Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Brann
Strømsgodset 		41.7%
32.4%		25.9%
+130
+195

1.43
1.23		2.66
o2¾-115
u2¾-102

Bodo/Glimt
Molde 		41.5%
35.4%		23.2%
+124
+205

1.69
1.55		3.24
o2¾-120
u3-125

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rosenborg
Odd		42.4%
32.1%		25.4%
+156
+185
+165
+160
0
0		-1.28374-1.28888-1.36995
Aalesund
Sandefjord		13.4%
69.3%		17.3%
+235
+148
+230
+130
0
4		-0.93849-0.88201-0.36670
Stabaek
Molde		9.8%
75.2%		15.0%
+690
-235
+655
-280
3
2		-2.09265-2.07139-2.31892
Sarpsborg 08
Haugesund		28.7%
44.2%		27.0%
+170
+166
+160
+170
0
0		-1.30067-1.26107-1.30796
Brann
Bodo/Glimt		6.1%
83.7%		10.2%
+295
-110
+295
-120
2
2		-1.42416-1.42420-2.28063
Haugesund
Stabaek		30.4%
43.1%		26.5%
+324
+101
+285
+105
0
3		-0.72357-0.76718-0.84262
Odd
Sarpsborg 08		44.8%
29.2%		26.0%
+333
-123
+310
-125
0
0		-1.42774-1.43460-1.34531
Sandefjord
Rosenborg		13.8%
67.5%		18.7%
+745
-255
+695
-275
1
1		-1.65344-1.70666-1.67756
Bodo/Glimt
Aalesund		92.2%
2.6%		5.1%
-172
+545
-215
+550
3
0		-0.48349-0.43431-0.08077
Aalesund
Strømsgodset		14.8%
67.7%		17.4%
+263
+110
+260
+105
0
1		-0.77864-0.76787-0.38970
Brann
Odd		24.4%
51.9%		23.7%
-135
+381
-135
+340
0
2		-1.58983-1.53206-0.65606
Rosenborg
Molde		17.9%
62.1%		20.0%
+627
-225
+600
-230
1
1		-1.64688-1.60724-1.60964
Stabaek
Bodo/Glimt		7.2%
81.5%		11.4%
+882
-325
+900
-375
0
4		-0.29672-0.28467-0.20512
Haugesund
Brann		33.9%
38.7%		27.4%
+675
-260
+700
-270
0
3		-0.37352-0.36464-0.94887
Odd
Stabaek		38.2%
35.1%		26.6%
+293
+110
+255
+110
0
0		-1.26072-1.27447-1.32276
Bodo/Glimt
Sarpsborg 08		79.8%
7.8%		12.4%
-100
+262
-105
+260
2
0		-0.71966-0.71756-0.22591
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.