Upcoming Games for February 25, 2021
| Time | Teams | Goalies | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Goals | Total Goals | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0) Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0) | Unknown Unknown | 33.6% 66.4% | +121 -134 +123 -130 | +1½-220 -1½+190 +1½-210 -1½+192 | 2.05 3.31 | 5.36 | o6-110 u6+101 o6+100 u6-110 | |||
| Dallas Stars (0-0-0) Florida Panthers (0-0-0) | Unknown Unknown | 51.7% 48.3% | +120 -133 +119 -129 | +1½-205 -1½+185 +1½-210 -1½+191 | 2.94 2.76 | 5.70 | o5½-113 u5½+102 o5½-110 u5½+100 | |||
| New Jersey Devils (0-0-0) Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0) | Unknown Unknown | 36.7% 63.3% | -115 +105 -113 +106 | -1½+226 +1½-255 -1½+225 -1½+240 | 2.38 3.52 | 5.90 | o5½+112 u5½-120 o5½+110 u5½-120 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| Postponed | Vegas Golden Knights (0-0-0) San Jose Sharks (0-0-0) | Unknown Unknown | 64.3% 35.7% | -210 +180 | 3.59 2.41 | 6.00 | o6-110 u6-110 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Goals | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Oilers Los Angeles Kings | 61.2% 38.8% | +181 -204 +185 -200 | +1½-148 -1½+133 +1½-149 -1½+140 | 0 3 | -0.42547-0.42286 | -0.94693 | |
| Anaheim Ducks Vancouver Canucks | 44.0% 56.0% | +150 -169 +163 -168 | +1½-165 -1½+148 +1½-170 -1½+152 | 2 6 | -0.49267-0.47409 | -0.58032 | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins Dallas Stars | 49.4% 50.6% | +230 -261 +229 -255 | +1½-105 -1½-115 +1½-105 -1½+105 | 5 3 | -1.21959-1.21291 | -0.70597 | |
| Florida Panthers Ottawa Senators | 67.0% 33.0% | -154 +137 -150 +143 | -1½+170 +1½-195 -1½+195 +1½-185 | 0 3 | -0.89074-0.89936 | -1.11018 | |
| New York Rangers New Jersey Devils | 59.9% 40.1% | +112 -126 +115 -125 | +1½-240 -1½+205 +1½-230 -1½+200 | 0 4 | -0.61306-0.60825 | -0.91412 | |
| Minnesota Wild New York Islanders | 47.5% 52.5% | +107 -118 +108 -117 | +1½-240 -1½+205 +1½-240 -1½+220 | 1 3 | -0.63790-0.63747 | -0.64436 | |
| Chicago Blackhawks Washington Capitals | 39.1% 60.9% | +328 -380 +335 -370 | +1½+128 -1½-142 +1½+130 -1½-145 | 3 5 | -0.25860-0.25621 | -0.49526 | |
| Carolina Hurricanes Detroit Red Wings | 69.3% 30.7% | -167 +149 -170 +155 | -1½+140 +1½-160 -1½+145 +1½-155 | 3 5 | -0.93900-0.95763 | -1.18114 | |
| Edmonton Oilers San Jose Sharks | 60.4% 39.6% | -269 +236 -255 +240 | -1½-115 +1½-101 -1½-110 +1½+100 | 3 2 | -0.34235-0.34321 | -0.50426 | |
| Winnipeg Jets Vegas Golden Knights | 31.0% 69.0% | +148 -166 +155 -160 | +1½-174 -1½+155 +1½-160 -1½+155 | 4 0 | -0.93517-0.94358 | -1.16967 | |
| Anaheim Ducks Calgary Flames | 36.6% 63.4% | +143 -161 +140 -152 | +1½-174 -1½+154 +1½-180 -1½+160 | 1 4 | -0.51109-0.52520 | -0.45500 | |
| Nashville Predators Dallas Stars | 40.8% 59.2% | +256 -293 +260 -290 | +1½-103 -1½-114 +1½-105 -1½-115 | 1 5 | -0.31974-0.31741 | -0.52361 | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins St. Louis Blues | 50.1% 49.9% | +197 -222 +200 -220 | +1½-133 -1½+115 +1½-125 -1½+127 | 4 5 | -0.39768-0.39531 | -0.69581 | |
| Colorado Avalanche Columbus Blue Jackets | 63.3% 36.7% | -133 +120 -135 +131 | -1½+167 +1½-190 -1½+165 +1½-180 | 7 3 | -0.58573-0.56165 | -0.45782 | |
| Boston Bruins Montreal Canadiens | 57.3% 42.7% | +178 -201 +185 -200 | +1½-145 -1½+128 +1½-140 -1½+130 | 1 4 | -0.43092-0.42286 | -0.85020 | |
| Tampa Bay Lightning Ottawa Senators | 74.9% 25.1% | -159 +142 -145 +135 | -1½+170 +1½-190 -1½+180 +1½-200 | 1 2 | -0.91053-0.87165 | -1.38107 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 0 | 0-0 (0.000) | 0 | ||
| Sportsbooks | 0 | 0-0 (0.000) | 0 | ||
| DRatings | 0 | 0-0 (0.000) | 0 |
Season Simulation
*Through all games played on or before 09/21/21| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pts | Make Playoffs | Win 1st Rd. | Win 2nd Rd. | Conf. Champ. | Stanley Cup |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 46.3 | 26.7 | 7.0 | 99.6 | 84.2% | 54.5% | 35.3% | 21.0% | 11.8% |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 46.3 | 25.9 | 6.8 | 99.4 | 85.9% | 55.6% | 33.2% | 20.8% | 12.3% |
| 3 | Vegas Golden Knights (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 45.5 | 27.3 | 7.3 | 98.2 | 86.4% | 54.0% | 34.9% | 19.9% | 10.9% |
| 4 | Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 45.3 | 28.2 | 7.5 | 98.1 | 78.2% | 39.8% | 21.4% | 12.5% | 6.9% |
| 5 | Florida Panthers (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 43.4 | 28.9 | 7.7 | 94.4 | 72.4% | 32.8% | 16.1% | 8.8% | 4.7% |
| 6 | Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 43.4 | 28.0 | 7.6 | 94.4 | 73.7% | 43.6% | 24.5% | 13.0% | 6.9% |
| 7 | Boston Bruins (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 42.5 | 29.6 | 7.9 | 92.9 | 66.5% | 31.8% | 15.4% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| 8 | Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 42.4 | 29.6 | 8.0 | 92.8 | 64.3% | 33.5% | 17.2% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| 9 | New York Islanders (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 42.2 | 29.8 | 8.0 | 92.3 | 61.3% | 29.8% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 3.7% |
