Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Goals | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Blackhawks St. Louis Blues | 48.8% 51.2% | -115 +105 -110 +105 | -1½+235 +1½-255 -1½+222 -1½+240 | 2 3 | -0.74028-0.72940 | -0.66896 | |
| Buffalo Sabres Vancouver Canucks | 37.8% 62.2% | -108 -104 -108 +100 | -1½+222 -1½+235 -1½+220 +1½-245 | 3 2 | -0.68403-0.67446 | -0.97379 | |
| Florida Panthers Colorado Avalanche | 28.9% 71.1% | +200 -230 +206 -230 | +1½-120 -1½+105 +1½-115 -1½+115 | 2 6 | -0.39087-0.38450 | -0.34055 | |
| Detroit Red Wings Edmonton Oilers | 23.1% 76.9% | +155 -175 +151 -166 | +1½-163 -1½+149 +1½-155 -1½+145 | 1 4 | -0.48012-0.49372 | -0.26227 | |
| Dallas Stars Minnesota Wild | 46.0% 54.0% | -127 +117 -128 +118 | -1½+203 +1½-235 -1½+200 +1½-225 | 2 5 | -0.79483-0.79924 | -0.61593 | |
| St. Louis Blues Nashville Predators | 52.8% 47.2% | +120 -133 +121 -127 | +1½-230 -1½+195 +1½-210 -1½+200 | 2 7 | -0.58573-0.59265 | -0.75124 | |
| Boston Bruins Winnipeg Jets | 58.2% 41.8% | +132 -147 +136 -145 | +1½-200 -1½+175 +1½-185 -1½+170 | 6 3 | -0.86741-0.87412 | -0.54128 | |
| Montreal Canadiens Pittsburgh Penguins | 39.2% 60.8% | +112 -125 +116 -126 | +1½-225 -1½+192 +1½-215 -1½+192 | 4 2 | -0.77831-0.79039 | -0.93545 | |
| San Jose Sharks Toronto Maple Leafs | 28.8% 71.2% | +175 -190 +175 -184 | +1½-150 -1½+130 +1½-145 -1½+135 | 3 2 | -1.03022-1.02304 | -1.24643 | |
| Vegas Golden Knights Philadelphia Flyers | 63.9% 36.1% | -147 +130 -150 +135 | -1½+177 +1½-200 -1½+180 +1½-190 | 3 2 | -0.54844-0.53604 | -0.44816 | |
| Anaheim Ducks New York Islanders | 32.1% 67.9% | -102 -112 +110 -115 | +1½-230 -1½+200 +1½-225 -1½+200 | 2 5 | -0.67080-0.63673 | -0.38769 | |
| Carolina Hurricanes Washington Capitals | 52.9% 47.1% | -112 -101 -111 +102 | -1½+225 +1½-260 -1½+220 +1½-250 | 3 2 | -0.66842-0.66322 | -0.63584 | |
| Ottawa Senators Columbus Blue Jackets | 40.9% 59.1% | -122 +112 -122 +112 | -1½+200 +1½-230 -1½+210 +1½-220 | 6 3 | -0.61967-0.61967 | -0.89453 | |
| Tampa Bay Lightning New Jersey Devils | 71.9% 28.1% | -133 +120 -130 +121 | -1½+192 +1½-225 -1½+196 +1½-215 | 8 4 | -0.58573-0.58810 | -0.32984 | |
| Los Angeles Kings Seattle Kraken | 43.1% 56.9% | -136 +125 -130 +126 | -1½+186 +1½-215 -1½+185 +1½-210 | 2 3 | -0.83144-0.82303 | -0.56326 | |
| Detroit Red Wings Calgary Flames | 34.7% 65.3% | -106 -108 -107 +100 | -1½+226 +1½-275 -1½+235 -1½+235 | 4 3 | -0.69768-0.67666 | -1.05780 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 1 | 0-1 (0.000) | 0 | -0.74028 | |
| Sportsbooks | 1 | 0-1 (0.000) | 0 | -0.72940 | |
| DRatings | 1 | 1-0 (1.000) | 0 | -0.66896 | 0.07132 0.06044 |
Season Simulation
*Through all games played on or before 09/21/21| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pts | Make Playoffs | Win 1st Rd. | Win 2nd Rd. | Conf. Champ. | Stanley Cup |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 46.3 | 26.7 | 7.0 | 99.6 | 84.2% | 54.5% | 35.3% | 21.0% | 11.8% |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 46.3 | 25.9 | 6.8 | 99.4 | 85.9% | 55.6% | 33.2% | 20.8% | 12.3% |
| 3 | Vegas Golden Knights (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 45.5 | 27.3 | 7.3 | 98.2 | 86.4% | 54.0% | 34.9% | 19.9% | 10.9% |
| 4 | Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 45.3 | 28.2 | 7.5 | 98.1 | 78.2% | 39.8% | 21.4% | 12.5% | 6.9% |
| 5 | Florida Panthers (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 43.4 | 28.9 | 7.7 | 94.4 | 72.4% | 32.8% | 16.1% | 8.8% | 4.7% |
| 6 | Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 43.4 | 28.0 | 7.6 | 94.4 | 73.7% | 43.6% | 24.5% | 13.0% | 6.9% |
| 7 | Boston Bruins (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 42.5 | 29.6 | 7.9 | 92.9 | 66.5% | 31.8% | 15.4% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| 8 | Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 42.4 | 29.6 | 8.0 | 92.8 | 64.3% | 33.5% | 17.2% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| 9 | New York Islanders (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 42.2 | 29.8 | 8.0 | 92.3 | 61.3% | 29.8% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 3.7% |
