Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 12 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
11/30/2025 04:00 PM	Molde Sarpsborg 08	73.0% 10.7%	16.3%	+161 +135	0 1	-0.89744	-2.23437
11/30/2025 04:00 PM	Strømsgodset Rosenborg	12.3% 71.0%	16.7%	+475 -227	0 6	-0.41373	-0.34183
11/22/2025 05:00 PM	Brann Molde	8.3% 78.1%	13.6%	+111 +215	0 4	-1.19726	-0.24772
11/22/2025 05:00 PM	Sandefjord Strømsgodset	35.5% 38.4%	26.1%	+135 +165	6 2	-0.90597	-1.03465
11/09/2025 06:15 PM	Molde Haugesund	70.8% 12.5%	16.8%	-278 +650	2 0	-0.35984	-0.34564
11/09/2025 04:00 PM	Strømsgodset Kristiansund	17.8% 62.6%	19.6%	+285 -125	1 2	-0.63713	-0.46882
11/02/2025 01:30 PM	Viking Strømsgodset	55.5% 23.1%	21.5%	-250 +525	2 1	-0.40094	-0.58967
11/01/2025 05:00 PM	Rosenborg Molde	17.9% 62.1%	20.0%	+275 -115	2 4	-0.67899	-0.47594
10/29/2025 08:00 PM	Sandefjord Rosenborg	13.8% 67.5%	18.7%	+250 -105	1 1	-1.41387	-1.67756
10/29/2025 06:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Brann	78.8% 8.6%	12.7%	-127 +295	2 1	-0.63025	-0.23856
10/26/2025 04:00 PM	Molde Bodo/Glimt	27.2% 51.4%	21.4%	+700 -323	1 4	-0.32091	-0.66600
10/26/2025 01:30 PM	Brann Rosenborg	17.5% 61.2%	21.3%	+160 +145	3 2	-1.01664	-1.74194
10/19/2025 03:00 PM	Sandefjord Molde	6.5% 82.2%	11.4%	+295 -116	3 1	-1.40165	-2.73985
10/18/2025 04:00 PM	Haugesund Brann	33.9% 38.7%	27.4%	+1700 -769	1 4	-0.16439	-0.94887
10/18/2025 12:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Sarpsborg 08	79.8% 7.8%	12.4%	-270 +570	5 2	-0.36520	-0.22591
10/05/2025 05:15 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg	16.1% 62.6%	21.3%	+310 -135	3 2	-1.46594	-1.82909

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.