Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedBodo/Glimt
Sarpsborg 08 		79.8%
7.8%		12.4%


3.00
0.87		3.87


Rosenborg
Molde 		17.9%
62.1%		20.0%
+250
-111

1.07
2.15		3.22
o3-102
u3-112

Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sandefjord
Aalesund		61.1%
18.6%		20.3%
+220
+108
+220
+110
3
0		-1.21164-1.21369-0.49272
Odd
Brann		42.6%
31.5%		25.9%
+1600
-720
+1600
-750
1
2		-0.17186-0.17496-1.15499
Bodo/Glimt
Stabaek		75.8%
10.1%		14.0%
-195
+460
-205
+475
4
0		-0.45672-0.44821-0.27664
Molde
Rosenborg		53.0%
24.2%		22.8%
-105
+275
-120
+280
1
3		-1.34719-1.38338-1.42026
Brann
Sandefjord		38.2%
34.3%		27.5%
-153
+420
-165
+400
1
1		-1.50562-1.52138-1.29011
Viking
Strømsgodset		55.5%
23.1%		21.5%
+135
+195
+125
+185
0
1		-1.11252-1.09775-1.46690
Stabaek
Sarpsborg 08		37.8%
33.6%		28.7%
+450
-168
+475
-200
2
2		-1.56878-1.60794-1.24998
Aalesund
Haugesund		9.8%
75.6%		14.6%
+345
-108
+345
-130
1
6		-0.65909-0.61902-0.27956
Odd
Strømsgodset		53.6%
24.0%		22.3%
+316
-105
+260
+110
1
3		-0.70273-0.79308-1.42637
Stabaek
Rosenborg		20.3%
57.0%		22.7%
+286
-104
+290
-120
1
1		-1.39554-1.43687-1.48175
Sarpsborg 08
Aalesund		63.7%
16.1%		20.1%
-110
+255
-130
+300
2
3		-1.30693-1.43557-1.82356
Molde
Brann		71.8%
11.7%		16.5%
+213
+137
+180
+135
2
3		-0.88574-0.90599-2.14575
Sandefjord
Bodo/Glimt		4.7%
86.8%		8.5%
+2075
-929
+1350
-800
3
4		-0.13474-0.16952-0.14191
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08		54.1%
21.6%		24.3%
+410
-165
+345
-155
2
5		-0.49431-0.54659-1.53280
Bodo/Glimt
Molde		41.5%
35.4%		23.2%
+228
+111
+210
+105
3
1		-1.21322-1.18146-0.88059
Strømsgodset
Haugesund		23.8%
53.3%		22.9%
+195
+143
+225
+125
0
1		-0.93575-0.85616-0.62993
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.