Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kristiansund
Aalesund
76.2%
9.8%
14.1%
+295
-125

1
1
-1.44337-1.96070
Brann
Rosenborg
17.5%
61.2%
21.3%
+164
+152

1
1
-1.33294-1.54815
Brann
Viking
23.5%
53.7%
22.8%
+315
-148

2
3
-0.58670-0.62131
Rosenborg
Sandefjord
59.3%
18.9%
21.7%
+250
+104

0
0
-1.33321-1.52634
Aalesund
Bodo/Glimt
2.1%
93.5%
4.3%
+1350
-909

0
3
-0.17190-0.06683
Bodo/Glimt
Sarpsborg 08
79.8%
7.8%
12.4%
-222
+470

1
1
-1.68843-2.08909
Sandefjord
Brann
27.2%
47.1%
25.7%
+420
-193

1
0
-1.73398-1.30295
Sarpsborg 08
Rosenborg
16.1%
62.6%
21.3%
+198
+120

1
2
-0.86538-0.46820
Bodo/Glimt
Viking
71.4%
13.4%
15.3%
+112
+188

0
5
-1.12738-2.01276
Bodo/Glimt
Kristiansund
72.1%
12.7%
15.2%
-470
+1000

3
0
-0.23566-0.32766
Sarpsborg 08
Sandefjord
35.3%
36.0%
28.6%
+216
+109

2
0
-1.19452-1.04064
Molde
Viking
63.0%
18.0%
19.0%
+385
-137

1
4
-0.58175-1.71747
Brann
Kristiansund
24.4%
51.7%
23.9%
-172
+450

2
3
-1.74531-0.66002
Rosenborg
Molde
17.9%
62.1%
20.0%
+310
-115

0
2
-0.66029-0.47594
Molde
Sarpsborg 08
73.0%
10.7%
16.3%
+161
+135

0
1
-0.89744-2.23437
Strømsgodset
Rosenborg
12.3%
71.0%
16.7%
+475
-227

0
6
-0.41373-0.34183
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.44337 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (1.000)1 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.96070
-0.51733

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.