Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Strømsgodset
Sarpsborg 08		27.0%
47.9%		25.1%
+199
+121
+205
+120
3
1		-1.14416-1.16305-1.30837
Kristiansund
Rosenborg		24.7%
51.8%		23.4%
+425
-170
+440
-185
1
2		-0.50408-0.48031-0.65722
Sandefjord
Haugesund		25.9%
49.3%		24.8%
+222
+120
+215
+120
1
2		-0.83649-0.83704-0.70698
Brann
Kristiansund		24.4%
51.7%		23.9%
-235
+625
-225
+575
2
2		-1.64000-1.60784-1.43292
Haugesund
Strømsgodset		43.9%
31.0%		25.1%
+287
-105
+320
-120
0
2		-0.71052-0.65514-1.17012
Viking
Sandefjord		51.5%
25.2%		23.2%
+140
+180
+140
+175
3
0		-0.91514-0.92480-0.66306
Sarpsborg 08
Molde		7.7%
78.9%		13.4%
+565
-245
+600
-265
4
2		-1.93926-1.99532-2.56759
Molde
Odd		63.8%
17.2%		19.0%
-142
+370
-150
+360
4
0		-0.56736-0.55956-0.44915
Kristiansund
Haugesund		40.9%
33.2%		26.0%
+320
-111
+290
-110
0
1		-0.67976-0.69589-1.10358
Sandefjord
Brann		27.2%
47.1%		25.7%
+875
-365
+820
-340
1
2		-0.28978-0.30749-0.75235
Viking
Strømsgodset		55.5%
23.1%		21.5%
+190
+135
+200
+125
1
0		-1.10452-1.14907-0.58967
Sarpsborg 08
Sandefjord		35.3%
36.0%		28.6%
+215
+120
+210
+120
1
4		-0.83704-0.83829-1.02057
Bodo/Glimt
Kristiansund		72.1%
12.7%		15.2%
-220
+500
-225
+520
4
2		-0.42298-0.41805-0.32766
Rosenborg
Molde		17.9%
62.1%		20.0%
+480
-190
+480
-200
2
2		-1.59052-1.59810-1.60964
Strømsgodset
Bodo/Glimt		4.2%
88.4%		7.4%
+920
-375
+1000
-400
0
1		-0.28528-0.27279-0.12348
Molde
Sandefjord		77.0%
9.0%		13.9%
-140
+380
-145
+375
1
3		-1.61813-1.60919-2.40417
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.