NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 27, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0)
Detroit Red Wings (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
70.7%
29.3%
-145
+125

-1½+155
+1½-180

3.60
2.20
5.80
o5½-135
u5½+115

Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0)
Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
60.6%
39.4%
+148
-166

+1½-163
-1½+137

3.42
2.37
5.79
o6-101
u5½+120

Volatility Bet Value Active
Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0)
New Jersey Devils (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
66.0%
34.0%
+112
-116

+1½-260
-1½+215

3.48
2.25
5.73
o6-106
u5½+115

Boston Bruins (0-0-0)
Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
61.9%
38.1%
-161
+143

-1½+150
+1½-175

3.19
2.09
5.28
o6-108
u6½-125

Nashville Predators (0-0-0)
St. Louis Blues (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
41.5%
58.5%
-108
+106

-1½+200
+1½-240

2.27
3.18
5.45
o5½-110
u5½-106

Volatility Bet Value Active
Minnesota Wild (0-0-0)
Dallas Stars (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
48.3%
51.7%
+141
-150

+1½-170
-1½+145

2.51
2.69
5.20
o5½-128
u5½+120

Vegas Golden Knights (0-0-0)
San Jose Sharks (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
68.5%
31.5%
-232
+205
-240
+200
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+110
+1½-130
3.59
2.25
5.84
o6-108
u6½-130
o6½+110
u6½-130

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Anaheim Ducks
Vegas Golden Knights
18.6%
81.4%
+265
-295
+270
-309
+1½+112
-1½-127
+1½+110
-1½-125
1
3
-0.31249-0.30582-0.20538
San Jose Sharks
Vancouver Canucks
47.1%
52.9%
+195
-220
+210
-210
+1½-125
-1½+106
+1½-120
-1½+115
3
4
-0.40084-0.38946-0.63609
Carolina Hurricanes
Nashville Predators
59.7%
40.3%
-110
+100
-110
+104
-1½+210
+1½-240
-1½+216
+1½-240
2
5
-0.71668-0.72685-0.90820
Chicago Blackhawks
Minnesota Wild
38.3%
61.7%
+185
-208
+190
-210
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+125
3
4
-0.41843-0.41146-0.48332
Buffalo Sabres
New York Islanders
26.8%
73.2%
+133
-148
+140
-150
+1½-179
-1½+159
+1½-185
-1½+170
7
1
-0.87151-0.89199-1.31834
Tampa Bay Lightning
Florida Panthers
56.6%
43.4%
+144
-162
+142
-155
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
4
0
-0.91975-0.90461-0.56888
Philadelphia Flyers
Pittsburgh Penguins
38.3%
61.7%
-105
-105
-102
-102
-1½+250
-1½+215
+1½-250
-1½+230
3
7
-0.69315-0.69315-0.48256
St. Louis Blues
Detroit Red Wings
63.1%
36.9%
-104
-108
-105
-105
+1½-260
-1½+220
+1½-266
-1½+230
4
0
-0.70235-0.69315-0.46081
Washington Capitals
Boston Bruins
34.9%
65.1%
+125
-137
+124
-134
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-197
-1½+180
1
4
-0.57033-0.57638-0.42869
Montreal Canadiens
Columbus Blue Jackets
52.0%
48.0%
+103
-116
+115
-116
+1½-225
-1½+200
+1½-200
-1½+216
4
5
-0.65089-0.62385-0.73330
Winnipeg Jets
Toronto Maple Leafs
33.2%
66.8%
+107
-120
+110
-117
+1½-235
-1½+205
+1½-220
-1½+205
5
2
-0.75568-0.75717-1.10277
New York Rangers
New Jersey Devils
51.3%
48.7%
+224
-255
+220
-240
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-119
-1½+110
0
5
-0.35745-0.36652-0.71941
Seattle Kraken
Colorado Avalanche
19.8%
80.2%
+250
-285
+270
-300
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-115
2
5
-0.32640-0.30775-0.22121
Ottawa Senators
Edmonton Oilers
29.9%
70.1%
+155
-174
+160
-171
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
1
3
-0.48091-0.47594-0.35485
Los Angeles Kings
Washington Capitals
27.0%
73.0%
+141
-158
+140
-154
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+175
1
3
-0.51735-0.52308-0.31512
Florida Panthers
Tampa Bay Lightning
37.8%
62.2%
-105
-103
-107
+102
-1½+220
+1½-255
-1½+216
+1½-240
4
2
-0.68844-0.67178-0.97172
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks115-5 (0.500)1-0.63746 
Sportsbooks115-4 (0.545)2-0.63399 
DRatings117-4 (0.636)0-0.66621
-0.02875
-0.03222

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/21/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.326.77.099.684.2%54.5%35.3%21.0%11.8%
2Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.325.96.899.485.9%55.6%33.2%20.8%12.3%
3Vegas Golden Knights (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.527.37.398.286.4%54.0%34.9%19.9%10.9%
4Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.328.27.598.178.2%39.8%21.4%12.5%6.9%
5Florida Panthers (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.97.794.472.4%32.8%16.1%8.8%4.7%
6Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.07.694.473.7%43.6%24.5%13.0%6.9%
7Boston Bruins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.529.67.992.966.5%31.8%15.4%8.2%3.9%
8Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.429.68.092.864.3%33.5%17.2%9.1%4.5%
9New York Islanders (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.229.88.092.361.3%29.8%15.6%7.9%3.7%
10Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.029.17.891.977.2%38.0%19.6%9.0%4.4%
11Washington Capitals (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.629.67.991.061.6%30.0%14.8%7.4%3.4%
12Minnesota Wild (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.330.68.090.760.1%31.6%15.9%7.6%3.6%
13New York Rangers (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.230.78.090.552.6%24.1%11.7%5.1%2.4%
14St. Louis Blues (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.532.08.589.548.7%24.1%10.5%4.4%1.9%
15Dallas Stars (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.431.48.289.152.3%27.3%12.7%5.7%2.6%
16Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.832.58.788.243.6%17.0%6.8%3.1%1.4%
17Calgary Flames (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.531.28.387.358.2%28.0%12.9%5.1%2.2%
18Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.48.686.640.8%20.5%8.7%3.8%1.7%
19Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.58.586.540.2%21.3%9.7%3.9%1.6%
20Nashville Predators (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.031.78.386.445.0%21.5%9.7%4.1%1.7%
21Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0, 0 pts)38.132.99.085.333.9%19.6%8.3%3.3%1.4%
22Seattle Kraken (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.632.88.683.846.5%16.6%6.6%2.5%0.9%
23Arizona Coyotes (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.233.89.083.428.7%13.3%5.0%2.0%0.9%
24Vancouver Canucks (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.033.28.882.841.3%16.3%6.8%2.6%1.0%
25Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.533.59.082.026.4%9.9%3.8%1.5%0.6%
26New Jersey Devils (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.433.69.081.826.2%10.8%4.0%1.4%0.5%
27Los Angeles Kings (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.134.69.281.530.0%10.6%4.0%1.2%0.4%
28Detroit Red Wings (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.835.79.581.117.6%8.6%2.9%1.1%0.4%
29Ottawa Senators (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.934.19.180.824.3%9.3%3.2%1.3%0.5%
30San Jose Sharks (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.034.28.880.733.8%13.7%4.7%1.7%0.6%
31Anaheim Ducks (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.035.69.479.326.6%8.7%3.0%0.9%0.3%
32Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0, 0 pts)33.836.59.777.311.5%3.9%1.1%0.3%0.1%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.