Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Odd
Haugesund		41.0%
33.1%		25.8%
+285
-116
+305
-125
1
2		-0.67041-0.63597-1.10558
Molde
Strømsgodset		79.7%
8.0%		12.4%
-123
+310
-135
+325
0
1		-1.44962-1.49642-2.53099
Rosenborg
Kristiansund		42.5%
32.0%		25.5%
-169
+420
-170
+400
4
0		-0.50670-0.51318-0.85614
Viking
Brann		44.3%
30.6%		25.0%
+295
-130
+300
-135
1
1		-1.52625-1.53206-1.38470
Sarpsborg 08
Rosenborg		16.1%
62.6%		21.3%
+430
-185
+440
-190
1
1		-1.60530-1.60774-1.54534
Brann
Molde		8.3%
78.1%		13.6%
+215
+121
+200
+120
1
2		-0.82556-0.83822-0.24772
Haugesund
Viking		24.8%
52.2%		23.0%
+430
-185
+440
-190
1
5		-0.47934-0.47250-0.65101
Bodo/Glimt
Odd		72.1%
12.8%		15.2%
-526
+1200
-550
+1300
2
0		-0.22680-0.21671-0.32774
Odd
Sandefjord		49.9%
26.2%		23.9%
+440
-172
+485
-195
0
1		-0.50215-0.46442-1.33922
Viking
Kristiansund		34.6%
40.5%		24.9%
-113
+310
-125
+305
1
0		-0.65803-0.63892-1.06068
Molde
Sarpsborg 08		73.0%
10.7%		16.3%
-110
+280
-110
+270
2
2		-1.42263-1.41022-1.81695
Strømsgodset
Rosenborg		12.3%
71.0%		16.7%
+590
-263
+625
-280
0
1		-0.37224-0.35585-0.34183
Bodo/Glimt
Molde		41.5%
35.4%		23.2%
+157
+155
+170
+145
3
3		-1.36857-1.34592-1.46179
Brann
Odd		24.4%
51.9%		23.7%
-217
+510
-215
+510
3
0		-0.42826-0.43124-1.41194
Sandefjord
Viking		18.8%
60.7%		20.5%
+530
-230
+450
-200
2
3		-0.40109-0.45670-0.49877
Rosenborg
Bodo/Glimt		13.4%
70.6%		16.0%
+420
-189
+460
-205
3
2		-1.69778-1.77225-2.01208
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.