Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 16 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
09/22/2024 03:00 PM	Haugesund Rosenborg	18.6% 59.9%	21.5%	+700 -256 +650 -275	0 4	-0.36551-0.36071	-0.51259
09/22/2024 12:30 PM	Bodo/Glimt Brann	78.8% 8.6%	12.7%	+140 +185 +130 +185	1 3	-1.07755-1.09832	-2.45854
09/21/2024 02:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Strømsgodset	38.8% 34.3%	27.0%	+240 +100 +245 -105	1 2	-0.73337-0.71980	-1.07105
09/18/2024 04:00 PM	Molde Kristiansund	63.8% 17.1%	19.1%	-189 +460 -190 +450	4 0	-0.46686-0.47359	-0.44904
09/15/2024 03:00 PM	Kristiansund Sarpsborg 08	44.6% 29.2%	26.2%	+395 -170 +385 -170	2 0	-1.64284-1.62857	-0.80788
09/15/2024 03:00 PM	Brann Sandefjord	38.2% 34.3%	27.5%	+131 +180 +135 +175	2 2	-1.38681-1.38601	-1.29011
09/15/2024 03:00 PM	Strømsgodset Haugesund	23.8% 53.3%	22.9%	+200 +125 +200 +120	0 0	-1.35526-1.38478	-1.47364
09/01/2024 05:15 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Brann	30.0% 42.2%	27.8%	+480 -222 +490 -225	3 1	-1.81064-1.82592	-1.20454
09/01/2024 03:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Strømsgodset	85.0% 5.8%	9.2%	-132 +340 -145 +325	1 0	-0.58467-0.57506	-0.16275
09/01/2024 03:00 PM	Haugesund Kristiansund	25.8% 50.1%	24.0%	+185 +145 +185 +140	2 2	-1.34711-1.31502	-1.42712
09/01/2024 03:00 PM	Molde Rosenborg	53.0% 24.2%	22.8%	+200 +131 +205 +125	1 2	-0.88407-0.85982	-1.42026
08/25/2024 05:15 PM	Rosenborg Odd	42.4% 32.1%	25.4%	-120 +295 -120 +310	3 1	-0.65971-0.65406	-0.85724
08/25/2024 03:00 PM	Kristiansund Sandefjord	49.5% 26.3%	24.2%	+340 -150 +340 -145	0 1	-0.57151-0.57490	-1.33724
08/25/2024 03:00 PM	Strømsgodset Viking	16.8% 64.5%	18.6%	+330 -152 +340 -150	2 5	-0.56911-0.55912	-0.43816
08/24/2024 02:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Bodo/Glimt	5.6% 84.3%	10.0%	+725 -345 +750 -325	0 6	-0.31578-0.31882	-0.17027
08/18/2024 05:15 PM	Viking Rosenborg	25.9% 50.9%	23.2%	+170 +142 +180 +135	1 2	-0.93280-0.90259	-0.67611

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.