Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sarpsborg 08
Strømsgodset 		38.8%
34.3%		27.0%
+240
+100
+245
-105
1.30
1.20		2.50
o3¼-115
u3¼-105

Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Aalesund
Rosenborg		4.9%
85.8%		9.4%
+640
-240
+650
-250
1
2		-0.37587-0.38687-0.15368
Molde
Haugesund		70.8%
12.5%		16.8%
-107
+300
-120
+305
1
0		-0.66715-0.65375-0.34564
Sarpsborg 08
Odd		22.4%
53.9%		23.7%
+140
+182
+140
+170
0
1		-1.06404-1.04222-0.61776
Haugesund
Aalesund		68.7%
13.7%		17.6%
+250
+110
+245
+110
2
1		-1.30567-1.28880-0.37541
Molde
Kristiansund		63.8%
17.1%		19.1%
-165
+449
-195
+450
3
2		-0.48470-0.46388-0.44904
Sarpsborg 08
Strømsgodset		38.8%
34.3%		27.0%
+195
+125
+200
+115
1
3		-0.83503-0.81579-1.07105
Viking
Sandefjord		51.5%
25.2%		23.2%
-108
+288
-115
+275
2
2		-1.42229-1.43658-1.46059
Odd
Bodo/Glimt		8.9%
78.7%		12.3%
+1172
-400
+950
-415
0
7		-0.22995-0.26713-0.23972
Strømsgodset
Molde		5.7%
84.3%		10.0%
+615
-230
+675
-270
0
3		-0.39155-0.36489-0.17074
Rosenborg
Odd		42.4%
32.1%		25.4%
+129
+225
+120
+215
3
2		-0.84672-0.83704-0.85724
Bodo/Glimt
Aalesund		92.2%
2.6%		5.1%
-126
+355
-130
+340
2
1		-0.60998-0.62146-0.08077
Kristiansund
Sandefjord		49.5%
26.3%		24.2%
+180
+155
+170
+145
0
2		-0.95763-0.94727-1.33724
Odd
Kristiansund		33.3%
41.5%		25.1%
+226
+122
+190
+130
2
2		-1.35124-1.35701-1.38135
Molde
Sandefjord		77.0%
9.0%		13.9%
-163
+425
-160
+370
3
2		-0.50385-0.53466-0.26098
Sarpsborg 08
Haugesund		28.7%
44.2%		27.0%
+152
+176
+145
+170
1
3		-1.03866-1.04441-0.81624
Rosenborg
Aalesund		81.8%
6.7%		11.5%
+150
+194
+140
+190
0
0		-1.29869-1.28844-2.15978
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.