New England at Cincinnati

Updated
Rank17
P/G20.4
PA/G22.1
87.1%12.9%
New England WinWin
31.7Projected Points 14.8
34Final Score 13
Rank30
P/G19.4
PA/G26.5
Rank17
P/G20.4
PA/G22.1
Rank30
P/G19.4
PA/G26.5

Quarterbacks

Tom Brady

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
60.81610.9248

Andy Dalton

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
59.51311.11614

Last Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
L 23-16 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • NE: Tom Brady-150
L 22-28 at Houston TexansNE: Tom Brady • HOU: Deshaun Watson-175
W 9-13 vs Dallas CowboysDAL: Dak Prescott • NE: Tom Brady-220
W 17-10 at Philadelphia EaglesNE: Tom Brady • PHI: Carson Wentz-220
Cincinnati Bengals
Money Line
L 19-27 at Cleveland BrownsCIN: Andy Dalton • CLE: Baker Mayfield+250
W 6-22 vs New York JetsNYJ: Sam Darnold • CIN: Andy Dalton+125
L 16-10 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Mason Rudolph • CIN: Ryan Finley+220
L 10-17 at Las Vegas RaidersCIN: Ryan Finley • VEG: Derek Carr+575
L 49-13 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Unknown • CIN: Unknown+450

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • No Reported Injuries

Cincinnati Bengals

Status
  • No Reported Injuries
SW 2 mph
Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
O/U Effect
Very Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)37°39°39°37°
Humidity57%53%52%58%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSW 2 mphSW 1 mphSSW 2 mphSSE 2 mph
Alex Kemp
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Very Strong Home CrewLean Over Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-600-500-670-550-560-550-500-
Cincinnati+450+400+435+410+435+410+435-
 Open LineOrleansMGMCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-425-575-575-540-625-650-540-
Cincinnati+325+425+425+420+425+450+450-

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-10½-110-11½+105-11-110-10½-105-10½-104-10½-105-11½+105-
Cincinnati+10½-110+11½-125+11-110+10½-115+10½-114+10½-115+11-110-
 Open LineOrleansMGMCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England-10-110-10½-110-10½-110-10½-110-10½-110-10½-110-10½-110-
Cincinnati+10-110+10½-110+10½-110+10½-110+10½-110+10½-110+10½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cincinnati: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 40.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Cincinnati: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On New England Spread
No Steam Moves On Cincinnati Spread

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cincinnati: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 30.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Cincinnati: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On New England Spread
No Steam Moves On Cincinnati Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo40-110o42½-110o42-115o42-110o42-109o42-110o42-109-
Underu40-110u42½-110u42-105u42-110u42-109u42-110u42-105-
 Open LineOrleansMGMCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo41-110o42-110o42½-110o42-110o41½-110o42-110o41½-110-
Underu41-110u42-110u42½-110u42-110u41½-110u42-110u42½-110-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42-110 to o42-115
The Under moved from u42-105 to u42-110

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42-110 to o42½-110
The Under moved from u42-110 to u41½-110