Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 18 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
07/20/2024 04:00 PM	Brann Sarpsborg 08	34.0% 37.2%	28.9%	-119 +265 -120 +270	1 1	-1.51631-1.50575	-1.24292
07/19/2024 05:00 PM	Odd Bodo/Glimt	8.9% 78.7%	12.3%	+1250 -575 +1200 -575	1 3	-0.20854-0.21272	-0.23972
07/13/2024 05:15 PM	Haugesund Brann	33.9% 38.7%	27.4%	+810 -333 +950 -390	1 1	-1.80795-1.86879	-1.29572
07/13/2024 03:00 PM	Kristiansund Viking	32.2% 43.4%	24.4%	+560 -265 +575 -270	0 2	-0.36892-0.36557	-0.83358
07/13/2024 03:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Sandefjord	82.9% 6.6%	10.5%	-170 +400 -220 +500	1 2	-1.65538-1.84074	-2.72129
07/12/2024 05:00 PM	Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08	54.1% 21.6%	24.3%	+185 +125 +200 +120	1 4	-0.85828-0.83822	-1.53280
07/08/2024 05:00 PM	Sandefjord Strømsgodset	35.5% 38.4%	26.1%	+310 -120 +290 -120	1 1	-1.41919-1.43687	-1.34508
07/07/2024 05:15 PM	Odd Rosenborg	24.8% 51.8%	23.3%	+370 -157 +370 -155	1 2	-0.54251-0.54711	-0.65772
07/07/2024 03:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Haugesund	28.7% 44.2%	27.0%	+172 +155 +190 +135	2 1	-1.04911-1.11544	-1.24712
07/07/2024 12:30 PM	Brann Bodo/Glimt	6.1% 83.7%	10.2%	+305 -115 +300 -120	1 5	-0.66512-0.65670	-0.17813
06/30/2024 01:00 PM	Rosenborg Viking	41.4% 33.4%	25.2%	+360 -152 +345 -150	2 4	-0.55227-0.56151	-1.09599
06/28/2024 05:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Sarpsborg 08	79.8% 7.8%	12.4%	-165 +395 -165 +390	2 1	-0.51960-0.52394	-0.22591
06/28/2024 05:00 PM	Kristiansund Odd	33.1% 41.8%	25.1%	+230 +110 +235 +105	1 1	-1.37650-1.38330	-1.38186
06/28/2024 05:00 PM	Strømsgodset Brann	25.1% 51.0%	23.8%	+700 -280 +680 -290	0 0	-1.79866-1.77190	-1.43372
06/02/2024 03:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Haugesund	77.9% 9.1%	13.0%	-160 +400 -165 +395	1 0	-0.52979-0.52442	-0.24950
06/02/2024 03:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Kristiansund	22.5% 53.7%	23.8%	+168 +155 +160 +155	1 3	-0.97825-0.98559	-0.62174

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.