NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 25, 2021

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0)
Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
33.6%
66.4%
+121
-134
+123
-130
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+192
2.05
3.31
5.36
o6-110
u6+101
o6+100
u6-110
Dallas Stars (0-0-0)
Florida Panthers (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
51.7%
48.3%
+120
-133
+119
-129
+1½-205
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+191
2.94
2.76
5.70
o5½-113
u5½+102
o5½-110
u5½+100
New Jersey Devils (0-0-0)
Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
36.7%
63.3%
-115
+105
-113
+106
-1½+226
+1½-255
-1½+225
-1½+240
2.38
3.52
5.90
o5½+112
u5½-120
o5½+110
u5½-120
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
PostponedVegas Golden Knights (0-0-0)
San Jose Sharks (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
64.3%
35.7%
-210
+180



3.59
2.41
6.00
o6-110
u6-110

Games for Feb 24, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Avalanche
Winnipeg Jets
67.7%
32.3%
+106
-115
+107
-117
-1½+245
+1½-280
-1½+240
+1½-260
2
6
-0.64582-0.63974-1.12880
Vancouver Canucks
Minnesota Wild
34.6%
65.4%
+109
-120
+110
-119
+1½-225
-1½+205
+1½-220
-1½+200
1
2
-0.62978-0.62933-0.42442
Buffalo Sabres
Vegas Golden Knights
20.0%
80.0%
+180
-203
+195
-205
+1½-135
-1½+116
+1½-125
-1½+115
5
2
-1.05639-1.09285-1.61074
San Jose Sharks
Arizona Coyotes
44.9%
55.1%
+169
-177
+172
-180
+1½-140
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+130
0
1
-0.45855-0.45229-0.59593
Ottawa Senators
Dallas Stars
24.1%
75.9%
+182
-203
+180
-195
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+125
4
5
-0.42480-0.43197-0.27619
Boston Bruins
New York Islanders
50.7%
49.3%
-125
+115
-121
+111
-1½+210
+1½-245
-1½+208
+1½-230
5
4
-0.60825-0.62358-0.67873
Nashville Predators
Carolina Hurricanes
43.2%
56.8%
+160
-175
+159
-160
+1½-164
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+160
6
5
-0.97625-0.95314-0.83833
Anaheim Ducks
New York Rangers
33.1%
66.9%
+262
-290
+264
-300
+1½+105
-1½-119
+1½+100
-1½-118
1
5
-0.31590-0.31211-0.40158
Chicago Blackhawks
Seattle Kraken
48.0%
52.0%
+205
-230
+205
-220
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+110
1
7
-0.38554-0.38995-0.65348
Florida Panthers
Vancouver Canucks
62.4%
37.6%
-122
+116
-120
+115
-1½+205
+1½-225
-1½+210
+1½-230
0
4
-0.78255-0.77596-0.97811
Tampa Bay Lightning
Edmonton Oilers
58.7%
41.3%
+153
-161
+155
-166
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+150
7
4
-0.94025-0.95218-0.53203
Calgary Flames
Minnesota Wild
41.9%
58.1%
+127
-140
+126
-138
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+173
2
3
-0.56258-0.56708-0.54337
Ottawa Senators
St. Louis Blues
31.8%
68.2%
-120
+110
-118
+108
-1½+200
+1½-225
-1½+205
+1½-230
2
4
-0.76336-0.75417-0.38221
Carolina Hurricanes
Detroit Red Wings
69.3%
30.7%
-170
+155
-170
+156
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
2
1
-0.48418-0.48268-0.36662
Washington Capitals
Philadelphia Flyers
54.3%
45.7%
+115
-128
+118
-129
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-210
-1½+190
3
4
-0.60349-0.59571-0.78349
Columbus Blue Jackets
Toronto Maple Leafs
29.8%
70.2%
+210
-238
+220
-229
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
6
5
-1.15779-1.17167-1.20929
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks51-4 (0.200)0-1.01622 
Sportsbooks51-4 (0.200)0-1.01966 
DRatings52-3 (0.400)0-0.79006
0.22616
0.22960

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/21/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.326.77.099.684.2%54.5%35.3%21.0%11.8%
2Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.325.96.899.485.9%55.6%33.2%20.8%12.3%
3Vegas Golden Knights (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.527.37.398.286.4%54.0%34.9%19.9%10.9%
4Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.328.27.598.178.2%39.8%21.4%12.5%6.9%
5Florida Panthers (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.97.794.472.4%32.8%16.1%8.8%4.7%
6Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.07.694.473.7%43.6%24.5%13.0%6.9%
7Boston Bruins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.529.67.992.966.5%31.8%15.4%8.2%3.9%
8Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.429.68.092.864.3%33.5%17.2%9.1%4.5%
9New York Islanders (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.229.88.092.361.3%29.8%15.6%7.9%3.7%
10Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.029.17.891.977.2%38.0%19.6%9.0%4.4%
11Washington Capitals (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.629.67.991.061.6%30.0%14.8%7.4%3.4%
12Minnesota Wild (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.330.68.090.760.1%31.6%15.9%7.6%3.6%
13New York Rangers (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.230.78.090.552.6%24.1%11.7%5.1%2.4%
14St. Louis Blues (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.532.08.589.548.7%24.1%10.5%4.4%1.9%
15Dallas Stars (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.431.48.289.152.3%27.3%12.7%5.7%2.6%
16Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.832.58.788.243.6%17.0%6.8%3.1%1.4%
17Calgary Flames (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.531.28.387.358.2%28.0%12.9%5.1%2.2%
18Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.48.686.640.8%20.5%8.7%3.8%1.7%
19Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.58.586.540.2%21.3%9.7%3.9%1.6%
20Nashville Predators (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.031.78.386.445.0%21.5%9.7%4.1%1.7%
21Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0, 0 pts)38.132.99.085.333.9%19.6%8.3%3.3%1.4%
22Seattle Kraken (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.632.88.683.846.5%16.6%6.6%2.5%0.9%
23Arizona Coyotes (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.233.89.083.428.7%13.3%5.0%2.0%0.9%
24Vancouver Canucks (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.033.28.882.841.3%16.3%6.8%2.6%1.0%
25Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.533.59.082.026.4%9.9%3.8%1.5%0.6%
26New Jersey Devils (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.433.69.081.826.2%10.8%4.0%1.4%0.5%
27Los Angeles Kings (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.134.69.281.530.0%10.6%4.0%1.2%0.4%
28Detroit Red Wings (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.835.79.581.117.6%8.6%2.9%1.1%0.4%
29Ottawa Senators (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.934.19.180.824.3%9.3%3.2%1.3%0.5%
30San Jose Sharks (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.034.28.880.733.8%13.7%4.7%1.7%0.6%
31Anaheim Ducks (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.035.69.479.326.6%8.7%3.0%0.9%0.3%
32Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0, 0 pts)33.836.59.777.311.5%3.9%1.1%0.3%0.1%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.