NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 25, 2021

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0)
Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
33.6%
66.4%
+121
-134
+123
-130
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+192
2.05
3.31
5.36
o6-110
u6+101
o6+100
u6-110
Dallas Stars (0-0-0)
Florida Panthers (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
51.7%
48.3%
+120
-133
+119
-129
+1½-205
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+191
2.94
2.76
5.70
o5½-113
u5½+102
o5½-110
u5½+100
New Jersey Devils (0-0-0)
Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
36.7%
63.3%
-115
+105
-113
+106
-1½+226
+1½-255
-1½+225
-1½+240
2.38
3.52
5.90
o5½+112
u5½-120
o5½+110
u5½-120
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
PostponedVegas Golden Knights (0-0-0)
San Jose Sharks (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
64.3%
35.7%
-210
+180



3.59
2.41
6.00
o6-110
u6-110

Games for Feb 24, 2021

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Seattle Kraken (0-0-0)
Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0-0)
44.9%
55.1%
+111
-126
+111
-120
+1½-235
-1½+195
+1½-230
-1½+205
5.80
o5½-126
u5½+110
o5½-120
u5½+105
2nd P
05:47
1
0
New Jersey Devils (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0)
40.8%
59.2%
-112
-102
-110
+100
-1½+235
+1½-270
-1½+235
+1½-260
6.01
o5½+113
u5½-125
o5½+100
u5½-120
2nd P
10:25
1
4
Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0)
Florida Panthers (0-0-0)
45.0%
55.0%
+108
-122
+115
-119
+1½-235
-1½+200
+1½-220
-1½+205
6.20
o5½-115
u5½-101
o6+105
u6-115
2nd P
09:49
4
2
Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0)
Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0)
60.6%
39.4%
+130
-146
+129
-135
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+190
6.16
o6-110
u6-103
o6-115
u6½-105
2nd P
12:26
0
3
Ottawa Senators (0-0-0)
San Jose Sharks (0-0-0)
42.2%
57.8%
-165
+148
-160
+150
-1½+153
+1½-175
-1½+158
+1½-175
6.21
o5½-110
u5½-103
o5½-110
u5½+105
2nd P
09:14
1
2
Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0)
Washington Capitals (0-0-0)
59.8%
40.2%
+100
-112
+110
-115
+1½-250
-1½+210
+1½-240
-1½+210
5.83
o6½+109
u6+105
o6-115
u6+110
2nd P
08:19
4
2
Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0)
Nashville Predators (0-0-0)
67.4%
32.6%
-210
+190
-218
+195
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-120
5.55
o6½+107
u6½-110
o6-120
u6½-115
1st P
09:37
1
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Winnipeg Jets
St. Louis Blues
41.2%
58.8%
-106
-106
-102
-107
+1½-283
-1½+250
+1½-235
-1½+240
2
5
-0.69315-0.68152-0.53127
Los Angeles Kings
Edmonton Oilers
33.5%
66.5%
+133
-149
+145
-150
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+165
4
6
-0.54070-0.51896-0.40785
Dallas Stars
Colorado Avalanche
33.2%
66.8%
+171
-193
+175
-190
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-130
-1½+130
4
7
-0.44480-0.44150-0.40413
Vegas Golden Knights
Minnesota Wild
56.2%
43.8%
-150
+135
-162
+150
-1½+177
+1½-185
-1½+160
+1½-170
3
2
-0.53604-0.49890-0.57547
Toronto Maple Leafs
Ottawa Senators
70.7%
29.3%
-102
-108
-101
-109
+1½-270
-1½+235
+1½-260
-1½+220
4
2
-0.70719-0.71192-0.34732
St. Louis Blues
Winnipeg Jets
53.1%
46.9%
+155
-172
+160
-170
+1½-171
-1½+158
+1½-170
-1½+165
3
5
-0.48253-0.47678-0.75766
Florida Panthers
Tampa Bay Lightning
37.8%
62.2%
-107
-105
-105
-105
-1½+240
-1½+230
+1½-270
-1½+240
6
3
-0.68858-0.69315-0.97172
Montreal Canadiens
Washington Capitals
41.0%
59.0%
+164
-185
+171
-180
+1½-155
-1½+138
+1½-155
-1½+140
1
4
-0.45967-0.45361-0.52814
Edmonton Oilers
Los Angeles Kings
61.2%
38.8%
+108
-112
+110
-114
+1½-240
-1½+290
+1½-215
-1½+200
3
1
-0.74139-0.75080-0.49091
Minnesota Wild
Vegas Golden Knights
38.2%
61.8%
+220
-213
+210
-230
+1½-148
-1½+145
+1½-130
-1½+118
2
3
-0.37790-0.38037-0.48127
New Jersey Devils
Carolina Hurricanes
29.1%
70.9%
+220
-240
+230
-245
+1½-125
-1½+111
+1½-120
-1½+110
4
5
-0.36652-0.35538-0.34359
Ottawa Senators
Toronto Maple Leafs
24.8%
75.2%
+145
-162
+152
-160
+1½-175
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+160
4
0
-0.92223-0.93639-1.39396
Colorado Avalanche
Dallas Stars
61.5%
38.5%
-130
+150
-142
+133
-1½+186
+1½-220
-1½+185
+1½-200
2
6
-0.88090-0.86171-0.95376
Tampa Bay Lightning
Florida Panthers
56.6%
43.4%
+138
-155
+135
-142
+1½-200
-1½+176
+1½-195
-1½+180
2
4
-0.52547-0.54535-0.83508
Los Angeles Kings
Edmonton Oilers
33.5%
66.5%
+125
+190
+132
-136
+1½-194
+1½-125
+1½-180
-1½+180
3
4
-0.82805-0.55846-0.40785
Washington Capitals
Montreal Canadiens
53.3%
46.7%
-127
+115
-130
+122
-1½+190
+1½-225
-1½+185
+1½-200
5
2
-0.60506-0.58609-0.62897
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-2 (0.333)0-0.81350 
Sportsbooks31-2 (0.333)0-0.80365 
DRatings31-2 (0.333)0-0.62851
0.18500
0.17514

