Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Brann
Strømsgodset 		41.7%
32.4%		25.9%
+130
+195

1.43
1.23		2.66
o2¾-115
u2¾-102

Bodo/Glimt
Molde 		41.5%
35.4%		23.2%
+124
+205

1.69
1.55		3.24
o2¾-120
u3-125

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sarpsborg 08
Rosenborg		16.1%
62.6%		21.3%
+217
+120
+230
+110
3
0		-1.19320-1.24223-1.82909
Haugesund
Molde		8.9%
77.3%		13.8%
+1050
-435
+975
-425
0
1		-0.25399-0.26075-0.25767
Brann
Viking		23.5%
53.7%		22.8%
+135
+183
+125
+175
1
3		-1.06575-1.06227-0.62131
Rosenborg
Stabaek		47.9%
26.8%		25.3%
+150
+204
+155
+180
2
2		-1.18833-1.24493-1.37472
Viking
Sarpsborg 08		46.5%
28.3%		25.1%
+215
+115
+215
+105
3
1		-1.18130-1.19826-0.76475
Molde
Odd		63.8%
17.2%		19.0%
-165
+430
-155
+390
0
1		-1.71064-1.64077-1.76236
Sandefjord
Haugesund		25.9%
49.3%		24.8%
+265
+115
+250
+110
2
3		-0.79401-0.79239-0.70698
Molde
Viking		63.0%
18.0%		19.0%
+120
+204
+125
+190
4
3		-0.82757-0.86204-0.46177
Haugesund
Strømsgodset		43.9%
31.0%		25.1%
+385
-138
+370
-140
2
1		-1.62760-1.59563-0.82403
Odd
Sandefjord		49.9%
26.2%		23.9%
+160
+180
+145
+185
1
4		-1.07790-1.09910-1.33922
Brann
Aalesund		66.9%
14.6%		18.5%
-153
+425
-170
+450
3
1		-0.55205-0.51099-0.40221
Aalesund
Sarpsborg 08		11.6%
71.3%		17.0%
+480
-170
+490
-185
1
3		-0.48756-0.48204-0.33784
Strømsgodset
Odd		17.7%
62.8%		19.5%
+280
+105
+255
+105
1
1		-1.29499-1.31688-1.63342
Sandefjord
Molde		6.5%
82.2%		11.4%
+1329
-502
+1150
-520
0
5		-0.20642-0.22662-0.19645
Rosenborg
Brann		52.4%
23.5%		24.1%
+440
-170
+460
-180
1
3		-0.51691-0.49187-1.44791
Viking
Bodo/Glimt		9.4%
78.2%		12.4%
+582
-230
+560
-250
1
5		-0.39278-0.38621-0.24581
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.