Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 9, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Ajax
Utrecht 		72.8%
11.0%		16.2%
+145
+169

2.48
0.86		3.34
o3+102
u3-120

PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar 		29.4%
45.6%		25.0%
+114
+200

1.21
1.56		2.77
o3¼-118
u3¼+100

Games for Nov 8, 2025
Games for Nov 10, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
ADO Den Haag
Twente		21.1%
62.0%		17.0%
+480
-192
+400
-170
2
3		-0.45599-0.51318-0.47870
Heracles Almelo
AZ Alkmaar		18.7%
65.8%		15.5%
+450
-172
+410
-170
0
5		-0.48444-0.51673-0.41911
Utrecht
Sparta Rotterdam		43.6%
32.1%		24.3%
+122
+206
+120
+205
0
0		-1.00438-0.99971-0.98310
Twente
RKC Waalwijk		51.0%
26.5%		22.5%
+135
+197
+170
+155
1
2		-1.12341-0.98321-1.32727
Zwolle
PSV Eindhoven		17.8%
70.1%		12.1%
+1733
-700
+1650
-600
2
4		-0.17435-0.20505-0.35516
Feyenoord
Heracles Almelo		51.1%
26.3%		22.5%
-102
+255
-105
+265
1
1		-1.00292-1.03004-1.00260
Vitesse
Fortuna Sittard		51.4%
26.8%		21.8%
-105
+274
-110
+280
3
3		-1.03133-1.04306-0.99090
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen		49.6%
26.2%		24.2%
-156
+460
-160
+450
0
0		-1.14040-1.14734-1.02048
Heerenveen
Emmen		58.0%
23.3%		18.7%
+225
+115
+230
+110
1
3		-0.80419-0.79025-1.45676
VVV-Venlo
Ajax		9.5%
85.0%		5.5%
+2000
-769
+2000
-950
1
3		-0.14543-0.15114-0.16284
Willem II
ADO Den Haag		48.7%
28.1%		23.2%
-102
+262
-105
+250
4
1		-0.72021-0.71885-0.71890
PSV Eindhoven
Willem II		61.7%
21.9%		16.4%
-204
+525
-205
+540
2
0		-0.43547-0.44666-0.48349
ADO Den Haag
Zwolle		24.6%
55.5%		19.9%
+280
-105
+305
-115
1
0		-1.38314-1.44949-1.40303
Ajax
Feyenoord		54.2%
25.0%		20.9%
-213
+560
-190
+430
3
0		-0.41077-0.47372-0.61297
Groningen
Emmen		60.6%
20.8%		18.7%
+230
+132
+230
+120
4
0		-1.22254-1.24434-0.50124
RKC Waalwijk
VVV-Venlo		26.8%
51.1%		22.1%
+190
+142
+190
+140
3
3		-1.01321-1.02016-0.99413
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-2-0 (0.000)0-1.08108 
Sportsbooks20-0-0 (0.500)2 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-1.08660
-0.00553

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Ajax (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2AZ Alkmaar (18-5-2, 56 pts)18.05.02.056.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Feyenoord (14-3-8, 50 pts)14.03.08.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4PSV Eindhoven (14-5-7, 49 pts)14.05.07.049.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
5Willem II (13-8-5, 44 pts)13.08.05.044.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
6Utrecht (12-8-5, 41 pts)12.08.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Vitesse (12-9-5, 41 pts)12.09.05.041.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Heracles Almelo (10-10-6, 36 pts)10.010.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Groningen (10-11-5, 35 pts)10.011.05.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Heerenveen (8-9-9, 33 pts)8.09.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Sparta Rotterdam (9-11-6, 33 pts)9.011.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Emmen (9-12-5, 32 pts)9.012.05.032.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VVV-Venlo (8-14-4, 28 pts)8.014.04.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Twente (7-13-6, 27 pts)7.013.06.027.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Zwolle (7-14-5, 26 pts)7.014.05.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Fortuna Sittard (6-12-8, 26 pts)6.012.08.026.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17ADO Den Haag (4-15-7, 19 pts)4.015.07.019.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18RKC Waalwijk (4-19-3, 15 pts)4.019.03.015.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.