NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 25, 2021

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0)
Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
33.6%
66.4%
+121
-134
+123
-130
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+192
2.05
3.31
5.36
o6-110
u6+101
o6+100
u6-110
Dallas Stars (0-0-0)
Florida Panthers (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
51.7%
48.3%
+120
-133
+119
-129
+1½-205
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+191
2.94
2.76
5.70
o5½-113
u5½+102
o5½-110
u5½+100
New Jersey Devils (0-0-0)
Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
36.7%
63.3%
-115
+105
-113
+106
-1½+226
+1½-255
-1½+225
-1½+240
2.38
3.52
5.90
o5½+112
u5½-120
o5½+110
u5½-120
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
PostponedVegas Golden Knights (0-0-0)
San Jose Sharks (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
64.3%
35.7%
-210
+180



3.59
2.41
6.00
o6-110
u6-110

Games for Feb 24, 2021

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0)
Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0)
40.8%
59.2%
-137
+125
-135
+130
-1½+177
+1½-205
-1½+185
+1½-200
6.55
o6-113
u6-103
o6-115
u6-105
1st P
12:26
1
1
Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0)
Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0)
34.1%
65.9%
+102
-110
+100
-110
+1½-220
-1½+200
+1½-220
-1½+213
5.51
o6½-113
u6½+100
o6½-105
u6½-110
1st P
11:50
0
1
Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0)
33.1%
66.9%
-104
-105
-104
-105
-1½+225
-1½+218
-1½+230
+1½-265
5.94
o6-115
u6-101
o6-110
u6-105
1st P
07:02
0
0
San Jose Sharks (0-0-0)
Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0-0)
41.7%
58.3%
+162
-182
+180
-191
+1½-150
-1½+133
+1½-140
-1½+125
6.09
o6½-102
u6½-114
o6½+100
u6+105
1st P
17:00
0
1
Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0)
Florida Panthers (0-0-0)
37.0%
63.0%
+125
-136
+128
-138
+1½-212
-1½+182
+1½-196
-1½+190
5.96
o6-106
u6-110
o6-115
u6+100
1st P
10:00
0
0
New Jersey Devils (0-0-0)
Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0)
23.7%
76.3%
-110
+100
-110
+101
-1½+215
+1½-250
-1½+220
+1½-245
5.69
o6-103
u6-110
o6-105
u6+100
1st P
11:59
0
0
Ottawa Senators (0-0-0)
Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0)
26.0%
74.0%
+147
-163
+155
-163
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
6.03
o6½-113
u6½+100
o6½+100
u6½-110
1st P
09:10
0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Jose Sharks
Columbus Blue Jackets
45.8%
54.2%
+175
-195
+176
-195
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+122
2
4
-0.43833-0.43705-0.61290
Tampa Bay Lightning
Florida Panthers
56.6%
43.4%
+140
-157
+146
-160
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-175
-1½+160
5
3
-0.90266-0.92181-0.56888
New Jersey Devils
Arizona Coyotes
43.7%
56.3%
-160
+142
-145
+140
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+162
+1½-170
1
4
-0.91198-0.88394-0.57401
New York Rangers
Pittsburgh Penguins
44.6%
55.4%
-114
+101
-110
+100
-1½+215
+1½-245
-1½+220
+1½-250
7
4
-0.65956-0.67015-0.80703
Ottawa Senators
New York Islanders
30.4%
69.6%
+148
-166
+147
-160
+1½-160
-1½+142
+1½-165
-1½+150
4
3
-0.93517-0.92425-1.18938
Buffalo Sabres
Detroit Red Wings
42.7%
57.3%
-120
+107
-120
+110
-1½+200
+1½-240
-1½+210
+1½-230
1
4
-0.75568-0.76336-0.55666
Los Angeles Kings
Chicago Blackhawks
42.2%
57.8%
-247
+220
-245
+230
-1½-103
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-109
5
0
-0.36396-0.35538-0.86199
Anaheim Ducks
Winnipeg Jets
31.1%
68.9%
+345
-400
+360
-400
+1½+140
-1½-160
+1½+141
-1½-145
0
6
-0.24756-0.24038-0.37248
Washington Capitals
Seattle Kraken
47.5%
52.5%
+150
-165
+160
-167
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+162
2
1
-0.93869-0.96553-0.74499
Vegas Golden Knights
Calgary Flames
61.4%
38.6%
-152
+142
-152
+155
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+163
+1½-165
1
4
-0.90002-0.93140-0.95065
Anaheim Ducks
Minnesota Wild
31.8%
68.2%
+250
-278
+240
-270
+1½+100
-1½-114
+1½-109
-1½-105
0
2
-0.32821-0.33865-0.38292
New Jersey Devils
Dallas Stars
34.4%
65.6%
+170
-187
+168
-175
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+140
6
2
-1.01495-0.99528-1.06578
Toronto Maple Leafs
Philadelphia Flyers
61.6%
38.4%
-106
-103
-103
-105
-1½+215
+1½-245
-1½+223
+1½-240
6
2
-0.68615-0.69788-0.48490
New York Islanders
Buffalo Sabres
68.5%
31.5%
-115
+102
-109
+100
-1½+220
+1½-255
-1½+230
+1½-250
0
4
-0.73260-0.71445-1.15525
New York Rangers
Tampa Bay Lightning
34.2%
65.8%
-108
-103
-105
-103
-1½+225
-1½+225
-1½+230
+1½-250
3
6
-0.70475-0.69788-0.41908
Florida Panthers
Carolina Hurricanes
44.6%
55.4%
+112
-126
+113
-120
+1½-240
-1½+200
+1½-230
-1½+210
0
4
-0.61306-0.62096-0.59003
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks50-5 (0.000)0-0.85471 
Sportsbooks50-5 (0.000)0-0.85513 
DRatings52-3 (0.400)0-0.76895
0.08576
0.08619