| 10 | Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 42.0 | 29.1 | 7.8 | 91.9 | 77.2% | 38.0% | 19.6% | 9.0% | 4.4% |
| 11 | Washington Capitals (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 41.6 | 29.6 | 7.9 | 91.0 | 61.6% | 30.0% | 14.8% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| 12 | Minnesota Wild (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 41.3 | 30.6 | 8.0 | 90.7 | 60.1% | 31.6% | 15.9% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| 13 | New York Rangers (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 41.2 | 30.7 | 8.0 | 90.5 | 52.6% | 24.1% | 11.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| 14 | St. Louis Blues (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 40.5 | 32.0 | 8.5 | 89.5 | 48.7% | 24.1% | 10.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| 15 | Dallas Stars (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 40.4 | 31.4 | 8.2 | 89.1 | 52.3% | 27.3% | 12.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| 16 | Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 39.8 | 32.5 | 8.7 | 88.2 | 43.6% | 17.0% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| 17 | Calgary Flames (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 39.5 | 31.2 | 8.3 | 87.3 | 58.2% | 28.0% | 12.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| 18 | Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 39.0 | 32.4 | 8.6 | 86.6 | 40.8% | 20.5% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| 19 | Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 39.0 | 32.5 | 8.5 | 86.5 | 40.2% | 21.3% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| 20 | Nashville Predators (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 39.0 | 31.7 | 8.3 | 86.4 | 45.0% | 21.5% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| 21 | Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 38.1 | 32.9 | 9.0 | 85.3 | 33.9% | 19.6% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| 22 | Seattle Kraken (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 37.6 | 32.8 | 8.6 | 83.8 | 46.5% | 16.6% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| 23 | Arizona Coyotes (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 37.2 | 33.8 | 9.0 | 83.4 | 28.7% | 13.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| 24 | Vancouver Canucks (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 37.0 | 33.2 | 8.8 | 82.8 | 41.3% | 16.3% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| 25 | Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 36.5 | 33.5 | 9.0 | 82.0 | 26.4% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 26 | New Jersey Devils (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 36.4 | 33.6 | 9.0 | 81.8 | 26.2% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 27 | Los Angeles Kings (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 36.1 | 34.6 | 9.2 | 81.5 | 30.0% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 28 | Detroit Red Wings (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 35.8 | 35.7 | 9.5 | 81.1 | 17.6% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 29 | Ottawa Senators (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 35.9 | 34.1 | 9.1 | 80.8 | 24.3% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 30 | San Jose Sharks (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 36.0 | 34.2 | 8.8 | 80.7 | 33.8% | 13.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 31 | Anaheim Ducks (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 35.0 | 35.6 | 9.4 | 79.3 | 26.6% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 32 | Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0, 0 pts) | 33.8 | 36.5 | 9.7 | 77.3 | 11.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Hockey Methodology
All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.
The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.
- Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
- RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
- ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
- Total Wins: Full number of wins.
- There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.
Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.
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