Ajax at Zwolle

Updated

Ajax

79.4%8.0%12.6%
Ajax WinDrawWin
3.28Projected Goals 0.52
2Final Score 0

Zwolle

Last 2 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Groningen-425
T 1-1 at PSV Eindhoven+105
Zwolle
Money Line
L 1-2 at Heracles Almelo+250
W 1-4 vs Heerenveen+155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-400-526-500-526-578-526-500-
Zwolle+810+1155+1100+1200+1187+1200+1200-
Draw+490+662+600+650+672+660+672-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-380-----500-500-
Zwolle+900----+1150+1150-
Draw+525----+625+625-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Zwolle: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Zwolle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -503 to -578
Zwolle ML moved from +1089 to +1040

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Zwolle: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Zwolle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -475 to -500
Zwolle ML moved from +950 to +925

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-110o3½-119o4+105o3¾-119-o3¾-119o3½-119-
Underu3½-110u3½-102u4-125u3¾-101-u3¾-101u4-125-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-130 to o4+110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.9%
 
No61.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.24%
Exactly 216.17%
Exactly 419.43%
Exactly 69.35%
Exactly 82.41%
Exactly 100.39%
 
Exactly 18.51%
Exactly 320.47%
Exactly 514.76%
Exactly 75.07%
Exactly 91.02%
Exactly 110.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 03.76%
Exactly 112.34%
Exactly 220.24%
Exactly 322.13%
Exactly 418.15%
Exactly 511.90%
Exactly 66.51%
Exactly 73.05%
Exactly 81.25%
Exactly 90.46%
Exactly 100.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Zwolle
Exactly 059.55%
Exactly 130.87%
Exactly 28.00%
Exactly 31.38%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.23%
Exactly 226.64%
Exactly 46.87%
Exactly 60.71%
 
Exactly 130.30%
Exactly 315.62%
Exactly 52.41%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 021.90%
Exactly 133.26%
Exactly 225.25%
Exactly 312.78%
Exactly 44.85%
Exactly 51.47%
Exactly 60.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Zwolle
Exactly 078.66%
Exactly 118.88%
Exactly 22.27%
Exactly 30.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals73.21%
Wins by 3+ goals52.70%
Wins by 4+ goals32.87%
Wins by 5+ goals17.82%
Zwolle
Wins by 2+ goals0.59%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Zwolle
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal15.64%
Wins by 2 goals20.51%
Wins by 3 goals19.83%
Wins by 4 goals15.05%
Wins by 5 goals9.36%
Zwolle
Wins by 1 goal2.47%
Wins by 2 goals0.51%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.76%2.24%
1.589.25%10.75%
2.573.08%26.92%
3.552.61%47.39%
4.533.18%66.82%
5.518.42%81.58%
6.59.07%90.93%
7.54.00%96.00%
8.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.24%3.76%
1.583.89%16.11%
2.563.65%36.35%
3.541.52%58.48%
4.523.37%76.63%
5.511.47%88.53%
6.54.96%95.04%
7.51.92%98.08%

Total Goals Zwolle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.45%59.55%
1.59.58%90.42%
2.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.77%17.23%
1.552.47%47.53%
2.525.83%74.17%
3.510.21%89.79%
4.53.35%96.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Zwolle
Score012
0
2.24%
1.16%
0.30%
1
7.35%
3.81%
0.99%
2
12.05%
6.25%
1.62%
3
13.18%
6.83%
1.77%
4
10.81%
5.60%
1.45%
5
7.09%
3.67%
0.95%
Ajax
1-07.35%
2-012.05%
2-16.25%
3-013.18%
3-16.83%
3-21.77%
4-010.81%
4-15.60%
4-21.45%
4-30.25%
5-07.09%
5-13.67%
5-20.95%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-02.24%
1-13.81%
2-21.62%
3-30.31%
Zwolle
0-11.16%
0-20.30%
1-20.99%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Zwolle
Score012
0
17.23%
4.13%
0.50%
1
26.16%
6.28%
0.75%
2
19.87%
4.77%
0.57%
3
10.06%
2.41%
0.29%
4
3.82%
0.92%
0.11%
5
1.16%
0.28%
0.03%
6
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
Ajax
1-026.16%
2-019.87%
2-14.77%
3-010.06%
3-12.41%
3-20.29%
4-03.82%
4-10.92%
4-20.11%
5-01.16%
5-10.28%
6-00.29%
Draw
0-017.23%
1-16.28%
2-20.57%
Zwolle
0-14.13%
0-20.50%
1-20.75%