NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 16, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
St. Louis Blues (0-0-0)
Boston Bruins (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
42.0%
58.0%




2.29
3.15
5.44


New York Islanders (0-0-0)
Seattle Kraken (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
56.6%
43.4%




3.04
2.34
5.38


Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0)
Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
40.8%
59.2%




2.78
3.77
6.55


Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0)
Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
34.1%
65.9%




2.14
3.37
5.51


Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
33.1%
66.9%




2.33
3.61
5.94


San Jose Sharks (0-0-0)
Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
41.7%
58.3%




2.60
3.49
6.09


Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0)
Florida Panthers (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
37.0%
63.0%




2.41
3.55
5.96


New Jersey Devils (0-0-0)
Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
23.7%
76.3%




1.94
3.75
5.69


Ottawa Senators (0-0-0)
Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
26.0%
74.0%




2.23
3.80
6.03


Detroit Red Wings (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Kings (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
34.7%
65.3%




1.99
3.21
5.20


Dallas Stars (0-0-0)
Minnesota Wild (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
46.0%
54.0%




2.38
2.82
5.20


Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0)
Vancouver Canucks (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
51.2%
48.8%




3.15
3.02
6.17


Games for Nov 17, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
New Jersey Devils (0-0-0)
Florida Panthers (0-0-0)
31.2%
68.8%
+140
-157
+139
-150
+1½-177
-1½+157
+1½-180
-1½+170
5.81
o6+104
u6-120
o6+100
u6-115
3rd P
16:30
4
2
Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0)
Ottawa Senators (0-0-0)
57.3%
42.7%
+165
-186
+165
-180
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-159
-1½+140
6.32
o6-102
u6-114
o6+100
u5½+105
3rd P
17:36
2
2
San Jose Sharks (0-0-0)
New York Rangers (0-0-0)
35.8%
64.2%
+355
-413
+350
-407
+1½+140
-1½-160
+1½+135
-1½-150
6.06
o6½-114
u6½+100
o6½-105
u6½-105
3rd P
12:36
1
3
Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0)
Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0)
28.7%
71.3%
+131
-147
+135
-145
+1½-197
-1½+172
+1½-187
-1½+175
5.83
o6½-108
u6½-108
o6½+100
u6½-115
3rd P
16:41
1
3
St. Louis Blues (0-0-0)
Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0)
67.2%
32.8%
+154
-172
+160
-160
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+170
5.60
o6+103
u6-119
o6+100
u6-110
2nd P
01:27
3
2
Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0)
Minnesota Wild (0-0-0)
40.3%
59.7%
+235
-252
+222
-246
+1½-110
-1½-103
+1½-115
-1½+105
5.59
o6-117
u6+101
o6-115
u6+100
2nd P
15:10
0
0
Boston Bruins (0-0-0)
Dallas Stars (0-0-0)
51.5%
48.5%
+150
-169
+155
-168
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+155
5.17
o6-105
u6-108
o6-105
u6-105
2nd P
19:41
1
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Kings
Colorado Avalanche
23.0%
77.0%
+112
-124
+120
-118
+1½-213
-1½+183
+1½-210
-1½+191
2
4
-0.61632-0.60963-0.26094
Vegas Golden Knights
Anaheim Ducks
71.1%
28.9%
-225
+199
-225
+208
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-121
3
2
-0.39412-0.38457-0.34160
Toronto Maple Leafs
Washington Capitals
45.8%
54.2%
+133
-148
+131
-138
+1½-182
-1½+168
+1½-195
-1½+180
4
3
-0.87151-0.84989-0.77993
Detroit Red Wings
Pittsburgh Penguins
29.2%
70.8%
+120
-135
+125
-135
+1½-208
-1½+178
+1½-195
-1½+175
3
2
-0.81706-0.82968-1.23114
Calgary Flames
Vancouver Canucks
46.2%
53.8%
+195
-218
+195
-214
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+117
1
3
-0.40178-0.40372-0.61926
Columbus Blue Jackets
Seattle Kraken
45.2%
54.8%
+130
-140
+133
-145
+1½-180
-1½+171
+1½-185
-1½+173
2
5
-0.55696-0.54531-0.60144
New York Islanders
Edmonton Oilers
46.5%
53.5%
+197
-223
+195
-215
+1½-135
-1½+117
+1½-135
-1½+119
3
4
-0.39723-0.40323-0.62467
Boston Bruins
St. Louis Blues
52.3%
47.7%
-172
+153
-165
+155
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-175
3
2
-0.48555-0.48848-0.64875
New Jersey Devils
Florida Panthers
31.2%
68.8%
+110
-113
+105
-112
+1½-220
-1½+210
+1½-230
-1½+205
4
1
-0.74862-0.73382-1.16318
Ottawa Senators
Toronto Maple Leafs
24.8%
75.2%
+109
-123
+110
-118
+1½-225
-1½+195
+1½-220
-1½+208
3
0
-0.76675-0.75927-1.39396
Winnipeg Jets
New York Rangers
40.8%
59.2%
+105
-118
+105
-114
+1½-250
-1½+210
+1½-240
-1½+210
6
3
-0.74651-0.73814-0.89771
Carolina Hurricanes
Vegas Golden Knights
43.1%
56.9%
-143
+130
-140
+132
-1½+170
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-186
5
2
-0.55321-0.55326-0.84225
Nashville Predators
Colorado Avalanche
27.8%
72.2%
+125
-140
+125
-134
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+180
2
3
-0.56639-0.57442-0.32529
Los Angeles Kings
Calgary Flames
38.6%
61.4%
-133
+118
-130
+120
-1½+190
+1½-220
-1½+195
+1½-215
1
3
-0.80842-0.80802-0.48823
San Jose Sharks
Philadelphia Flyers
33.8%
66.2%
+235
-267
+240
-270
+1½-113
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-104
3
4
-0.34382-0.33865-0.41296
Dallas Stars
Pittsburgh Penguins
44.9%
55.1%
-162
+147
-155
+145
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
7
1
-0.50367-0.51371-0.80062
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0 (1.000)0-0.50522 
Sportsbooks22-0 (1.000)0-0.49710 
DRatings22-0 (1.000)0-0.30127
0.20395
0.19583

