Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sarpsborg 08
Strømsgodset 		38.8%
34.3%		27.0%
+240
+100
+245
-105
1.30
1.20		2.50
o3¼-105
u3¼-114

Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Brann
Bodo/Glimt		6.1%
83.7%		10.2%
+295
-110
+295
-120
2
2		-1.42416-1.42420-2.28063
Haugesund
Stabaek		30.4%
43.1%		26.5%
+324
+101
+285
+105
0
3		-0.72357-0.76718-0.84262
Odd
Sarpsborg 08		44.8%
29.2%		26.0%
+333
-123
+310
-125
0
0		-1.42774-1.43460-1.34531
Sandefjord
Rosenborg		13.8%
67.5%		18.7%
+745
-255
+695
-275
1
1		-1.65344-1.70666-1.67756
Bodo/Glimt
Aalesund		92.2%
2.6%		5.1%
-172
+545
-215
+550
3
0		-0.48349-0.43431-0.08077
Aalesund
Strømsgodset		14.8%
67.7%		17.4%
+263
+110
+260
+105
0
1		-0.77864-0.76787-0.38970
Brann
Odd		24.4%
51.9%		23.7%
-135
+381
-135
+340
0
2		-1.58983-1.53206-0.65606
Rosenborg
Molde		17.9%
62.1%		20.0%
+627
-225
+600
-230
1
1		-1.64688-1.60724-1.60964
Stabaek
Bodo/Glimt		7.2%
81.5%		11.4%
+882
-325
+900
-375
0
4		-0.29672-0.28467-0.20512
Haugesund
Brann		33.9%
38.7%		27.4%
+675
-260
+700
-270
0
3		-0.37352-0.36464-0.94887
Odd
Stabaek		38.2%
35.1%		26.6%
+293
+110
+255
+110
0
0		-1.26072-1.27447-1.32276
Bodo/Glimt
Sarpsborg 08		79.8%
7.8%		12.4%
-100
+262
-105
+260
2
0		-0.71966-0.71756-0.22591
Viking
Rosenborg		25.9%
50.9%		23.2%
+285
+101
+285
-110
0
1		-0.72528-0.69563-0.67611
Sarpsborg 08
Rosenborg		16.1%
62.6%		21.3%
+500
-195
+425
-190
3
2		-1.81523-1.70672-1.82909
Haugesund
Sandefjord		40.2%
33.1%		26.7%
+237
+105
+235
+100
2
2		-1.43902-1.43368-1.31957
Bodo/Glimt
Strømsgodset		85.0%
5.8%		9.2%
-150
+310
-150
+305
4
2		-0.55379-0.56056-0.16275
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.