NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 25, 2021

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0)
Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
33.6%
66.4%
+121
-134
+123
-130
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+192
2.05
3.31
5.36
o6-110
u6+101
o6+100
u6-110
Dallas Stars (0-0-0)
Florida Panthers (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
51.7%
48.3%
+120
-133
+119
-129
+1½-205
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+191
2.94
2.76
5.70
o5½-113
u5½+102
o5½-110
u5½+100
New Jersey Devils (0-0-0)
Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
36.7%
63.3%
-115
+105
-113
+106
-1½+226
+1½-255
-1½+225
-1½+240
2.38
3.52
5.90
o5½+112
u5½-120
o5½+110
u5½-120
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
PostponedVegas Golden Knights (0-0-0)
San Jose Sharks (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
64.3%
35.7%
-210
+180



3.59
2.41
6.00
o6-110
u6-110

Games for Feb 24, 2021

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0)
New York Islanders (0-0-0)
45.4%
54.6%
+256
-300
+270
-285
+1½-103
-1½-111
+1½+105
-1½-110
5.88
o6½-101
u6½-112
o6½+100
u6½-115
3rd P
08:55
2
5
Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0)
Detroit Red Wings (0-0-0)
57.3%
42.7%
+102
-114
+103
-110
+1½-245
-1½+215
+1½-240
-1½+210
5.67
o6+100
u6-116
o6-115
u6-105
2nd P
END-
2
4
Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0)
Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0)
65.6%
34.4%
-110
+100
-114
+104
-1½+210
+1½-242
-1½+205
+1½-240
5.70
o6½-101
u6½-115
o6½-105
u6½-110
2nd P
END-
0
1
Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0-0)
New Jersey Devils (0-0-0)
62.3%
37.7%
-110
-104
-106
-104
-1½+219
+1½-250
-1½+220
+1½-250
5.94
o6½-130
u6½+113
o6½-130
u6½+115
3rd P
11:00
4
2
Florida Panthers (0-0-0)
Ottawa Senators (0-0-0)
67.0%
33.0%
+320
-383
+328
-370
+1½+126
-1½-142
+1½+125
-1½-140
6.11
o6½+105
u6½-115
o6½+100
u6½-115
3rd P
13:28
0
3
Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0)
Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0)
66.1%
33.9%
-112
-102
-110
+100
-1½+230
-1½+222
+1½-265
-1½+230
5.44
o6-122
u6+109
o6-125
u6+110
3rd P
14:15
0
1
Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0)
St. Louis Blues (0-0-0)
41.2%
58.8%
-106
-108
-105
-105
+1½-275
-1½+240
+1½-260
-1½+230
5.80
o5½-108
u5½-106
o5½-110
u5½-105
2nd P
17:59
1
1
Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0)
Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0)
61.0%
39.0%
-164
+155
-165
+165
-1½+143
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-155
5.82
o6½+100
u6+109
o6-115
u6+100
1st P
02:55
2
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Toronto Maple Leafs
Minnesota Wild
53.8%
46.2%
+215
-246
+222
-240
+1½-110
-1½-106
+1½-105
-1½+100
4
2
-1.17545-1.18567-0.61979
Anaheim Ducks
Montreal Canadiens
38.1%
61.9%
+117
-132
+130
-139
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
4
3
-0.80410-0.84915-0.96401
San Jose Sharks
Ottawa Senators
52.2%
47.8%
+168
-183
+175
-180
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
4
7
-0.45555-0.44830-0.73729
St. Louis Blues
Winnipeg Jets
61.7%
38.3%
-113
+102
-109
+102
-1½+230
-1½+241
+1½-280
-1½+235
2
3
-0.72834-0.71953-0.95865
Seattle Kraken
Vancouver Canucks
50.3%
49.7%
-140
+127
-134
+126
-1½+177
+1½-205
-1½+190
+1½-195
5
2
-0.56258-0.57251-0.68687
Chicago Blackhawks
Vegas Golden Knights
30.1%
69.9%
+185
-208
+200
-220
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+110
0
4
-0.41843-0.39531-0.35833
Detroit Red Wings
Dallas Stars
31.1%
68.9%
+170
-190
+165
-180
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
2
3
-0.44809-0.46185-0.37222
Columbus Blue Jackets
Philadelphia Flyers
43.3%
56.7%
-137
+121
-127
+122
-1½+190
+1½-212
-1½+195
+1½-205
2
1
-0.57818-0.59064-0.83628
Los Angeles Kings
New Jersey Devils
38.9%
61.1%
+134
-147
+135
-144
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-200
-1½+180
4
6
-0.54120-0.54294-0.49341
Carolina Hurricanes
Tampa Bay Lightning
40.3%
59.7%
+109
-123
+112
-120
+1½-225
-1½+195
+1½-215
-1½+195
4
2
-0.76675-0.76841-0.90889
San Jose Sharks
Montreal Canadiens
41.1%
58.9%
+137
-155
+140
-148
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+155
4
2
-0.89223-0.88882-0.89001
Calgary Flames
New York Islanders
51.0%
49.0%
+130
-143
+132
-140
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+180
2
3
-0.55321-0.55326-0.71278
Toronto Maple Leafs
Buffalo Sabres
74.3%
25.7%
+205
-220
+200
-225
+1½-115
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+105
2
3
-0.38995-0.39304-1.35701
New York Rangers
Minnesota Wild
45.7%
54.3%
+168
-187
+170
-180
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-150
-1½+130
4
2
-1.01022-1.00641-0.78312
Colorado Avalanche
Winnipeg Jets
67.7%
32.3%
-177
+155
-170
+165
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
1
3
-0.96677-0.98152-1.12880
Boston Bruins
Washington Capitals
51.1%
48.9%
+111
-125
+110
-118
+1½-230
-1½+195
+1½-220
-1½+205
3
2
-0.77577-0.75927-0.67090
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-0.70221 
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.68852 
DRatings11-0 (1.000)0-0.65782
0.04439
0.03070