| 10 | Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 42.0 | 29.1 | 7.8 | 91.9 | 77.2% | 38.0% | 19.6% | 9.0% | 4.4% |
| 11 | Washington Capitals (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 41.6 | 29.6 | 7.9 | 91.0 | 61.6% | 30.0% | 14.8% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| 12 | Minnesota Wild (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 41.3 | 30.6 | 8.0 | 90.7 | 60.1% | 31.6% | 15.9% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| 13 | New York Rangers (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 41.2 | 30.7 | 8.0 | 90.5 | 52.6% | 24.1% | 11.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| 14 | St. Louis Blues (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 40.5 | 32.0 | 8.5 | 89.5 | 48.7% | 24.1% | 10.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| 15 | Dallas Stars (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 40.4 | 31.4 | 8.2 | 89.1 | 52.3% | 27.3% | 12.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| 16 | Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 39.8 | 32.5 | 8.7 | 88.2 | 43.6% | 17.0% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| 17 | Calgary Flames (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 39.5 | 31.2 | 8.3 | 87.3 | 58.2% | 28.0% | 12.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| 18 | Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 39.0 | 32.4 | 8.6 | 86.6 | 40.8% | 20.5% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| 19 | Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 39.0 | 32.5 | 8.5 | 86.5 | 40.2% | 21.3% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| 20 | Nashville Predators (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 39.0 | 31.7 | 8.3 | 86.4 | 45.0% | 21.5% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| 21 | Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 38.1 | 32.9 | 9.0 | 85.3 | 33.9% | 19.6% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| 22 | Seattle Kraken (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 37.6 | 32.8 | 8.6 | 83.8 | 46.5% | 16.6% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| 23 | Arizona Coyotes (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 37.2 | 33.8 | 9.0 | 83.4 | 28.7% | 13.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| 24 | Vancouver Canucks (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 37.0 | 33.2 | 8.8 | 82.8 | 41.3% | 16.3% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| 25 | Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 36.5 | 33.5 | 9.0 | 82.0 | 26.4% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 26 | New Jersey Devils (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 36.4 | 33.6 | 9.0 | 81.8 | 26.2% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 27 | Los Angeles Kings (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 36.1 | 34.6 | 9.2 | 81.5 | 30.0% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 28 | Detroit Red Wings (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 35.8 | 35.7 | 9.5 | 81.1 | 17.6% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 29 | Ottawa Senators (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 35.9 | 34.1 | 9.1 | 80.8 | 24.3% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 30 | San Jose Sharks (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 36.0 | 34.2 | 8.8 | 80.7 | 33.8% | 13.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 31 | Anaheim Ducks (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 35.0 | 35.6 | 9.4 | 79.3 | 26.6% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 32 | Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 33.8 | 36.5 | 9.7 | 77.3 | 11.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Hockey Methodology
All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.
The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.
- Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
- RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
- ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
- Total Wins: Full number of wins.
- There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.
Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.
Related Blog Posts
Creating a Ratings Model with Bradley-Terry
Modeling with the Bradley-Terry model in Python
A Simple Formula for Unknown Probabilities
The rule of succession and it’s implications for how we make predictions
Best Online Sportsbook Rewards Program
Evaluating the best online sports book rewards programs
A Summary of Different No-Vig Methods
Exploring the pros and cons of each no-vig method.
Caesar’s Rewards: The Value of Tier Credits
How much is each Caesar’s Rewards status worth in terms of a dollar value?