NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 25, 2021

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0)
Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
33.6%
66.4%
+121
-134
+123
-130
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+192
2.05
3.31
5.36
o6-110
u6+101
o6+100
u6-110
Dallas Stars (0-0-0)
Florida Panthers (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
51.7%
48.3%
+120
-133
+119
-129
+1½-205
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+191
2.94
2.76
5.70
o5½-113
u5½+102
o5½-110
u5½+100
New Jersey Devils (0-0-0)
Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
36.7%
63.3%
-115
+105
-113
+106
-1½+226
+1½-255
-1½+225
-1½+240
2.38
3.52
5.90
o5½+112
u5½-120
o5½+110
u5½-120
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
PostponedVegas Golden Knights (0-0-0)
San Jose Sharks (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
64.3%
35.7%
-210
+180



3.59
2.41
6.00
o6-110
u6-110

Games for Feb 24, 2021

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Calgary Flames (0-0-0)
Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0-0)
40.9%
59.1%
+135
-153
+143
-146
+1½-183
-1½+161
+1½-165
-1½+165
5.97
o6½-103
u6+110
o6-115
u6+110
2nd P
02:37
1
1
Dallas Stars (0-0-0)
San Jose Sharks (0-0-0)
59.0%
41.0%
-157
+138
-155
+145
-1½+148
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
5.51
o6½-115
u6½+103
o6½-120
u6½+105
2nd P
15:16
2
1
Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0)
Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0)
24.5%
75.5%
+235
-265
+260
-269
+1½+107
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-120
5.49
o7+100
u7-110
o6½-150
u7-120
2nd P
16:39
0
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Kings
Colorado Avalanche
23.0%
77.0%
+190
-218
+210
-207
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-125
-1½+125
2
5
-0.40747-0.39097-0.26094
Buffalo Sabres
St. Louis Blues
28.0%
72.0%
-115
+101
-112
+105
-1½+211
+1½-245
-1½+220
+1½-235
4
2
-0.65759-0.65406-1.27347
Edmonton Oilers
Winnipeg Jets
55.3%
44.7%
-108
-106
-108
+100
+1½-270
+1½-260
-1½+215
+1½-240
3
1
-0.68864-0.67446-0.59189
Columbus Blue Jackets
Ottawa Senators
44.7%
55.3%
+181
-207
+191
-205
+1½-128
-1½+113
+1½-130
-1½+115
4
1
-1.06288-1.08382-0.80424
New York Rangers
Carolina Hurricanes
40.7%
59.3%
+150
-170
+153
-168
+1½-168
-1½+151
+1½-170
-1½+156
2
3
-0.49182-0.48890-0.52322
Washington Capitals
Florida Panthers
43.9%
56.1%
+111
-126
+110
-118
+1½-235
-1½+196
+1½-235
-1½+205
3
5
-0.61522-0.63113-0.57812
Philadelphia Flyers
Seattle Kraken
49.0%
51.0%
-141
+127
-134
+130
-1½+183
+1½-210
-1½+195
+1½-195
1
4
-0.84504-0.84033-0.67368
Pittsburgh Penguins
Chicago Blackhawks
65.5%
34.5%
-150
+132
-150
+135
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-175
7
3
-0.54139-0.53604-0.42373
Toronto Maple Leafs
Detroit Red Wings
70.7%
29.3%
+115
-130
+120
-130
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-215
-1½+195
2
3
-0.60042-0.59012-1.22683
New York Islanders
Columbus Blue Jackets
49.8%
50.2%
+126
-140
+120
-130
+1½-200
-1½+174
+1½-210
-1½+195
2
4
-0.56449-0.59012-0.68939
Montreal Canadiens
Tampa Bay Lightning
37.2%
62.8%
+117
-133
+125
-132
+1½-200
-1½+174
+1½-200
-1½+185
4
5
-0.59184-0.57725-0.46510
San Jose Sharks
Vancouver Canucks
47.1%
52.9%
+122
-137
+125
-134
+1½-195
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+185
6
3
-0.82563-0.82789-0.75366
Edmonton Oilers
Calgary Flames
52.7%
47.3%
-144
+130
-145
+133
-1½+174
+1½-185
-1½+170
+1½-185
2
3
-0.85755-0.86669-0.74864
Colorado Avalanche
Vegas Golden Knights
51.4%
48.6%
-148
+135
-145
+134
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
+1½-180
6
5
-0.53828-0.54352-0.66594
Anaheim Ducks
Los Angeles Kings
44.9%
55.1%
+109
-123
+112
-115
+1½-225
-1½+192
+1½-220
-1½+215
1
6
-0.62459-0.63228-0.59660
Nashville Predators
St. Louis Blues
41.5%
58.5%
-104
-110
-102
-108
+1½-260
-1½+222
+1½-260
-1½+228
2
3
-0.67968-0.67930-0.53628
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1 (0.667)0-0.66979 
Sportsbooks32-1 (0.667)0-0.66286 
DRatings33-0 (1.000)0-0.61158
0.05821
0.05127

