Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 8, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard 		44.8%
30.0%		25.2%
+125
+200

1.54
1.21		2.75
o2¾-109
u2¾-108

Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle 		36.5%
37.9%		25.5%
+152
+161

1.36
1.39		2.75
o2¾-125
u2¾+105

Games for Nov 7, 2025
Games for Nov 9, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
RKC Waalwijk
Willem II		25.5%
52.7%		21.7%
+217
+138
+225
+125
1
3		-0.89226-0.86034-0.63989
Sparta Rotterdam
Feyenoord		20.7%
61.9%		17.4%
+1200
-435
+1300
-475
0
4		-0.24332-0.24228-0.47910
Vitesse
Twente		45.3%
31.0%		23.7%
+180
+170
+180
+165
0
3		-1.02784-1.02521-1.17099
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven		37.7%
38.1%		24.2%
+280
+100
+355
-130
2
1		-1.37888-1.56552-0.97445
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard		43.3%
33.1%		23.6%
+210
+133
+180
+140
0
2		-0.87129-0.92576-1.10518
Fortuna Sittard
RKC Waalwijk		45.3%
30.9%		23.7%
+210
+140
+200
+140
1
2		-0.90912-0.92284-1.17386
Utrecht
Sparta Rotterdam		44.3%
32.7%		23.0%
+115
+260
+110
+255
3
0		-0.79367-0.79264-0.81423
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven		51.2%
27.4%		21.4%
-110
+298
-115
+295
2
1		-0.69027-0.67564-0.66994
Twente
Willem II		39.4%
36.4%		24.2%
+135
+225
+130
+240
1
0		-0.89270-0.88312-0.93186
Zwolle
Heerenveen		28.4%
49.8%		21.8%
+190
+146
+200
+140
1
0		-1.09491-1.14599-1.25949
Groningen
Vitesse		30.3%
44.0%		25.7%
+265
+105
+290
+100
3
1		-1.33651-1.41026-1.19274
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard		64.3%
19.0%		16.7%
-195
+600
-210
+575
2
1		-0.45240-0.43615-0.44184
PSV Eindhoven
Groningen		47.4%
28.8%		23.9%
-220
+610
-270
+750
1
0		-0.41898-0.36525-0.74701
Ajax
Utrecht		65.3%
18.4%		16.3%
-265
+640
-220
+550
3
0		-0.36549-0.42528-0.42615
Heerenveen
Twente		37.8%
37.8%		24.4%
+310
-110
+300
-115
0
2		-0.68043-0.67598-0.97188
Vitesse
Feyenoord		30.1%
46.2%		23.7%
+640
-235
+650
-250
1
0		-2.04299-2.06530-1.19988
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.