NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 21, 2025

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0)
Washington Capitals (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
41.0%
59.0%
+164
-185
+170
-181
+1½-158
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
2.47
3.45
5.92
o5½-125
u5½+113
o5½-125
u5½+110
St. Louis Blues (0-0-0)
Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
53.1%
46.9%
+164
-185
+175
-188
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
3.07
2.73
5.80
o5½+122
u5½-141
o5½+130
u5½-145
Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0)
Dallas Stars (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
61.5%
38.5%




3.22
2.15
5.37


Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Kings (0-0-0)
Unknown
Unknown
61.2%
38.8%
+103
+105
+105
-110
+1½-275
+1½-180
+1½-250
-1½+225
3.48
2.40
5.88
o5½+100
u5½-115
o5½+100
u5½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0)
Dallas Stars (0-0-0)
61.5%
38.5%
-152
+155
-155
+142
-1½+182
+1½-130
-1½+175
+1½-190
5.37
o6-103
u6½-128
o6½+100
u6½-120
1st P
04:40
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
St. Louis Blues
Winnipeg Jets
53.1%
46.9%
+170
-190
+180
-189
+1½-163
-1½+148
+1½-155
-1½+145
3
5
-0.44809-0.43573-0.75766
Calgary Flames
Los Angeles Kings
55.8%
44.2%
+171
-193
+170
-175
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-170
-1½+155
5
1
-1.02429-0.99997-0.58345
Detroit Red Wings
Toronto Maple Leafs
18.8%
81.2%
+158
-175
+155
-165
+1½-179
-1½+159
+1½-170
-1½+160
3
4
-0.47567-0.48848-0.20887
Philadelphia Flyers
Buffalo Sabres
61.6%
38.4%
+146
-164
+149
-160
+1½-172
-1½+152
+1½-165
-1½+150
4
5
-0.50342-0.50236-0.95724
Tampa Bay Lightning
New York Rangers
60.4%
39.6%
+101
-114
+100
-110
+1½-260
-1½+220
+1½-245
+1½-250
0
4
-0.65956-0.67015-0.92677
Washington Capitals
Pittsburgh Penguins
45.3%
54.7%
-101
-111
+101
-110
+1½-250
-1½+215
+1½-250
+1½-260
2
5
-0.67049-0.66771-0.60290
Carolina Hurricanes
Ottawa Senators
61.4%
38.6%
+138
-155
+139
-152
+1½-198
-1½+173
+1½-190
-1½+175
5
7
-0.52547-0.52690-0.95153
New York Islanders
Columbus Blue Jackets
58.5%
41.5%
+175
-195
+190
-190
+1½-155
-1½+136
+1½-148
-1½+135
1
6
-0.43833-0.42286-0.87897
Edmonton Oilers
San Jose Sharks
60.4%
39.6%
-215
+191
-210
+190
-1½+117
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
3
0
-0.40777-0.41146-0.50426
Vegas Golden Knights
Vancouver Canucks
60.4%
39.6%
+103
-116
+108
-110
+1½-255
-1½+215
+1½-230
+1½-265
4
1
-0.73727-0.73693-0.50368
Dallas Stars
Nashville Predators
53.6%
46.4%
-178
+158
-165
+163
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-160
1
5
-0.97530-0.96985-0.76763
Detroit Red Wings
New Jersey Devils
52.1%
47.9%
-147
+144
-140
+140
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+185
+1½-195
5
2
-0.52393-0.53900-0.65295
Anaheim Ducks
Winnipeg Jets
31.1%
68.9%
+293
-338
+285
-315
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-130
1
2
-0.28498-0.29430-0.37248
Carolina Hurricanes
Montreal Canadiens
59.0%
41.0%
+133
-142
+130
-138
+1½-200
-1½+185
+1½-200
-1½+195
2
4
-0.54894-0.55953-0.89270
Los Angeles Kings
Seattle Kraken
34.8%
65.2%
+100
-110
+103
-110
-1½+230
-1½+240
-1½+240
+1½-265
6
5
-0.71668-0.72433-1.05644
Vegas Golden Knights
Calgary Flames
61.4%
38.6%
+111
-125
+102
-112
+1½-245
-1½+210
+1½-260
-1½+230
4
5
-0.61683-0.66116-0.95065
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.44809 
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.43573 
DRatings10-1 (0.000)0-0.75766
-0.30957
-0.32193

