Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 19 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/07/2023 04:00 PM	Viking Odd	34.5% 40.7%	24.8%	+105 +262 -105 +260	1 1	-1.37350-1.39659	-1.39497
10/01/2023 05:15 PM	Strømsgodset Bodo/Glimt	4.2% 88.4%	7.4%	+1200 -536 +1175 -575	0 2	-0.21186-0.21055	-0.12348
10/01/2023 03:00 PM	Viking Molde	12.8% 71.2%	16.0%	+300 -121 +300 -125	0 4	-0.63200-0.63605	-0.34032
09/24/2023 03:00 PM	Sandefjord Viking	18.8% 60.7%	20.5%	+840 -335 +775 -360	3 4	-0.29343-0.29463	-0.49877
09/24/2023 03:00 PM	Molde Strømsgodset	79.7% 8.0%	12.4%	-150 +410 -150 +375	1 1	-1.49580-1.48259	-2.09119
09/24/2023 03:00 PM	Haugesund Odd	25.8% 50.3%	23.9%	+284 +104 +280 -105	1 1	-1.29259-1.34289	-1.43217
09/23/2023 04:00 PM	Stabaek Aalesund	70.6% 12.4%	17.0%	+203 +132 +190 +135	1 1	-1.31901-1.31770	-1.77384
09/17/2023 03:00 PM	Brann Stabaek	28.9% 44.5%	26.6%	-119 +300 -125 +295	1 0	-0.65853-0.63626	-1.24209
09/17/2023 03:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Rosenborg	62.2% 18.7%	19.0%	-140 +340 -135 +315	1 1	-1.50986-1.48722	-1.65889
09/16/2023 04:00 PM	Strømsgodset Sandefjord	30.6% 44.4%	25.0%	+193 +132 +180 +130	0 2	-0.89048-0.88329	-0.81168
09/16/2023 04:00 PM	Odd Molde	12.3% 71.7%	16.0%	+800 -272 +750 -335	1 4	-0.31667-0.31162	-0.33216
09/16/2023 04:00 PM	Viking Haugesund	42.7% 32.2%	25.1%	-115 +349 -140 +340	2 0	-0.62312-0.58927	-0.85067
09/03/2023 03:00 PM	Molde Haugesund	70.8% 12.5%	16.8%	-160 +415 -165 +410	2 1	-0.52677-0.52379	-0.34564
09/03/2023 03:00 PM	Stabaek Strømsgodset	46.2% 28.8%	25.0%	+275 +105 +265 +105	1 2	-0.75724-0.76819	-1.24625
09/03/2023 03:00 PM	Sandefjord Odd	19.6% 59.1%	21.3%	+265 +100 +270 -105	2 3	-0.72960-0.71701	-0.52628
09/03/2023 03:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Brann	30.0% 42.2%	27.8%	+400 -165 +380 -175	0 1	-0.50221-0.50162	-0.86199

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.