800----+775+775+808.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 20.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 20.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +1440 to +1424
Ajax ML moved from -637 to -673

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 10.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +1550 to +1300
Ajax ML moved from -600 to -650

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¾-112o4+105o4+102o3¾-119-o3¾-119o3¾-119o4+109
Underu3¾-108u4-120u4-122u3¾-101-u3¾-101u4-120u4-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4+109
Under-----u4-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¾-115 to o4-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.74%
Exactly 217.74%
Exactly 419.11%
Exactly 68.24%
Exactly 81.90%
Exactly 100.27%
 
Exactly 19.86%
Exactly 321.26%
Exactly 513.75%
Exactly 74.23%
Exactly 90.76%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 048.62%
Exactly 135.06%
Exactly 212.64%
Exactly 33.04%
Exactly 40.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 05.64%
Exactly 116.22%
Exactly 223.32%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 416.06%
Exactly 59.24%
Exactly 64.43%
Exactly 71.82%
Exactly 80.65%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.92%
Exactly 226.22%
Exactly 46.06%
Exactly 60.56%
 
Exactly 131.50%
Exactly 314.55%
Exactly 52.02%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 071.61%
Exactly 123.91%
Exactly 23.99%
Exactly 30.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 026.42%
Exactly 135.17%
Exactly 223.41%
Exactly 310.39%
Exactly 43.46%
Exactly 50.92%
Exactly 60.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals1.62%
Wins by 3+ goals0.29%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals61.78%
Wins by 3+ goals40.27%
Wins by 4+ goals22.47%
Wins by 5+ goals10.80%
Wins by 6+ goals4.51%
Wins by 7+ goals1.63%
Wins by 8+ goals0.49%
Wins by 9+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Heerenveen
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal4.86%
Wins by 2 goals1.33%
Wins by 3 goals0.26%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal19.42%
Wins by 2 goals21.51%
Wins by 3 goals17.81%
Wins by 4 goals11.66%
Wins by 5 goals6.29%
Wins by 6 goals2.88%
Wins by 7 goals1.14%
Wins by 8 goals0.39%
Wins by 9 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.26%2.74%
1.587.39%12.61%
2.569.66%30.34%
3.548.40%51.60%
4.529.28%70.72%
5.515.54%84.46%
6.57.30%92.70%
7.53.06%96.94%
8.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.38%48.62%
1.516.32%83.68%
2.53.68%96.32%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.36%5.64%
1.578.14%21.86%
2.554.82%45.18%
3.532.48%67.52%
4.516.42%83.58%
5.57.19%92.81%
6.52.76%97.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.08%18.92%
1.549.58%50.42%
2.523.36%76.64%
3.58.80%91.20%
4.52.74%97.26%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heerenveen
Ajax
Score012345
0
2.74%
7.89%
11.34%
10.86%
7.81%
4.49%
1
1.98%
5.69%
8.17%
7.83%
5.63%
3.24%
2
0.71%
2.05%
2.95%
2.82%
2.03%
1.17%
3
0.17%
0.49%
0.71%
0.68%
0.49%
0.28%
Heerenveen
1-01.98%
2-00.71%
2-12.05%
3-00.17%
3-10.49%
3-20.71%
Draw
0-02.74%
1-15.69%
2-22.95%
3-30.68%
Ajax
0-17.89%
0-211.34%
1-28.17%
0-310.86%
1-37.83%
2-32.82%
0-47.81%
1-45.63%
2-42.03%
3-40.49%
0-54.49%
1-53.24%
2-51.17%
3-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Heerenveen
Ajax
Score0123456
0
18.92%
25.18%
16.76%
7.44%
2.48%
0.66%
0.15%
1
6.32%
8.41%
5.60%
2.48%
0.83%
0.22%
0.05%
2
1.05%
1.40%
0.93%
0.41%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.12%
0.16%
0.10%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Heerenveen
1-06.32%
2-01.05%
2-11.40%
3-00.12%
3-10.16%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-018.92%
1-18.41%
2-20.93%
Ajax
0-125.18%
0-216.76%
1-25.60%
0-37.44%
1-32.48%
2-30.41%
0-42.48%
1-40.83%
2-40.14%
0-50.66%
1-50.22%
0-60.15%