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/21/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st Rd.Win 2nd Rd.Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1Colorado Avalanche (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.326.77.099.684.2%54.5%35.3%21.0%11.8%
2Tampa Bay Lightning (0-0-0, 0 pts)46.325.96.899.485.9%55.6%33.2%20.8%12.3%
3Vegas Golden Knights (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.527.37.398.286.4%54.0%34.9%19.9%10.9%
4Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0, 0 pts)45.328.27.598.178.2%39.8%21.4%12.5%6.9%
5Florida Panthers (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.97.794.472.4%32.8%16.1%8.8%4.7%
6Carolina Hurricanes (0-0-0, 0 pts)43.428.07.694.473.7%43.6%24.5%13.0%6.9%
7Boston Bruins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.529.67.992.966.5%31.8%15.4%8.2%3.9%
8Pittsburgh Penguins (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.429.68.092.864.3%33.5%17.2%9.1%4.5%
9New York Islanders (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.229.88.092.361.3%29.8%15.6%7.9%3.7%
10Edmonton Oilers (0-0-0, 0 pts)42.029.17.891.977.2%38.0%19.6%9.0%4.4%
11Washington Capitals (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.629.67.991.061.6%30.0%14.8%7.4%3.4%
12Minnesota Wild (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.330.68.090.760.1%31.6%15.9%7.6%3.6%
13New York Rangers (0-0-0, 0 pts)41.230.78.090.552.6%24.1%11.7%5.1%2.4%
14St. Louis Blues (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.532.08.589.548.7%24.1%10.5%4.4%1.9%
15Dallas Stars (0-0-0, 0 pts)40.431.48.289.152.3%27.3%12.7%5.7%2.6%
16Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.832.58.788.243.6%17.0%6.8%3.1%1.4%
17Calgary Flames (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.531.28.387.358.2%28.0%12.9%5.1%2.2%
18Chicago Blackhawks (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.48.686.640.8%20.5%8.7%3.8%1.7%
19Winnipeg Jets (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.032.58.586.540.2%21.3%9.7%3.9%1.6%
20Nashville Predators (0-0-0, 0 pts)39.031.78.386.445.0%21.5%9.7%4.1%1.7%
21Philadelphia Flyers (0-0-0, 0 pts)38.132.99.085.333.9%19.6%8.3%3.3%1.4%
22Seattle Kraken (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.632.88.683.846.5%16.6%6.6%2.5%0.9%
23Arizona Coyotes (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.233.89.083.428.7%13.3%5.0%2.0%0.9%
24Vancouver Canucks (0-0-0, 0 pts)37.033.28.882.841.3%16.3%6.8%2.6%1.0%
25Columbus Blue Jackets (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.533.59.082.026.4%9.9%3.8%1.5%0.6%
26New Jersey Devils (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.433.69.081.826.2%10.8%4.0%1.4%0.5%
27Los Angeles Kings (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.134.69.281.530.0%10.6%4.0%1.2%0.4%
28Detroit Red Wings (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.835.79.581.117.6%8.6%2.9%1.1%0.4%
29Ottawa Senators (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.934.19.180.824.3%9.3%3.2%1.3%0.5%
30San Jose Sharks (0-0-0, 0 pts)36.034.28.880.733.8%13.7%4.7%1.7%0.6%
31Anaheim Ducks (0-0-0, 0 pts)35.035.69.479.326.6%8.7%3.0%0.9%0.3%
32Buffalo Sabres (0-0-0, 0 pts)33.836.59.777.311.5%3.9%1.1%0.3%0.1%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.