Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 18 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
06/02/2024 03:00 PM	Odd Strømsgodset	53.6% 24.0%	22.3%	+385 -150 +400 -165	1 1	-1.45985-1.52138	-1.49942
06/02/2024 12:30 PM	Viking Molde	12.8% 71.2%	16.0%	+340 -140 +340 -145	2 2	-1.49183-1.50896	-1.83196
05/29/2024 05:00 PM	Sandefjord Bodo/Glimt	4.7% 86.8%	8.5%	+950 -360 +860 -380	1 1	-1.88981-1.90039	-2.46852
05/29/2024 05:00 PM	Kristiansund Brann	42.4% 31.6%	26.0%	+1200 -575 +1250 -580	1 2	-0.20912-0.20977	-1.15287
05/26/2024 05:15 PM	Molde Brann	71.8% 11.7%	16.5%	+320 -130 +320 -135	3 1	-1.47565-1.48722	-0.33092
05/26/2024 03:00 PM	Strømsgodset Sarpsborg 08	27.0% 47.9%	25.1%	+199 +121 +205 +120	3 1	-1.14416-1.16305	-1.30837
05/26/2024 03:00 PM	Kristiansund Rosenborg	24.7% 51.8%	23.4%	+425 -170 +440 -185	1 2	-0.50408-0.48031	-0.65722
05/26/2024 03:00 PM	Sandefjord Haugesund	25.9% 49.3%	24.8%	+222 +120 +215 +120	1 2	-0.83649-0.83704	-0.70698
05/20/2024 03:00 PM	Brann Kristiansund	24.4% 51.7%	23.9%	-235 +625 -225 +575	2 2	-1.64000-1.60784	-1.43292
05/20/2024 03:00 PM	Haugesund Strømsgodset	43.9% 31.0%	25.1%	+287 -105 +320 -120	0 2	-0.71052-0.65514	-1.17012
05/20/2024 03:00 PM	Viking Sandefjord	51.5% 25.2%	23.2%	+140 +180 +140 +175	3 0	-0.91514-0.92480	-0.66306
05/20/2024 03:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Molde	7.7% 78.9%	13.4%	+565 -245 +600 -265	4 2	-1.93926-1.99532	-2.56759
05/16/2024 04:00 PM	Molde Odd	63.8% 17.2%	19.0%	-142 +370 -150 +360	4 0	-0.56736-0.55956	-0.44915
05/16/2024 04:00 PM	Kristiansund Haugesund	40.9% 33.2%	26.0%	+320 -111 +290 -110	0 1	-0.67976-0.69589	-1.10358
05/16/2024 04:00 PM	Sandefjord Brann	27.2% 47.1%	25.7%	+875 -365 +820 -340	1 2	-0.28978-0.30749	-0.75235
05/12/2024 03:00 PM	Viking Strømsgodset	55.5% 23.1%	21.5%	+190 +135 +200 +125	1 0	-1.10452-1.14907	-0.58967

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.