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/21/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.326.77.099.684.2%54.5%35.3%21.0%11.8%
2Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.325.96.899.485.9%55.6%33.2%20.8%12.3%
3Vegas Golden Knights (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.527.37.398.286.4%54.0%34.9%19.9%10.9%
4Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.328.27.598.178.2%39.8%21.4%12.5%6.9%
5Florida Panthers (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.97.794.472.4%32.8%16.1%8.8%4.7%
6Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.07.694.473.7%43.6%24.5%13.0%6.9%
7Boston Bruins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.529.67.992.966.5%31.8%15.4%8.2%3.9%
8Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.429.68.092.864.3%33.5%17.2%9.1%4.5%
9New York Islanders (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.229.88.092.361.3%29.8%15.6%7.9%3.7%
10Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.029.17.891.977.2%38.0%19.6%9.0%4.4%
11Washington Capitals (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.629.67.991.061.6%30.0%14.8%7.4%3.4%
12Minnesota Wild (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.330.68.090.760.1%31.6%15.9%7.6%3.6%
13New York Rangers (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.230.78.090.552.6%24.1%11.7%5.1%2.4%
14St. Louis Blues (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.532.08.589.548.7%24.1%10.5%4.4%1.9%
15Dallas Stars (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.431.48.289.152.3%27.3%12.7%5.7%2.6%
16Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.832.58.788.243.6%17.0%6.8%3.1%1.4%
17Calgary Flames (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.531.28.387.358.2%28.0%12.9%5.1%2.2%
18Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.48.686.640.8%20.5%8.7%3.8%1.7%
19Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.58.586.540.2%21.3%9.7%3.9%1.6%
20Nashville Predators (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.031.78.386.445.0%21.5%9.7%4.1%1.7%
21Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0, 0 pts)38.132.99.085.333.9%19.6%8.3%3.3%1.4%
22Seattle Kraken (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.632.88.683.846.5%16.6%6.6%2.5%0.9%
23Arizona Coyotes (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.233.89.083.428.7%13.3%5.0%2.0%0.9%
24Vancouver Canucks (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.033.28.882.841.3%16.3%6.8%2.6%1.0%
25Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.533.59.082.026.4%9.9%3.8%1.5%0.6%
26New Jersey Devils (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.433.69.081.826.2%10.8%4.0%1.4%0.5%
27Los Angeles Kings (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.134.69.281.530.0%10.6%4.0%1.2%0.4%
28Detroit Red Wings (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.835.79.581.117.6%8.6%2.9%1.1%0.4%
29Ottawa Senators (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.934.19.180.824.3%9.3%3.2%1.3%0.5%
30San Jose Sharks (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.034.28.880.733.8%13.7%4.7%1.7%0.6%
31Anaheim Ducks (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.035.69.479.326.6%8.7%3.0%0.9%0.3%
32Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0, 0 pts)33.836.59.777.311.5%3.9%1.1%0.3%0.1%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.