Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sarpsborg 08
Strømsgodset 		38.8%
34.3%		27.0%
+240
+100
+245
-105
1.30
1.20		2.50
o3¼-106
u3¼-112

Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Molde
Aalesund		89.9%
3.3%		6.8%
-142
+454
-160
+460
1
3		-1.74194-1.77190-3.40100
Aalesund
Stabaek		8.9%
77.1%		14.0%
+431
-130
+370
-125
0
1		-0.59695-0.63660-0.26039
Brann
Sarpsborg 08		34.0%
37.2%		28.9%
-105
+304
-105
+260
1
2		-1.40969-1.32946-0.98961
Viking
Sandefjord		51.5%
25.2%		23.2%
+101
+282
-105
+265
2
1		-0.72377-0.71719-0.66306
Strømsgodset
Molde		5.7%
84.3%		10.0%
+900
-370
+1100
-465
2
3		-0.28787-0.24479-0.17074
Rosenborg
Bodo/Glimt		13.4%
70.6%		16.0%
+878
-317
+800
-305
2
3		-0.30397-0.33343-0.34847
Strømsgodset
Viking		16.8%
64.5%		18.6%
+590
-230
+560
-225
1
1		-1.61767-1.61949-1.68072
Sarpsborg 08
Stabaek		26.7%
46.5%		26.8%
+184
+152
+180
+150
1
1		-1.29916-1.27379-1.31841
Haugesund
Aalesund		68.7%
13.7%		17.6%
+292
+115
+260
+115
0
0		-1.21905-1.22799-1.73693
Brann
Rosenborg		17.5%
61.2%		21.3%
+135
+226
+125
+220
2
0		-0.88474-0.86074-1.74194
Odd
Bodo/Glimt		8.9%
78.7%		12.3%
+999
-400
+1000
-420
0
2		-0.25277-0.26469-0.23972
Aalesund
Molde		2.6%
91.7%		5.6%
+1226
-400
+1250
-470
0
3		-0.24949-0.24406-0.08617
Rosenborg
Odd		42.4%
32.1%		25.4%
+156
+185
+165
+160
0
0		-1.28374-1.28888-1.36995
Aalesund
Sandefjord		13.4%
69.3%		17.3%
+235
+148
+230
+130
0
4		-0.93849-0.88201-0.36670
Stabaek
Molde		9.8%
75.2%		15.0%
+690
-235
+655
-280
3
2		-2.09265-2.07139-2.31892
Sarpsborg 08
Haugesund		28.7%
44.2%		27.0%
+170
+166
+160
+170
0
0		-1.30067-1.26107-1.30796
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.