NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 25, 2021

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0)
Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
33.6%
66.4%
+121
-134
+123
-130
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+192
2.05
3.31
5.36
o6-110
u6+101
o6+100
u6-110
Dallas Stars (0-0-0)
Florida Panthers (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
51.7%
48.3%
+120
-133
+119
-129
+1½-205
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+191
2.94
2.76
5.70
o5½-113
u5½+102
o5½-110
u5½+100
New Jersey Devils (0-0-0)
Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
36.7%
63.3%
-115
+105
-113
+106
-1½+226
+1½-255
-1½+225
-1½+240
2.38
3.52
5.90
o5½+112
u5½-120
o5½+110
u5½-120
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
PostponedVegas Golden Knights (0-0-0)
San Jose Sharks (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
64.3%
35.7%
-210
+180



3.59
2.41
6.00
o6-110
u6-110

Games for Feb 24, 2021

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0)
Minnesota Wild (0-0-0)
60.4%
39.6%
-180
+165
-175
+170
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-155
5.57
o6-115
u6+102
o6-110
u6-105
2nd P
01:40
1
2
Calgary Flames (0-0-0)
Florida Panthers (0-0-0)
39.5%
60.5%
+156
-178
+160
-173
+1½-163
-1½+146
+1½-160
-1½+150
5.84
o5½-121
u5½+105
o5½-125
u5½+105
2nd P
17:12
3
2
New Jersey Devils (0-0-0)
Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0)
55.4%
44.6%
-102
-112
+100
-108
+1½-270
-1½+225
-1½+230
-1½+222
5.70
o6-108
u6-105
o6-110
u6+100
2nd P
12:32
1
0
Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0)
Vegas Golden Knights (0-0-0)
31.9%
68.1%
+178
-200
+175
-190
+1½-150
-1½+132
+1½-140
-1½+135
5.70
o6-119
u6+103
o6-110
u6+105
2nd P
12:12
2
0
Vancouver Canucks (0-0-0)
San Jose Sharks (0-0-0)
47.2%
52.8%
-114
+100
-114
+104
-1½+210
+1½-250
-1½+215
+1½-235
6.22
o6½-117
u6½+108
o6½-120
u6½+110
2nd P
16:11
2
1
Ottawa Senators (0-0-0)
St. Louis Blues (0-0-0)
31.8%
68.2%
-112
-102
-110
+100
-1½+230
+1½-275
-1½+222
+1½-250
5.95
o5½-103
u5½-108
o5½-105
u5½-105
2nd P
14:16
0
0
Los Angeles Kings (0-0-0)
Anaheim Ducks (0-0-0)
49.3%
50.7%
-126
+111
-130
+120
-1½+192
+1½-230
-1½+190
+1½-215
5.27
o6-115
u6-101
o6-115
u6-105
2nd P
12:58
1
0
Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0)
New York Islanders (0-0-0)
39.7%
60.3%
+128
-145
+130
-134
+1½-210
-1½+185
+1½-215
-1½+190
5.75
o6-115
u6-101
o6-110
u6+100
2nd P
13:29
3
1
Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0)
Washington Capitals (0-0-0)
54.6%
45.4%
+145
-163
+147
-160
+1½-177
-1½+157
+1½-165
-1½+155
6.30
o6-107
u6-109
o6-115
u6½-120
1st P
18:46
0
0
Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0)
Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0)
34.7%
65.3%
+173
-190
+175
-184
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+140
5.88
o6½-101
u6½-115
o6-120
u6½-112
1st P
15:24
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Nashville Predators
Arizona Coyotes
50.4%
49.6%
-165
+149
-164
+150
-1½+158
+1½-177
-1½+160
+1½-175
6
2
-0.49774-0.49707-0.68556
Tampa Bay Lightning
Pittsburgh Penguins
58.0%
42.0%
-101
-109
-101
-105
-1½+225
+1½-260
+1½-235
+1½-250
3
7
-0.67472-0.68363-0.86691
Los Angeles Kings
New York Rangers
43.4%
56.6%
+146
-160
+146
-160
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+175
2
5
-0.50717-0.50717-0.56879
New York Islanders
Winnipeg Jets
54.7%
45.3%
+127
-140
+135
-138
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+205
4
0
-0.84337-0.85977-0.60404
Columbus Blue Jackets
Minnesota Wild
28.1%
71.9%
+258
-293
+260
-290
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-118
2
3
-0.31821-0.31741-0.33049
Washington Capitals
Buffalo Sabres
60.1%
39.9%
+100
-108
+105
-108
+1½-235
-1½+205
+1½-220
-1½+215
4
7
-0.67446-0.66240-0.91962
Chicago Blackhawks
San Jose Sharks
51.2%
48.8%
+188
-210
+200
-200
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-133
-1½+125
4
3
-1.08214-1.09862-0.66886
Calgary Flames
Colorado Avalanche
37.5%
62.5%
+100
+100
+100
-107
+1½-240
-1½+215
+1½-210
-1½+210
1
4
-0.69315-0.67666-0.46946
Dallas Stars
Vegas Golden Knights
37.1%
62.9%
+100
-104
+105
-110
+1½-240
-1½+215
+1½-230
-1½+210
3
2
-0.70289-0.72940-0.99096
Tampa Bay Lightning
Detroit Red Wings
74.9%
25.1%
-173
+156
-179
+165
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
3
0
-0.48022-0.46259-0.28919
Boston Bruins
Vancouver Canucks
63.1%
36.9%
-252
+230
-255
+240
-1½-108
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+100
3
1
-0.35297-0.34321-0.46047
Ottawa Senators
Montreal Canadiens
36.3%
63.7%
-155
+140
-162
+152
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+141
+1½-160
5
2
-0.52206-0.49579-1.01357
Philadelphia Flyers
New Jersey Devils
44.8%
55.2%
+250
-275
+260
-290
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-112
0
7
-0.32902-0.31741-0.59379
Anaheim Ducks
Carolina Hurricanes
35.1%
64.9%
+395
-465
+400
-460
+1½+175
-1½-183
+1½+175
-1½-180
3
2
-1.62409-1.63066-1.04694
Pittsburgh Penguins
St. Louis Blues
50.1%
49.9%
-167
+155
-165
+152
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+160
+1½-170
3
2
-0.48673-0.49307-0.69049
New York Rangers
Washington Capitals
46.5%
53.5%
-140
+131
-143
+132
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+180
+1½-190
3
6
-0.85334-0.86090-0.62482
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0 (1.000)0-0.55112 
Sportsbooks22-0 (1.000)0-0.54338 
DRatings21-1 (0.500)0-0.57225
-0.02113
-0.02887

