NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Anaheim Ducks (0-0-0)
Calgary Flames (0-0-0)
36.6%
63.4%
+143
-161
+140
-152
+1½-174
-1½+154
+1½-180
-1½+160
5.54
o6-120
u6+106
o6-105
u6+105
3rd P
17:20
1
4
Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0)
Vegas Golden Knights (0-0-0)
31.0%
69.0%
+148
-166
+155
-160
+1½-174
-1½+155
+1½-160
-1½+155
5.84
o6+100
u5½+113
o5½-125
u5½+110
2nd P
02:35
3
0
Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0)
San Jose Sharks (0-0-0)
60.4%
39.6%
-269
+236
-255
+240
-1½-115
+1½-101
-1½-110
+1½+100
6.30
o6½-119
u6½+105
o6½-125
u6½+110
2nd P
19:35
1
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Nashville Predators
Dallas Stars
40.8%
59.2%
+256
-293
+260
-290
+1½-103
-1½-114
+1½-105
-1½-115
1
5
-0.31974-0.31741-0.52361
Pittsburgh Penguins
St. Louis Blues
50.1%
49.9%
+197
-222
+200
-220
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+127
4
5
-0.39768-0.39531-0.69581
Colorado Avalanche
Columbus Blue Jackets
63.3%
36.7%
-133
+120
-135
+131
-1½+167
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
7
3
-0.58573-0.56165-0.45782
Boston Bruins
Montreal Canadiens
57.3%
42.7%
+178
-201
+185
-200
+1½-145
-1½+128
+1½-140
-1½+130
1
4
-0.43092-0.42286-0.85020
Tampa Bay Lightning
Ottawa Senators
74.9%
25.1%
-159
+142
-145
+135
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+180
+1½-200
1
2
-0.91053-0.87165-1.38107
Seattle Kraken
Vancouver Canucks
50.3%
49.7%
+127
-139
+135
-143
+1½-210
-1½+187
+1½-200
-1½+185
5
0
-0.84165-0.86833-0.68687
Colorado Avalanche
Chicago Blackhawks
68.6%
31.4%
-380
+328
-400
+348
-1½-145
+1½+135
-1½-145
+1½+135
3
2
-0.25860-0.24609-0.37673
Florida Panthers
Toronto Maple Leafs
34.7%
65.3%
+112
-126
+117
-125
+1½-215
-1½+200
+1½-225
-1½+220
2
3
-0.61306-0.60404-0.42578
Minnesota Wild
New York Rangers
48.6%
51.4%
+142
-159
+142
-157
+1½-183
-1½+163
+1½-180
-1½+170
4
5
-0.51468-0.51666-0.66481
Washington Capitals
Carolina Hurricanes
33.2%
66.8%
+182
-205
+190
-210
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
1
5
-0.42369-0.41146-0.40381
Winnipeg Jets
Los Angeles Kings
53.2%
46.8%
+105
-118
+106
-115
+1½-255
-1½+220
+1½-260
-1½+230
1
4
-0.64249-0.64582-0.75871
San Jose Sharks
Anaheim Ducks
50.2%
49.8%
+160
-180
+170
-180
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
3
4
-0.46893-0.45497-0.69689
Edmonton Oilers
Vegas Golden Knights
38.5%
61.5%
+147
-163
+153
-165
+1½-170
-1½+153
+1½-165
-1½+150
3
2
-0.92854-0.94595-0.95490
Detroit Red Wings
St. Louis Blues
31.7%
68.3%
+155
-173
+161
-170
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+156
1
2
-0.48170-0.47531-0.38190
Tampa Bay Lightning
New York Islanders
59.4%
40.6%
-167
+149
-168
+155
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-170
4
1
-0.49597-0.48587-0.52099
Washington Capitals
Boston Bruins
43.2%
56.8%
-220
+195
-220
+207
-1½+114
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-135
4
3
-0.40084-0.38784-0.84007
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks54-1 (0.800)0-0.52892 
Sportsbooks54-1 (0.800)0-0.51378 
DRatings52-3 (0.400)0-0.78170
-0.25278
-0.26793

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/21/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.326.77.099.684.2%54.5%35.3%21.0%11.8%
2Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.325.96.899.485.9%55.6%33.2%20.8%12.3%
3Vegas Golden Knights (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.527.37.398.286.4%54.0%34.9%19.9%10.9%
4Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.328.27.598.178.2%39.8%21.4%12.5%6.9%
5Florida Panthers (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.97.794.472.4%32.8%16.1%8.8%4.7%
6Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.07.694.473.7%43.6%24.5%13.0%6.9%
7Boston Bruins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.529.67.992.966.5%31.8%15.4%8.2%3.9%
8Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.429.68.092.864.3%33.5%17.2%9.1%4.5%
9New York Islanders (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.229.88.092.361.3%29.8%15.6%7.9%3.7%
10Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.029.17.891.977.2%38.0%19.6%9.0%4.4%
11Washington Capitals (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.629.67.991.061.6%30.0%14.8%7.4%3.4%
12Minnesota Wild (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.330.68.090.760.1%31.6%15.9%7.6%3.6%
13New York Rangers (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.230.78.090.552.6%24.1%11.7%5.1%2.4%
14St. Louis Blues (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.532.08.589.548.7%24.1%10.5%4.4%1.9%
15Dallas Stars (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.431.48.289.152.3%27.3%12.7%5.7%2.6%
16Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.832.58.788.243.6%17.0%6.8%3.1%1.4%
17Calgary Flames (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.531.28.387.358.2%28.0%12.9%5.1%2.2%
18Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.48.686.640.8%20.5%8.7%3.8%1.7%
19Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.58.586.540.2%21.3%9.7%3.9%1.6%
20Nashville Predators (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.031.78.386.445.0%21.5%9.7%4.1%1.7%
21Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0, 0 pts)38.132.99.085.333.9%19.6%8.3%3.3%1.4%
22Seattle Kraken (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.632.88.683.846.5%16.6%6.6%2.5%0.9%
23Arizona Coyotes (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.233.89.083.428.7%13.3%5.0%2.0%0.9%
24Vancouver Canucks (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.033.28.882.841.3%16.3%6.8%2.6%1.0%
25Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.533.59.082.026.4%9.9%3.8%1.5%0.6%
26New Jersey Devils (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.433.69.081.826.2%10.8%4.0%1.4%0.5%
27Los Angeles Kings (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.134.69.281.530.0%10.6%4.0%1.2%0.4%
28Detroit Red Wings (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.835.79.581.117.6%8.6%2.9%1.1%0.4%
29Ottawa Senators (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.934.19.180.824.3%9.3%3.2%1.3%0.5%
30San Jose Sharks (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.034.28.880.733.8%13.7%4.7%1.7%0.6%
31Anaheim Ducks (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.035.69.479.326.6%8.7%3.0%0.9%0.3%
32Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0, 0 pts)33.836.59.777.311.5%3.9%1.1%0.3%0.1%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.