NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 4, 2025

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0)
Detroit Red Wings (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
69.3%
30.7%
-188
+167
-185
+168
-1½+133
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
3.39
2.02
5.41
o5½-118
u5½+102
o6+110
u5½+105
Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0)
Washington Capitals (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
39.1%
60.9%
+307
-355
+335
-370
+1½+130
-1½-142
+1½+130
-1½-145
2.48
3.53
6.01
o6½-122
u6½+106
o6½-115
u6½+100
Minnesota Wild (0-0-0)
New York Islanders (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
47.5%
52.5%
+108
-121
+108
-118
+1½-240
-1½+200
+1½-240
-1½+215
2.53
2.80
5.33
o5½-102
u5½-114
o5½-105
u5½-105

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Edmonton Oilers
San Jose Sharks
60.4%
39.6%
-269
+236
-255
+240
-1½-115
+1½-101
-1½-110
+1½+100
3
2
-0.34235-0.34321-0.50426
Winnipeg Jets
Vegas Golden Knights
31.0%
69.0%
+148
-166
+155
-160
+1½-174
-1½+155
+1½-160
-1½+155
4
0
-0.93517-0.94358-1.16967
Anaheim Ducks
Calgary Flames
36.6%
63.4%
+143
-161
+140
-152
+1½-174
-1½+154
+1½-180
-1½+160
1
4
-0.51109-0.52520-0.45500
Nashville Predators
Dallas Stars
40.8%
59.2%
+256
-293
+260
-290
+1½-103
-1½-114
+1½-105
-1½-115
1
5
-0.31974-0.31741-0.52361
Pittsburgh Penguins
St. Louis Blues
50.1%
49.9%
+197
-222
+200
-220
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+127
4
5
-0.39768-0.39531-0.69581
Colorado Avalanche
Columbus Blue Jackets
63.3%
36.7%
-133
+120
-135
+131
-1½+167
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
7
3
-0.58573-0.56165-0.45782
Boston Bruins
Montreal Canadiens
57.3%
42.7%
+178
-201
+185
-200
+1½-145
-1½+128
+1½-140
-1½+130
1
4
-0.43092-0.42286-0.85020
Tampa Bay Lightning
Ottawa Senators
74.9%
25.1%
-159
+142
-145
+135
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+180
+1½-200
1
2
-0.91053-0.87165-1.38107
Seattle Kraken
Vancouver Canucks
50.3%
49.7%
+127
-139
+135
-143
+1½-210
-1½+187
+1½-200
-1½+185
5
0
-0.84165-0.86833-0.68687
Colorado Avalanche
Chicago Blackhawks
68.6%
31.4%
-380
+328
-400
+348
-1½-145
+1½+135
-1½-145
+1½+135
3
2
-0.25860-0.24609-0.37673
Florida Panthers
Toronto Maple Leafs
34.7%
65.3%
+112
-126
+117
-125
+1½-215
-1½+200
+1½-225
-1½+220
2
3
-0.61306-0.60404-0.42578
Minnesota Wild
New York Rangers
48.6%
51.4%
+142
-159
+142
-157
+1½-183
-1½+163
+1½-180
-1½+170
4
5
-0.51468-0.51666-0.66481
Washington Capitals
Carolina Hurricanes
33.2%
66.8%
+182
-205
+190
-210
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
1
5
-0.42369-0.41146-0.40381
Winnipeg Jets
Los Angeles Kings
53.2%
46.8%
+105
-118
+106
-115
+1½-255
-1½+220
+1½-260
-1½+230
1
4
-0.64249-0.64582-0.75871
San Jose Sharks
Anaheim Ducks
50.2%
49.8%
+160
-180
+170
-180
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
3
4
-0.46893-0.45497-0.69689
Edmonton Oilers
Vegas Golden Knights
38.5%
61.5%
+147
-163
+153
-165
+1½-170
-1½+153
+1½-165
-1½+150
3
2
-0.92854-0.94595-0.95490
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks86-2 (0.750)0-0.55415 
Sportsbooks86-2 (0.750)0-0.54761 
DRatings84-4 (0.500)0-0.75468
-0.20053
-0.20707

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/21/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.326.77.099.684.2%54.5%35.3%21.0%11.8%
2Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.325.96.899.485.9%55.6%33.2%20.8%12.3%
3Vegas Golden Knights (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.527.37.398.286.4%54.0%34.9%19.9%10.9%
4Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.328.27.598.178.2%39.8%21.4%12.5%6.9%
5Florida Panthers (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.97.794.472.4%32.8%16.1%8.8%4.7%
6Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.07.694.473.7%43.6%24.5%13.0%6.9%
7Boston Bruins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.529.67.992.966.5%31.8%15.4%8.2%3.9%
8Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.429.68.092.864.3%33.5%17.2%9.1%4.5%
9New York Islanders (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.229.88.092.361.3%29.8%15.6%7.9%3.7%
10Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.029.17.891.977.2%38.0%19.6%9.0%4.4%
11Washington Capitals (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.629.67.991.061.6%30.0%14.8%7.4%3.4%
12Minnesota Wild (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.330.68.090.760.1%31.6%15.9%7.6%3.6%
13New York Rangers (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.230.78.090.552.6%24.1%11.7%5.1%2.4%
14St. Louis Blues (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.532.08.589.548.7%24.1%10.5%4.4%1.9%
15Dallas Stars (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.431.48.289.152.3%27.3%12.7%5.7%2.6%
16Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.832.58.788.243.6%17.0%6.8%3.1%1.4%
17Calgary Flames (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.531.28.387.358.2%28.0%12.9%5.1%2.2%
18Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.48.686.640.8%20.5%8.7%3.8%1.7%
19Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.58.586.540.2%21.3%9.7%3.9%1.6%
20Nashville Predators (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.031.78.386.445.0%21.5%9.7%4.1%1.7%
21Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0, 0 pts)38.132.99.085.333.9%19.6%8.3%3.3%1.4%
22Seattle Kraken (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.632.88.683.846.5%16.6%6.6%2.5%0.9%
23Arizona Coyotes (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.233.89.083.428.7%13.3%5.0%2.0%0.9%
24Vancouver Canucks (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.033.28.882.841.3%16.3%6.8%2.6%1.0%
25Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.533.59.082.026.4%9.9%3.8%1.5%0.6%
26New Jersey Devils (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.433.69.081.826.2%10.8%4.0%1.4%0.5%
27Los Angeles Kings (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.134.69.281.530.0%10.6%4.0%1.2%0.4%
28Detroit Red Wings (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.835.79.581.117.6%8.6%2.9%1.1%0.4%
29Ottawa Senators (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.934.19.180.824.3%9.3%3.2%1.3%0.5%
30San Jose Sharks (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.034.28.880.733.8%13.7%4.7%1.7%0.6%
31Anaheim Ducks (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.035.69.479.326.6%8.7%3.0%0.9%0.3%
32Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0, 0 pts)33.836.59.777.311.5%3.9%1.1%0.3%0.1%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.