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/21/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.326.77.099.684.2%54.5%35.3%21.0%11.8%
2Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.325.96.899.485.9%55.6%33.2%20.8%12.3%
3Vegas Golden Knights (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.527.37.398.286.4%54.0%34.9%19.9%10.9%
4Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.328.27.598.178.2%39.8%21.4%12.5%6.9%
5Florida Panthers (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.97.794.472.4%32.8%16.1%8.8%4.7%
6Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.07.694.473.7%43.6%24.5%13.0%6.9%
7Boston Bruins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.529.67.992.966.5%31.8%15.4%8.2%3.9%
8Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.429.68.092.864.3%33.5%17.2%9.1%4.5%
9New York Islanders (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.229.88.092.361.3%29.8%15.6%7.9%3.7%
10Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.029.17.891.977.2%38.0%19.6%9.0%4.4%
11Washington Capitals (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.629.67.991.061.6%30.0%14.8%7.4%3.4%
12Minnesota Wild (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.330.68.090.760.1%31.6%15.9%7.6%3.6%
13New York Rangers (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.230.78.090.552.6%24.1%11.7%5.1%2.4%
14St. Louis Blues (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.532.08.589.548.7%24.1%10.5%4.4%1.9%
15Dallas Stars (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.431.48.289.152.3%27.3%12.7%5.7%2.6%
16Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.832.58.788.243.6%17.0%6.8%3.1%1.4%
17Calgary Flames (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.531.28.387.358.2%28.0%12.9%5.1%2.2%
18Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.48.686.640.8%20.5%8.7%3.8%1.7%
19Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.58.586.540.2%21.3%9.7%3.9%1.6%
20Nashville Predators (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.031.78.386.445.0%21.5%9.7%4.1%1.7%
21Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0, 0 pts)38.132.99.085.333.9%19.6%8.3%3.3%1.4%
22Seattle Kraken (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.632.88.683.846.5%16.6%6.6%2.5%0.9%
23Arizona Coyotes (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.233.89.083.428.7%13.3%5.0%2.0%0.9%
24Vancouver Canucks (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.033.28.882.841.3%16.3%6.8%2.6%1.0%
25Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.533.59.082.026.4%9.9%3.8%1.5%0.6%
26New Jersey Devils (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.433.69.081.826.2%10.8%4.0%1.4%0.5%
27Los Angeles Kings (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.134.69.281.530.0%10.6%4.0%1.2%0.4%
28Detroit Red Wings (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.835.79.581.117.6%8.6%2.9%1.1%0.4%
29Ottawa Senators (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.934.19.180.824.3%9.3%3.2%1.3%0.5%
30San Jose Sharks (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.034.28.880.733.8%13.7%4.7%1.7%0.6%
31Anaheim Ducks (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.035.69.479.326.6%8.7%3.0%0.9%0.3%
32Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0, 0 pts)33.836.59.777.311.5%3.9%1.1%0.3%0.1%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.