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/21/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.326.77.099.684.2%54.5%35.3%21.0%11.8%
2Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.325.96.899.485.9%55.6%33.2%20.8%12.3%
3Vegas Golden Knights (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.527.37.398.286.4%54.0%34.9%19.9%10.9%
4Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.328.27.598.178.2%39.8%21.4%12.5%6.9%
5Florida Panthers (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.97.794.472.4%32.8%16.1%8.8%4.7%
6Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.07.694.473.7%43.6%24.5%13.0%6.9%
7Boston Bruins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.529.67.992.966.5%31.8%15.4%8.2%3.9%
8Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.429.68.092.864.3%33.5%17.2%9.1%4.5%
9New York Islanders (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.229.88.092.361.3%29.8%15.6%7.9%3.7%
10Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.029.17.891.977.2%38.0%19.6%9.0%4.4%
11Washington Capitals (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.629.67.991.061.6%30.0%14.8%7.4%3.4%
12Minnesota Wild (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.330.68.090.760.1%31.6%15.9%7.6%3.6%
13New York Rangers (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.230.78.090.552.6%24.1%11.7%5.1%2.4%
14St. Louis Blues (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.532.08.589.548.7%24.1%10.5%4.4%1.9%
15Dallas Stars (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.431.48.289.152.3%27.3%12.7%5.7%2.6%
16Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.832.58.788.243.6%17.0%6.8%3.1%1.4%
17Calgary Flames (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.531.28.387.358.2%28.0%12.9%5.1%2.2%
18Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.48.686.640.8%20.5%8.7%3.8%1.7%
19Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.58.586.540.2%21.3%9.7%3.9%1.6%
20Nashville Predators (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.031.78.386.445.0%21.5%9.7%4.1%1.7%
21Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0, 0 pts)38.132.99.085.333.9%19.6%8.3%3.3%1.4%
22Seattle Kraken (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.632.88.683.846.5%16.6%6.6%2.5%0.9%
23Arizona Coyotes (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.233.89.083.428.7%13.3%5.0%2.0%0.9%
24Vancouver Canucks (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.033.28.882.841.3%16.3%6.8%2.6%1.0%
25Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.533.59.082.026.4%9.9%3.8%1.5%0.6%
26New Jersey Devils (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.433.69.081.826.2%10.8%4.0%1.4%0.5%
27Los Angeles Kings (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.134.69.281.530.0%10.6%4.0%1.2%0.4%
28Detroit Red Wings (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.835.79.581.117.6%8.6%2.9%1.1%0.4%
29Ottawa Senators (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.934.19.180.824.3%9.3%3.2%1.3%0.5%
30San Jose Sharks (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.034.28.880.733.8%13.7%4.7%1.7%0.6%
31Anaheim Ducks (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.035.69.479.326.6%8.7%3.0%0.9%0.3%
32Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0, 0 pts)33.836.59.777.311.5%3.9%1.1%0.3%0.1%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.