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/21/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.326.77.099.684.2%54.5%35.3%21.0%11.8%
2Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.325.96.899.485.9%55.6%33.2%20.8%12.3%
3Vegas Golden Knights (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.527.37.398.286.4%54.0%34.9%19.9%10.9%
4Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.328.27.598.178.2%39.8%21.4%12.5%6.9%
5Florida Panthers (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.97.794.472.4%32.8%16.1%8.8%4.7%
6Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.07.694.473.7%43.6%24.5%13.0%6.9%
7Boston Bruins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.529.67.992.966.5%31.8%15.4%8.2%3.9%
8Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.429.68.092.864.3%33.5%17.2%9.1%4.5%
9New York Islanders (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.229.88.092.361.3%29.8%15.6%7.9%3.7%
10Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.029.17.891.977.2%38.0%19.6%9.0%4.4%
11Washington Capitals (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.629.67.991.061.6%30.0%14.8%7.4%3.4%
12Minnesota Wild (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.330.68.090.760.1%31.6%15.9%7.6%3.6%
13New York Rangers (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.230.78.090.552.6%24.1%11.7%5.1%2.4%
14St. Louis Blues (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.532.08.589.548.7%24.1%10.5%4.4%1.9%
15Dallas Stars (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.431.48.289.152.3%27.3%12.7%5.7%2.6%
16Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.832.58.788.243.6%17.0%6.8%3.1%1.4%
17Calgary Flames (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.531.28.387.358.2%28.0%12.9%5.1%2.2%
18Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.48.686.640.8%20.5%8.7%3.8%1.7%
19Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.58.586.540.2%21.3%9.7%3.9%1.6%
20Nashville Predators (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.031.78.386.445.0%21.5%9.7%4.1%1.7%
21Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0, 0 pts)38.132.99.085.333.9%19.6%8.3%3.3%1.4%
22Seattle Kraken (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.632.88.683.846.5%16.6%6.6%2.5%0.9%
23Arizona Coyotes (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.233.89.083.428.7%13.3%5.0%2.0%0.9%
24Vancouver Canucks (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.033.28.882.841.3%16.3%6.8%2.6%1.0%
25Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.533.59.082.026.4%9.9%3.8%1.5%0.6%
26New Jersey Devils (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.433.69.081.826.2%10.8%4.0%1.4%0.5%
27Los Angeles Kings (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.134.69.281.530.0%10.6%4.0%1.2%0.4%
28Detroit Red Wings (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.835.79.581.117.6%8.6%2.9%1.1%0.4%
29Ottawa Senators (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.934.19.180.824.3%9.3%3.2%1.3%0.5%
30San Jose Sharks (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.034.28.880.733.8%13.7%4.7%1.7%0.6%
31Anaheim Ducks (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.035.69.479.326.6%8.7%3.0%0.9%0.3%
32Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0, 0 pts)33.836.59.777.311.5%3.9%1.1%0.3%0.1%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.