NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 25, 2021

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0)
Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
33.6%
66.4%
+121
-134
+123
-130
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+192
2.05
3.31
5.36
o6-110
u6+101
o6+100
u6-110
Dallas Stars (0-0-0)
Florida Panthers (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
51.7%
48.3%
+120
-133
+119
-129
+1½-205
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+191
2.94
2.76
5.70
o5½-113
u5½+102
o5½-110
u5½+100
New Jersey Devils (0-0-0)
Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
36.7%
63.3%
-115
+105
-113
+106
-1½+226
+1½-255
-1½+225
-1½+240
2.38
3.52
5.90
o5½+112
u5½-120
o5½+110
u5½-120
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
PostponedVegas Golden Knights (0-0-0)
San Jose Sharks (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
64.3%
35.7%
-210
+180



3.59
2.41
6.00
o6-110
u6-110

Games for Feb 24, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Capitals
Pittsburgh Penguins
45.3%
54.7%
+139
-155
+150
-156
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+155
6
0
-0.89720-0.92563-0.79235
Toronto Maple Leafs
Boston Bruins
41.9%
58.1%
+136
-153
+140
-140
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+175
1
4
-0.53103-0.53900-0.54311
Ottawa Senators
Anaheim Ducks
45.2%
54.8%
-190
+171
-190
+176
-1½+130
+1½-143
-1½+135
+1½-144
1
2
-1.02085-1.03257-0.60088
Detroit Red Wings
Colorado Avalanche
20.1%
79.9%
+162
-182
+165
-174
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+140
2
7
-0.46461-0.46639-0.22471
Buffalo Sabres
Toronto Maple Leafs
21.6%
78.4%
+156
-172
+160
-175
+1½-154
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+136
1
2
-0.48102-0.47276-0.24330
Dallas Stars
San Jose Sharks
59.0%
41.0%
-395
+340
-390
+341
-1½-155
+1½+135
-1½-146
+1½+130
7
6
-0.25060-0.25068-0.52763
Vancouver Canucks
Los Angeles Kings
48.0%
52.0%
-111
+100
-110
+101
-1½+230
+1½-255
-1½+225
+1½-255
2
1
-0.66806-0.66771-0.73309
Chicago Blackhawks
Arizona Coyotes
40.4%
59.6%
+233
-265
+232
-250
+1½-110
-1½-108
+1½-115
-1½+100
5
2
-1.22895-1.21534-0.90748
Seattle Kraken
Winnipeg Jets
36.8%
63.2%
+156
-168
+160
-163
+1½-165
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+158
4
3
-0.95735-0.95988-1.00098
Montreal Canadiens
Nashville Predators
47.8%
52.2%
+187
-211
+190
-210
+1½-133
-1½+117
+1½-135
-1½+120
4
3
-1.08084-1.08672-0.73858
Edmonton Oilers
Boston Bruins
52.9%
47.1%
-135
+120
-135
+124
-1½+185
+1½-215
-1½+190
+1½-210
2
1
-0.58291-0.57499-0.63592
St. Louis Blues
New York Islanders
37.1%
62.9%
+170
-186
+168
-175
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-151
-1½+145
2
4
-0.45075-0.46143-0.46404
Columbus Blue Jackets
Pittsburgh Penguins
27.3%
72.7%
+210
-235
+210
-220
+1½-113
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+110
3
5
-0.37834-0.38472-0.31842
Florida Panthers
New Jersey Devils
55.2%
44.8%
-120
+107
-120
+110
-1½+190
+1½-220
-1½+197
+1½-225
5
3
-0.63429-0.62755-0.59432
Seattle Kraken
Calgary Flames
42.6%
57.4%
+112
-126
+113
-122
+1½-212
-1½+185
+1½-220
-1½+197
4
2
-0.78021-0.77499-0.85362
Chicago Blackhawks
Colorado Avalanche
26.7%
73.3%
+324
-375
+353
-400
+1½+135
-1½-152

0
5
-0.26140-0.24368-0.31006
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.62530 
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.62129 
DRatings128-4 (0.667)0-0.54494
0.08037
0.07636

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/21/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.326.77.099.684.2%54.5%35.3%21.0%11.8%
2Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.325.96.899.485.9%55.6%33.2%20.8%12.3%
3Vegas Golden Knights (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.527.37.398.286.4%54.0%34.9%19.9%10.9%
4Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.328.27.598.178.2%39.8%21.4%12.5%6.9%
5Florida Panthers (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.97.794.472.4%32.8%16.1%8.8%4.7%
6Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.07.694.473.7%43.6%24.5%13.0%6.9%
7Boston Bruins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.529.67.992.966.5%31.8%15.4%8.2%3.9%
8Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.429.68.092.864.3%33.5%17.2%9.1%4.5%
9New York Islanders (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.229.88.092.361.3%29.8%15.6%7.9%3.7%
10Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.029.17.891.977.2%38.0%19.6%9.0%4.4%
11Washington Capitals (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.629.67.991.061.6%30.0%14.8%7.4%3.4%
12Minnesota Wild (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.330.68.090.760.1%31.6%15.9%7.6%3.6%
13New York Rangers (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.230.78.090.552.6%24.1%11.7%5.1%2.4%
14St. Louis Blues (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.532.08.589.548.7%24.1%10.5%4.4%1.9%
15Dallas Stars (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.431.48.289.152.3%27.3%12.7%5.7%2.6%
16Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.832.58.788.243.6%17.0%6.8%3.1%1.4%
17Calgary Flames (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.531.28.387.358.2%28.0%12.9%5.1%2.2%
18Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.48.686.640.8%20.5%8.7%3.8%1.7%
19Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.58.586.540.2%21.3%9.7%3.9%1.6%
20Nashville Predators (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.031.78.386.445.0%21.5%9.7%4.1%1.7%
21Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0, 0 pts)38.132.99.085.333.9%19.6%8.3%3.3%1.4%
22Seattle Kraken (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.632.88.683.846.5%16.6%6.6%2.5%0.9%
23Arizona Coyotes (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.233.89.083.428.7%13.3%5.0%2.0%0.9%
24Vancouver Canucks (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.033.28.882.841.3%16.3%6.8%2.6%1.0%
25Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.533.59.082.026.4%9.9%3.8%1.5%0.6%
26New Jersey Devils (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.433.69.081.826.2%10.8%4.0%1.4%0.5%
27Los Angeles Kings (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.134.69.281.530.0%10.6%4.0%1.2%0.4%
28Detroit Red Wings (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.835.79.581.117.6%8.6%2.9%1.1%0.4%
29Ottawa Senators (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.934.19.180.824.3%9.3%3.2%1.3%0.5%
30San Jose Sharks (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.034.28.880.733.8%13.7%4.7%1.7%0.6%
31Anaheim Ducks (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.035.69.479.326.6%8.7%3.0%0.9%0.3%
32Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0, 0 pts)33.836.59.777.311.5%3.9%1.1%0.3%0.1%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.