Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 19 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/07/2024 03:00 PM	Odd Sarpsborg 08	44.8% 29.2%	26.0%	+330 -135 +330 -135	1 0	-1.50548-1.50828	-0.80352
04/07/2024 03:00 PM	Rosenborg Strømsgodset	63.2% 17.1%	19.7%	+243 +115 +225 +120	0 1	-0.81094-0.83924	-1.76808
04/06/2024 04:00 PM	Viking Bodo/Glimt	9.4% 78.2%	12.4%	+570 -240 +610 -270	0 1	-0.39537-0.36774	-0.24581
04/01/2024 05:15 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Viking	21.5% 55.8%	22.7%	+240 +100 +265 -115	0 1	-0.73633-0.67712	-0.58404
04/01/2024 03:00 PM	Sandefjord Rosenborg	13.8% 67.5%	18.7%	+435 -160 +375 -150	0 2	-0.53355-0.56103	-0.39316
04/01/2024 03:00 PM	Strømsgodset Molde	5.7% 84.3%	10.0%	+645 -250 +650 -255	0 4	-0.37472-0.38120	-0.17074
03/31/2024 04:00 PM	Haugesund Odd	25.8% 50.3%	23.9%	+282 +105 +290 +100	2 1	-1.37654-1.41026	-1.35611
11/26/2023 04:00 PM	Viking Aalesund	77.7% 9.1%	13.1%	-125 +286 -160 +360	4 0	-0.62734-0.53445	-0.25242
11/26/2023 04:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Brann	78.8% 8.6%	12.7%	+295 -125 +250 -110	2 4	-0.62772-0.69587	-2.45854
11/26/2023 04:00 PM	Molde Sarpsborg 08	73.0% 10.7%	16.3%	+175 +130 +185 +120	3 1	-1.05022-1.09548	-0.31425
11/26/2023 04:00 PM	Strømsgodset Rosenborg	12.3% 71.0%	16.7%	+270 -110 +275 -115	3 1	-1.34908-1.37200	-2.09818
11/26/2023 04:00 PM	Sandefjord Stabaek	23.9% 51.6%	24.5%	+285 -110 +265 -105	1 2	-0.68900-0.71719	-0.66233
11/12/2023 04:00 PM	Aalesund Bodo/Glimt	2.1% 93.5%	4.3%	+2000 -1100 +1750 -1150	0 1	-0.13522-0.13603	-0.06683
11/12/2023 04:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Viking	21.5% 55.8%	22.7%	+255 -120 +255 -125	1 2	-0.64440-0.63875	-0.58404
11/12/2023 04:00 PM	Rosenborg Sandefjord	59.3% 18.9%	21.7%	+223 +120 +210 +110	2 3	-0.80249-0.79257	-1.66368
11/11/2023 05:00 PM	Brann Haugesund	31.0% 42.2%	26.8%	-120 +310 -125 +315	2 0	-0.65216-0.63936	-1.17005

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.