Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Sarpsborg 08
Strømsgodset 		38.8%
34.3%		27.0%
+240
+100
+245
-105
1.30
1.20		2.50
o3¼-106
u3¼-112

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Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Molde
Kristiansund		63.8%
17.1%		19.1%
-189
+460
-190
+450
4
0		-0.46686-0.47359-0.44904
Kristiansund
Sarpsborg 08		44.6%
29.2%		26.2%
+395
-170
+385
-170
2
0		-1.64284-1.62857-0.80788
Brann
Sandefjord		38.2%
34.3%		27.5%
+131
+180
+135
+175
2
2		-1.38681-1.38601-1.29011
Strømsgodset
Haugesund		23.8%
53.3%		22.9%
+200
+125
+200
+120
0
0		-1.35526-1.38478-1.47364
Sarpsborg 08
Brann		30.0%
42.2%		27.8%
+480
-222
+490
-225
3
1		-1.81064-1.82592-1.20454
Bodo/Glimt
Strømsgodset		85.0%
5.8%		9.2%
-132
+340
-145
+325
1
0		-0.58467-0.57506-0.16275
Haugesund
Kristiansund		25.8%
50.1%		24.0%
+185
+145
+185
+140
2
2		-1.34711-1.31502-1.42712
Molde
Rosenborg		53.0%
24.2%		22.8%
+200
+131
+205
+125
1
2		-0.88407-0.85982-1.42026
Rosenborg
Odd		42.4%
32.1%		25.4%
-120
+295
-120
+310
3
1		-0.65971-0.65406-0.85724
Kristiansund
Sandefjord		49.5%
26.3%		24.2%
+340
-150
+340
-145
0
1		-0.57151-0.57490-1.33724
Strømsgodset
Viking		16.8%
64.5%		18.6%
+330
-152
+340
-150
2
5		-0.56911-0.55912-0.43816
Sarpsborg 08
Bodo/Glimt		5.6%
84.3%		10.0%
+725
-345
+750
-325
0
6		-0.31578-0.31882-0.17027
Viking
Rosenborg		25.9%
50.9%		23.2%
+170
+142
+180
+135
1
2		-0.93280-0.90259-0.67611
Haugesund
Sarpsborg 08		35.6%
35.8%		28.7%
+320
-135
+320
-135
2
2		-1.50274-1.48452-1.24866
Sarpsborg 08
Odd		22.4%
53.9%		23.7%
+140
+166
+135
+180
1
1		-1.38926-1.36991-1.44054
Bodo/Glimt
Viking		71.4%
13.4%		15.3%
+135
+177
+135
+170
1
1		-1.40303-1.41198-1.87928
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.