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/21/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.326.77.099.684.2%54.5%35.3%21.0%11.8%
2Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.325.96.899.485.9%55.6%33.2%20.8%12.3%
3Vegas Golden Knights (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.527.37.398.286.4%54.0%34.9%19.9%10.9%
4Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.328.27.598.178.2%39.8%21.4%12.5%6.9%
5Florida Panthers (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.97.794.472.4%32.8%16.1%8.8%4.7%
6Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.07.694.473.7%43.6%24.5%13.0%6.9%
7Boston Bruins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.529.67.992.966.5%31.8%15.4%8.2%3.9%
8Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.429.68.092.864.3%33.5%17.2%9.1%4.5%
9New York Islanders (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.229.88.092.361.3%29.8%15.6%7.9%3.7%
10Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.029.17.891.977.2%38.0%19.6%9.0%4.4%
11Washington Capitals (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.629.67.991.061.6%30.0%14.8%7.4%3.4%
12Minnesota Wild (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.330.68.090.760.1%31.6%15.9%7.6%3.6%
13New York Rangers (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.230.78.090.552.6%24.1%11.7%5.1%2.4%
14St. Louis Blues (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.532.08.589.548.7%24.1%10.5%4.4%1.9%
15Dallas Stars (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.431.48.289.152.3%27.3%12.7%5.7%2.6%
16Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.832.58.788.243.6%17.0%6.8%3.1%1.4%
17Calgary Flames (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.531.28.387.358.2%28.0%12.9%5.1%2.2%
18Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.48.686.640.8%20.5%8.7%3.8%1.7%
19Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.58.586.540.2%21.3%9.7%3.9%1.6%
20Nashville Predators (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.031.78.386.445.0%21.5%9.7%4.1%1.7%
21Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0, 0 pts)38.132.99.085.333.9%19.6%8.3%3.3%1.4%
22Seattle Kraken (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.632.88.683.846.5%16.6%6.6%2.5%0.9%
23Arizona Coyotes (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.233.89.083.428.7%13.3%5.0%2.0%0.9%
24Vancouver Canucks (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.033.28.882.841.3%16.3%6.8%2.6%1.0%
25Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.533.59.082.026.4%9.9%3.8%1.5%0.6%
26New Jersey Devils (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.433.69.081.826.2%10.8%4.0%1.4%0.5%
27Los Angeles Kings (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.134.69.281.530.0%10.6%4.0%1.2%0.4%
28Detroit Red Wings (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.835.79.581.117.6%8.6%2.9%1.1%0.4%
29Ottawa Senators (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.934.19.180.824.3%9.3%3.2%1.3%0.5%
30San Jose Sharks (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.034.28.880.733.8%13.7%4.7%1.7%0.6%
31Anaheim Ducks (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.035.69.479.326.6%8.7%3.0%0.9%0.3%
32Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0, 0 pts)33.836.59.777.311.5%3.9%1.1%0.3%0.1%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.