Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Sarpsborg 08
Strømsgodset 		38.8%
34.3%		27.0%
+240
+100
+245
-105
1.30
1.20		2.50
o3¼-102
u3¼-115

Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Odd
Viking		32.3%
43.4%		24.3%
+277
-111
+240
-105
1
1		-1.46772-1.46003-1.41527
Sandefjord
Molde		6.5%
82.2%		11.4%
+983
-390
+975
-425
1
2		-0.25228-0.26075-0.19645
Viking
Bodo/Glimt		9.4%
78.2%		12.4%
+1231
-466
+1150
-460
4
5		-0.22570-0.24510-0.24581
Strømsgodset
Odd		17.7%
62.8%		19.5%
+290
-115
+280
-120
1
5		-0.65745-0.65732-0.46566
Kristiansund
Sarpsborg 08		44.6%
29.2%		26.2%
+270
-107
+260
-110
2
2		-1.46003-1.43658-1.34037
Rosenborg
Molde		17.9%
62.1%		20.0%
+305
-118
+285
-120
1
2		-0.63978-0.65693-0.47594
Kristiansund
Bodo/Glimt		8.9%
78.7%		12.4%
+1383
-565
+1300
-625
0
5		-0.18978-0.19830-0.23984
Sandefjord
Aalesund		61.1%
18.6%		20.3%
+330
-121
+330
-130
0
1		-0.62319-0.62023-1.68352
Sarpsborg 08
Viking		21.5%
55.8%		22.7%
+231
+113
+240
+100
1
0		-1.22142-1.27307-1.53582
Haugesund
Kristiansund		25.8%
50.1%		24.0%
+213
+130
+195
+125
1
0		-1.15830-1.13069-1.35301
Strømsgodset
Rosenborg		12.3%
71.0%		16.7%
+821
-311
+725
-300
0
3		-0.31297-0.33626-0.34183
Sandefjord
Bodo/Glimt		4.7%
86.8%		8.5%
+1787
-707
+1625
-800
1
4		-0.15168-0.16858-0.14191
Kristiansund
Odd		33.1%
41.8%		25.1%
+307
-106
+235
+105
1
1		-1.39647-1.38330-1.38186
Haugesund
Sarpsborg 08		35.6%
35.8%		28.7%
+334
-116
+310
-120
0
4		-0.63535-0.65406-1.02845
Rosenborg
Kristiansund		42.5%
32.0%		25.5%
-115
+290
-135
+310
4
4		-1.48219-1.49919-1.36626
Viking
Aalesund		77.7%
9.1%		13.1%
+184
+150
+155
+155
1
2		-0.94204-0.98248-2.39196
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.