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/21/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.326.77.099.684.2%54.5%35.3%21.0%11.8%
2Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.325.96.899.485.9%55.6%33.2%20.8%12.3%
3Vegas Golden Knights (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.527.37.398.286.4%54.0%34.9%19.9%10.9%
4Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.328.27.598.178.2%39.8%21.4%12.5%6.9%
5Florida Panthers (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.97.794.472.4%32.8%16.1%8.8%4.7%
6Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.07.694.473.7%43.6%24.5%13.0%6.9%
7Boston Bruins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.529.67.992.966.5%31.8%15.4%8.2%3.9%
8Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.429.68.092.864.3%33.5%17.2%9.1%4.5%
9New York Islanders (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.229.88.092.361.3%29.8%15.6%7.9%3.7%
10Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.029.17.891.977.2%38.0%19.6%9.0%4.4%
11Washington Capitals (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.629.67.991.061.6%30.0%14.8%7.4%3.4%
12Minnesota Wild (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.330.68.090.760.1%31.6%15.9%7.6%3.6%
13New York Rangers (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.230.78.090.552.6%24.1%11.7%5.1%2.4%
14St. Louis Blues (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.532.08.589.548.7%24.1%10.5%4.4%1.9%
15Dallas Stars (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.431.48.289.152.3%27.3%12.7%5.7%2.6%
16Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.832.58.788.243.6%17.0%6.8%3.1%1.4%
17Calgary Flames (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.531.28.387.358.2%28.0%12.9%5.1%2.2%
18Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.48.686.640.8%20.5%8.7%3.8%1.7%
19Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.58.586.540.2%21.3%9.7%3.9%1.6%
20Nashville Predators (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.031.78.386.445.0%21.5%9.7%4.1%1.7%
21Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0, 0 pts)38.132.99.085.333.9%19.6%8.3%3.3%1.4%
22Seattle Kraken (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.632.88.683.846.5%16.6%6.6%2.5%0.9%
23Arizona Coyotes (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.233.89.083.428.7%13.3%5.0%2.0%0.9%
24Vancouver Canucks (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.033.28.882.841.3%16.3%6.8%2.6%1.0%
25Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.533.59.082.026.4%9.9%3.8%1.5%0.6%
26New Jersey Devils (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.433.69.081.826.2%10.8%4.0%1.4%0.5%
27Los Angeles Kings (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.134.69.281.530.0%10.6%4.0%1.2%0.4%
28Detroit Red Wings (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.835.79.581.117.6%8.6%2.9%1.1%0.4%
29Ottawa Senators (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.934.19.180.824.3%9.3%3.2%1.3%0.5%
30San Jose Sharks (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.034.28.880.733.8%13.7%4.7%1.7%0.6%
31Anaheim Ducks (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.035.69.479.326.6%8.7%3.0%0.9%0.3%
32Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0, 0 pts)33.836.59.777.311.5%3.9%1.1%0.3%0.1%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.