NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 20, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Vegas Golden Knights (0-0-0)
Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
49.6%
50.4%




3.01
3.06
6.07


Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
60.0%
40.0%




3.50
2.47
5.97


San Jose Sharks (0-0-0)
Dallas Stars (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
35.6%
64.4%




2.16
3.35
5.51


Nashville Predators (0-0-0)
Seattle Kraken (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
49.4%
50.6%




2.68
2.75
5.43


Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Kings (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
38.6%
61.4%




2.19
3.26
5.45


Games for Nov 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Red Wings
San Jose Sharks
42.1%
57.9%
-145
+130
-145
+135
-1½+163
+1½-183
-1½+170
+1½-180
4
5
-0.85918-0.87165-0.54699
Anaheim Ducks
Dallas Stars
32.8%
67.2%
+370
-430
+376
-440
+1½+145
-1½-165
+1½+145
-1½-160
4
2
-1.57137-1.58484-1.11422
Edmonton Oilers
Montreal Canadiens
54.4%
45.6%
-255
+235
-257
+230
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½+101
+1½-115
0
3
-1.22564-1.21659-0.78485
Colorado Avalanche
Philadelphia Flyers
67.7%
32.3%
-202
+179
-190
+188
-1½+117
+1½-133
-1½+127
+1½-140
3
2
-0.42909-0.42524-0.38998
Columbus Blue Jackets
Boston Bruins
32.8%
67.2%
+165
-181
+170
-175
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
5
1
-0.99582-0.99997-1.11425
Nashville Predators
Vancouver Canucks
61.1%
38.9%
-115
+102
-117
+114
-1½+225
-1½+238
+1½-280
-1½+245
5
3
-0.65520-0.62416-0.49223
New York Rangers
Seattle Kraken
63.9%
36.1%
-182
+162
-170
+165
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+145
+1½-155
2
0
-0.46461-0.46959-0.44743
Washington Capitals
Vegas Golden Knights
37.5%
62.5%
+108
-121
+115
-121
+1½-227
-1½+197
+1½-215
-1½+200
5
2
-0.76025-0.77801-0.98152
St. Louis Blues
Carolina Hurricanes
40.3%
59.7%
+280
-320
+270
-306
+1½+110
-1½-123
+1½+100
-1½-117
1
4
-0.29670-0.30646-0.51544
Chicago Blackhawks
Vancouver Canucks
51.2%
48.8%
+205
-230
+215
-236
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
1
4
-0.38554-0.37292-0.71672
Dallas Stars
Minnesota Wild
46.0%
54.0%
-149
+133
-145
+133
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+175
+1½-190
2
1
-0.54070-0.54531-0.77683
Detroit Red Wings
Los Angeles Kings
34.7%
65.3%
+175
-196
+172
-190
+1½-145
-1½+131
+1½-150
-1½+136
1
4
-0.43771-0.44543-0.42581
Ottawa Senators
Carolina Hurricanes
26.0%
74.0%
+147
-163
+155
-163
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
0
4
-0.50274-0.49027-0.30174
New Jersey Devils
Tampa Bay Lightning
23.7%
76.3%
-110
+100
-110
+101
-1½+215
+1½-250
-1½+220
+1½-245
0
4
-0.71668-0.71924-0.27038
Winnipeg Jets
Florida Panthers
37.0%
63.0%
+125
-136
+128
-138
+1½-212
-1½+182
+1½-196
-1½+190
0
5
-0.57167-0.56328-0.46250
San Jose Sharks
Pittsburgh Penguins
41.7%
58.3%
+162
-182
+180
-191
+1½-150
-1½+133
+1½-140
-1½+125
3
4
-0.46461-0.43445-0.54024
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks51-4 (0.200)0-1.01622 
Sportsbooks51-4 (0.200)0-1.01966 
DRatings52-3 (0.400)0-0.79006
0.22616
0.22960

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/21/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.326.77.099.684.2%54.5%35.3%21.0%11.8%
2Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.325.96.899.485.9%55.6%33.2%20.8%12.3%
3Vegas Golden Knights (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.527.37.398.286.4%54.0%34.9%19.9%10.9%
4Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.328.27.598.178.2%39.8%21.4%12.5%6.9%
5Florida Panthers (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.97.794.472.4%32.8%16.1%8.8%4.7%
6Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.07.694.473.7%43.6%24.5%13.0%6.9%
7Boston Bruins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.529.67.992.966.5%31.8%15.4%8.2%3.9%
8Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.429.68.092.864.3%33.5%17.2%9.1%4.5%
9New York Islanders (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.229.88.092.361.3%29.8%15.6%7.9%3.7%
10Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.029.17.891.977.2%38.0%19.6%9.0%4.4%
11Washington Capitals (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.629.67.991.061.6%30.0%14.8%7.4%3.4%
12Minnesota Wild (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.330.68.090.760.1%31.6%15.9%7.6%3.6%
13New York Rangers (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.230.78.090.552.6%24.1%11.7%5.1%2.4%
14St. Louis Blues (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.532.08.589.548.7%24.1%10.5%4.4%1.9%
15Dallas Stars (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.431.48.289.152.3%27.3%12.7%5.7%2.6%
16Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.832.58.788.243.6%17.0%6.8%3.1%1.4%
17Calgary Flames (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.531.28.387.358.2%28.0%12.9%5.1%2.2%
18Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.48.686.640.8%20.5%8.7%3.8%1.7%
19Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.58.586.540.2%21.3%9.7%3.9%1.6%
20Nashville Predators (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.031.78.386.445.0%21.5%9.7%4.1%1.7%
21Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0, 0 pts)38.132.99.085.333.9%19.6%8.3%3.3%1.4%
22Seattle Kraken (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.632.88.683.846.5%16.6%6.6%2.5%0.9%
23Arizona Coyotes (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.233.89.083.428.7%13.3%5.0%2.0%0.9%
24Vancouver Canucks (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.033.28.882.841.3%16.3%6.8%2.6%1.0%
25Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.533.59.082.026.4%9.9%3.8%1.5%0.6%
26New Jersey Devils (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.433.69.081.826.2%10.8%4.0%1.4%0.5%
27Los Angeles Kings (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.134.69.281.530.0%10.6%4.0%1.2%0.4%
28Detroit Red Wings (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.835.79.581.117.6%8.6%2.9%1.1%0.4%
29Ottawa Senators (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.934.19.180.824.3%9.3%3.2%1.3%0.5%
30San Jose Sharks (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.034.28.880.733.8%13.7%4.7%1.7%0.6%
31Anaheim Ducks (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.035.69.479.326.6%8.7%3.0%0.9%0.3%
32Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0, 0 pts)33.836.59.777.311.5%3.9%1.1%0.3%0.1%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.