Heerenveen at Ajax

Updated

Heerenveen

6.6%12.2%81.3%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.72Projected Goals 2.88
0Final Score 5

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Heerenveen
Money Line
W 2-1 at Vitesse+320
L 1-2 at AZ Alkmaar+750
W 1-3 vs Groningen+125
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+235
W 0-2 vs Heracles Almelo+140
Ajax
Money Line
T 2-2 at AZ Alkmaar-150
W 0-3 vs Zwolle-650
W 1-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam-1100
W 3-1 at Groningen-385
W 2-3 vs Feyenoord-210

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+1600+1684+1300+1250+1460+1250+1684+1478.8
Ajax-800-668-675-625-701-625-625-476.8
Draw+775+825+700+750+771+750+825+808.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+1400----+1300+1300+1478.8
Ajax-675-----650-650-476.8
Draw+800----+775+775+808.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 20.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heerenveen: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 20.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +1440 to +1424
Ajax ML moved from -637 to -673

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 10.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heerenveen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +1550 to +1300
Ajax ML moved from -600 to -650

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¾-112o4+105o4+102o3¾-119-o3¾-119o3¾-119o4+109
Underu3¾-108u4-120u4-122u3¾-101-u3¾-101u4-120u4-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4+109
Under-----u4-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¾-115 to o4-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.74%
Exactly 217.74%
Exactly 419.11%
Exactly 68.24%
Exactly 81.90%
Exactly 100.27%
 
Exactly 19.86%
Exactly 321.26%
Exactly 513.75%
Exactly 74.23%
Exactly 90.76%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 048.62%
Exactly 135.06%
Exactly 212.64%
Exactly 33.04%
Exactly 40.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 05.64%
Exactly 116.22%
Exactly 223.32%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 416.06%
Exactly 59.24%
Exactly 64.43%
Exactly 71.82%
Exactly 80.65%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.92%
Exactly 226.22%
Exactly 46.06%
Exactly 60.56%
 
Exactly 131.50%
Exactly 314.55%
Exactly 52.02%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 071.61%
Exactly 123.91%
Exactly 23.99%
Exactly 30.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 026.42%
Exactly 135.17%
Exactly 223.41%
Exactly 310.39%
Exactly 43.46%
Exactly 50.92%
Exactly 60.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals1.62%
Wins by 3+ goals0.29%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals61.78%
Wins by 3+ goals40.27%
Wins by 4+ goals22.47%
Wins by 5+ goals10.80%
Wins by 6+ goals4.51%
Wins by 7+ goals1.63%
Wins by 8+ goals0.49%
Wins by 9+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Heerenveen
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal4.86%
Wins by 2 goals1.33%
Wins by 3 goals0.26%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal19.42%
Wins by 2 goals21.51%
Wins by 3 goals17.81%
Wins by 4 goals11.66%
Wins by 5 goals6.29%
Wins by 6 goals2.88%
Wins by 7 goals1.14%
Wins by 8 goals0.39%
Wins by 9 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.26%2.74%
1.587.39%12.61%
2.569.66%30.34%
3.548.40%51.60%
4.529.28%70.72%
5.515.54%84.46%
6.57.30%92.70%
7.53.06%96.94%
8.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.38%48.62%
1.516.32%83.68%
2.53.68%96.32%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.36%5.64%
1.578.14%21.86%
2.554.82%45.18%
3.532.48%67.52%
4.516.42%83.58%
5.57.19%92.81%
6.52.76%97.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.08%18.92%
1.549.58%50.42%
2.523.36%76.64%
3.58.80%91.20%
4.52.74%97.26%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heerenveen
Ajax
Score012345
0
2.74%
7.89%
11.34%
10.86%
7.81%
4.49%
1
1.98%
5.69%
8.17%
7.83%
5.63%
3.24%
2
0.71%
2.05%
2.95%
2.82%
2.03%
1.17%
3
0.17%
0.49%
0.71%
0.68%
0.49%
0.28%
Heerenveen
1-01.98%
2-00.71%
2-12.05%
3-00.17%
3-10.49%
3-20.71%
Draw
0-02.74%
1-15.69%
2-22.95%
3-30.68%
Ajax
0-17.89%
0-211.34%
1-28.17%
0-310.86%
1-37.83%
2-32.82%
0-47.81%
1-45.63%
2-42.03%
3-40.49%
0-54.49%
1-53.24%
2-51.17%
3-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Heerenveen
Ajax
Score0123456
0
18.92%
25.18%
16.76%
7.44%
2.48%
0.66%
0.15%
1
6.32%
8.41%
5.60%
2.48%
0.83%
0.22%
0.05%
2
1.05%
1.40%
0.93%
0.41%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.12%
0.16%
0.10%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Heerenveen
1-06.32%
2-01.05%
2-11.40%
3-00.12%
3-10.16%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-018.92%
1-18.41%
2-20.93%
Ajax
0-125.18%
0-216.76%
1-25.60%
0-37.44%
1-32.48%
2-30.41%
0-42.48%
1-40.83%
2-40.14%
0-50.66%
1-50.22%
0-60.15%
PSV Eindhoven at Feyenoord
Vitesse at Fortuna Sittard