Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Strømsgodset
Haugesund 		23.8%
53.3%		22.9%
+170
+160

1.15
1.83		2.98
o2½-108
u2½-112

Molde
Sandefjord 		77.0%
9.0%		13.9%
+105
+230

2.76
0.87		3.63
o2¾-112
u2¾-108

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Games for Apr 10, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sarpsborg 08
Molde		7.7%
78.9%		13.4%
+500
-215

2
0		-1.86072-2.56759
Rosenborg
Strømsgodset		63.2%
17.1%		19.7%
+115
+215

2
1		-0.83540-0.45910
Odd
Haugesund		41.0%
33.1%		25.8%
+285
-116
+305
-125
1
2		-0.67041-0.63597-1.10558
Molde
Strømsgodset		79.7%
8.0%		12.4%
-123
+310
-135
+325
0
1		-1.44962-1.49642-2.53099
Rosenborg
Kristiansund		42.5%
32.0%		25.5%
-169
+420
-170
+400
4
0		-0.50670-0.51318-0.85614
Viking
Brann		44.3%
30.6%		25.0%
+295
-130
+300
-135
1
1		-1.52625-1.53206-1.38470
Sarpsborg 08
Rosenborg		16.1%
62.6%		21.3%
+430
-185
+440
-190
1
1		-1.60530-1.60774-1.54534
Brann
Molde		8.3%
78.1%		13.6%
+215
+121
+200
+120
1
2		-0.82556-0.83822-0.24772
Haugesund
Viking		24.8%
52.2%		23.0%
+430
-185
+440
-190
1
5		-0.47934-0.47250-0.65101
Bodo/Glimt
Odd		72.1%
12.8%		15.2%
-526
+1200
-550
+1300
2
0		-0.22680-0.21671-0.32774
Odd
Sandefjord		49.9%
26.2%		23.9%
+440
-172
+485
-195
0
1		-0.50215-0.46442-1.33922
Viking
Kristiansund		34.6%
40.5%		24.9%
-113
+310
-125
+305
1
0		-0.65803-0.63892-1.06068
Molde
Sarpsborg 08		73.0%
10.7%		16.3%
-110
+280
-110
+270
2
2		-1.42263-1.41022-1.81695
Strømsgodset
Rosenborg		12.3%
71.0%		16.7%
+590
-263
+625
-280
0
1		-0.37224-0.35585-0.34183
Bodo/Glimt
Molde		41.5%
35.4%		23.2%
+157
+155
+170
+145
3
3		-1.36857-1.34592-1.46179
Brann
Odd		24.4%
51.9%		23.7%
-217
+510
-215
+510
3
0		-0.42826-0.43124-1.41194
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.