Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 18 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/12/2024 03:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Sandefjord	35.3% 36.0%	28.6%	+215 +120 +210 +120	1 4	-0.83704-0.83829	-1.02057
05/12/2024 12:30 PM	Bodo/Glimt Kristiansund	72.1% 12.7%	15.2%	-220 +500 -225 +520	4 2	-0.42298-0.41805	-0.32766
05/11/2024 04:00 PM	Rosenborg Molde	17.9% 62.1%	20.0%	+480 -190 +480 -200	2 2	-1.59052-1.59810	-1.60964
05/05/2024 03:00 PM	Strømsgodset Bodo/Glimt	4.2% 88.4%	7.4%	+920 -375 +1000 -400	0 1	-0.28528-0.27279	-0.12348
05/05/2024 03:00 PM	Molde Sandefjord	77.0% 9.0%	13.9%	-140 +380 -145 +375	1 3	-1.61813-1.60919	-2.40417
05/04/2024 04:00 PM	Rosenborg Brann	52.4% 23.5%	24.1%	+505 -190 +485 -190	0 3	-0.46949-0.47486	-1.44791
04/28/2024 05:15 PM	Viking Odd	34.5% 40.7%	24.8%	+105 +235 +110 +215	3 3	-1.41247-1.40985	-1.39497
04/28/2024 03:00 PM	Haugesund Molde	8.9% 77.3%	13.8%	+800 -312 +850 -340	1 2	-0.32702-0.30843	-0.25767
04/28/2024 03:00 PM	Kristiansund Strømsgodset	53.5% 24.1%	22.4%	+440 -145 +385 -145	2 2	-1.44096-1.42366	-1.49437
04/27/2024 04:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Rosenborg	62.2% 18.7%	19.0%	-140 +385 -140 +355	3 1	-0.57187-0.58781	-0.47420
04/21/2024 05:15 PM	Molde Bodo/Glimt	27.2% 51.4%	21.4%	+395 -145 +360 -145	1 1	-1.45175-1.47211	-1.54234
04/21/2024 03:00 PM	Rosenborg Haugesund	50.9% 24.9%	24.2%	+125 +226 +130 +210	3 1	-0.85944-0.88312	-0.67544
04/21/2024 03:00 PM	Odd Brann	42.6% 31.5%	25.9%	+875 -355 +785 -325	0 2	-0.29644-0.31858	-1.15499
04/14/2024 03:00 PM	Sandefjord Odd	19.6% 59.1%	21.3%	+306 -105 +320 -120	2 2	-1.31654-1.37074	-1.54726
04/14/2024 03:00 PM	Kristiansund Molde	12.2% 71.7%	16.0%	+900 -385 +1125 -475	0 2	-0.27747-0.24039	-0.33236
04/14/2024 12:30 PM	Brann Viking	23.5% 53.7%	22.8%	+155 +160 +145 +165	1 1	-1.36630-1.37259	-1.47788

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.