Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Brann
Strømsgodset 		41.7%
32.4%		25.9%
+130
+195

1.43
1.23		2.66
o2¾-115
u2¾-102

Bodo/Glimt
Molde 		41.5%
35.4%		23.2%
+124
+205

1.69
1.55		3.24
o2¾-120
u3-125

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Molde
Strømsgodset		79.7%
8.0%		12.4%
-150
+410
-150
+375
1
1		-1.49580-1.48259-2.09119
Haugesund
Odd		25.8%
50.3%		23.9%
+284
+104
+280
-105
1
1		-1.29259-1.34289-1.43217
Stabaek
Aalesund		70.6%
12.4%		17.0%
+203
+132
+190
+135
1
1		-1.31901-1.31770-1.77384
Brann
Stabaek		28.9%
44.5%		26.6%
-119
+300
-125
+295
1
0		-0.65853-0.63626-1.24209
Bodo/Glimt
Rosenborg		62.2%
18.7%		19.0%
-140
+340
-135
+315
1
1		-1.50986-1.48722-1.65889
Strømsgodset
Sandefjord		30.6%
44.4%		25.0%
+193
+132
+180
+130
0
2		-0.89048-0.88329-0.81168
Odd
Molde		12.3%
71.7%		16.0%
+800
-272
+750
-335
1
4		-0.31667-0.31162-0.33216
Viking
Haugesund		42.7%
32.2%		25.1%
-115
+349
-140
+340
2
0		-0.62312-0.58927-0.85067
Molde
Haugesund		70.8%
12.5%		16.8%
-160
+415
-165
+410
2
1		-0.52677-0.52379-0.34564
Stabaek
Strømsgodset		46.2%
28.8%		25.0%
+275
+105
+265
+105
1
2		-0.75724-0.76819-1.24625
Sandefjord
Odd		19.6%
59.1%		21.3%
+265
+100
+270
-105
2
3		-0.72960-0.71701-0.52628
Sarpsborg 08
Brann		30.0%
42.2%		27.8%
+400
-165
+380
-175
0
1		-0.50221-0.50162-0.86199
Aalesund
Rosenborg		4.9%
85.8%		9.4%
+650
-260
+610
-250
0
4		-0.37395-0.38641-0.15368
Haugesund
Sandefjord		40.2%
33.1%		26.7%
+245
+115
+230
+115
0
0		-1.29678-1.31557-1.31957
Stabaek
Viking		26.8%
49.1%		24.0%
+625
-235
+590
-250
0
1		-0.38943-0.38497-0.71052
Bodo/Glimt
Haugesund		77.9%
9.1%		13.0%
-205
+490
-200
+500
3
1		-0.44605-0.45495-0.24950
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.