Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sarpsborg 08
Strømsgodset 		38.8%
34.3%		27.0%
+240
+100
+245
-105
1.30
1.20		2.50
o3¼-108
u3¼-109

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Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Odd
Haugesund		41.0%
33.1%		25.8%
+316
-105
+280
-105
2
2		-1.34278-1.33272-1.35286
Sarpsborg 08
Sandefjord		35.3%
36.0%		28.6%
-103
+274
-115
+270
1
1		-1.41079-1.43995-1.25061
Aalesund
Molde		2.6%
91.7%		5.6%
+828
-330
+800
-350
0
3		-0.29425-0.29904-0.08617
Haugesund
Bodo/Glimt		6.5%
83.1%		10.5%
+1150
-410
+1000
-425
1
1		-1.95999-1.95701-2.25847
Kristiansund
Strømsgodset		53.5%
24.1%		22.4%
+285
-110
+300
-125
1
4		-0.67027-0.63605-1.42283
Rosenborg
Haugesund		50.9%
24.9%		24.2%
+121
+230
+115
+220
1
2		-1.21868-1.21345-1.39155
Sarpsborg 08
Aalesund		63.7%
16.1%		20.1%
+238
+120
+210
+120
3
1		-1.23622-1.18123-0.45040
Odd
Sandefjord		49.9%
26.2%		23.9%
+171
+171
+145
+170
3
1		-1.01490-0.94727-0.69581
Viking
Rosenborg		25.9%
50.9%		23.2%
+316
-114
+300
-120
1
4		-0.65078-0.65670-0.67611
Sandefjord
Kristiansund		19.7%
58.7%		21.6%
+355
-129
+390
-155
1
3		-0.59769-0.54666-0.53254
Aalesund
Strømsgodset		14.8%
67.7%		17.4%
+310
-115
+335
-130
2
1		-1.43936-1.52037-1.90784
Molde
Bodo/Glimt		27.2%
51.4%		21.4%
+375
-140
+360
-145
4
1		-1.57654-1.57504-1.30092
Viking
Kristiansund		34.6%
40.5%		24.9%
+141
+195
+135
+195
1
2		-1.10788-1.13082-0.90421
Odd
Aalesund		76.3%
9.7%		14.0%
+288
-102
+260
-105
1
1		-1.35658-1.39659-1.96854
Sarpsborg 08
Molde		7.7%
78.9%		13.4%
+700
-266
+650
-275
1
4		-0.34103-0.35750-0.23705
Strømsgodset
Sandefjord		30.6%
44.4%		25.0%
+100
+260
-105
+255
2
2		-1.42312-1.41005-1.38605
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.