Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 19 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
11/06/2023 06:00 PM	Sandefjord Aalesund	61.1% 18.6%	20.3%	+220 +108 +220 +110	3 0	-1.21164-1.21369	-0.49272
11/05/2023 04:00 PM	Odd Brann	42.6% 31.5%	25.9%	+1600 -720 +1600 -750	1 2	-0.17186-0.17496	-1.15499
11/05/2023 04:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Stabaek	75.8% 10.1%	14.0%	-195 +460 -205 +475	4 0	-0.45672-0.44821	-0.27664
11/05/2023 04:00 PM	Molde Rosenborg	53.0% 24.2%	22.8%	-105 +275 -120 +280	1 3	-1.34719-1.38338	-1.42026
10/29/2023 04:00 PM	Brann Sandefjord	38.2% 34.3%	27.5%	-153 +420 -165 +400	1 1	-1.50562-1.52138	-1.29011
10/29/2023 04:00 PM	Viking Strømsgodset	55.5% 23.1%	21.5%	+135 +195 +125 +185	0 1	-1.11252-1.09775	-1.46690
10/29/2023 04:00 PM	Stabaek Sarpsborg 08	37.8% 33.6%	28.7%	+450 -168 +475 -200	2 2	-1.56878-1.60794	-1.24998
10/28/2023 04:00 PM	Aalesund Haugesund	9.8% 75.6%	14.6%	+345 -108 +345 -130	1 6	-0.65909-0.61902	-0.27956
10/22/2023 03:00 PM	Odd Strømsgodset	53.6% 24.0%	22.3%	+316 -105 +260 +110	1 3	-0.70273-0.79308	-1.42637
10/22/2023 03:00 PM	Stabaek Rosenborg	20.3% 57.0%	22.7%	+286 -104 +290 -120	1 1	-1.39554-1.43687	-1.48175
10/22/2023 03:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Aalesund	63.7% 16.1%	20.1%	-110 +255 -130 +300	2 3	-1.30693-1.43557	-1.82356
10/21/2023 04:00 PM	Molde Brann	71.8% 11.7%	16.5%	+213 +137 +180 +135	2 3	-0.88574-0.90599	-2.14575
10/21/2023 01:00 PM	Sandefjord Bodo/Glimt	4.7% 86.8%	8.5%	+2075 -929 +1350 -800	3 4	-0.13474-0.16952	-0.14191
10/08/2023 03:00 PM	Rosenborg Sarpsborg 08	54.1% 21.6%	24.3%	+410 -165 +345 -155	2 5	-0.49431-0.54659	-1.53280
10/08/2023 03:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Molde	41.5% 35.4%	23.2%	+228 +111 +210 +105	3 1	-1.21322-1.18146	-0.88059
10/08/2023 03:00 PM	Strømsgodset Haugesund	23.8% 53.3%	22.9%	+195 +143 +225 +125	0 1	-0.93575-0.85616	-0.62993

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.