Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 19 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
08/27/2023 05:15 PM	Aalesund Rosenborg	4.9% 85.8%	9.4%	+650 -260 +610 -250	0 4	-0.37395-0.38641	-0.15368
08/27/2023 03:00 PM	Haugesund Sandefjord	40.2% 33.1%	26.7%	+245 +115 +230 +115	0 0	-1.29678-1.31557	-1.31957
08/20/2023 03:00 PM	Stabaek Viking	26.8% 49.1%	24.0%	+625 -235 +590 -250	0 1	-0.38943-0.38497	-0.71052
08/20/2023 03:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Haugesund	77.9% 9.1%	13.0%	-205 +490 -200 +500	3 1	-0.44605-0.45495	-0.24950
08/20/2023 03:00 PM	Aalesund Brann	10.5% 74.1%	15.4%	+975 -435 +775 -375	1 5	-0.25001-0.28700	-0.30005
08/19/2023 04:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Odd	22.4% 53.9%	23.7%	+145 +165 +145 +165	3 0	-0.93100-0.94698	-1.49669
08/12/2023 04:00 PM	Strømsgodset Sarpsborg 08	27.0% 47.9%	25.1%	+500 -220 +465 -200	2 1	-1.83540-1.78029	-1.30837
08/12/2023 02:00 PM	Molde Sandefjord	77.0% 9.0%	13.9%	-180 +455 -185 +430	2 2	-1.55704-1.58841	-1.97113
08/06/2023 05:15 PM	Bodo/Glimt Viking	71.4% 13.4%	15.3%	+130 +171 +130 +175	2 3	-1.03266-1.06189	-2.01276
08/06/2023 03:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Sandefjord	35.3% 36.0%	28.6%	-126 +310 -145 +330	1 5	-1.45530-1.50900	-1.02057
08/06/2023 03:00 PM	Stabaek Odd	27.8% 47.4%	24.9%	+185 +165 +165 +165	0 4	-1.01924-1.02641	-0.74758
08/06/2023 03:00 PM	Rosenborg Haugesund	50.9% 24.9%	24.2%	+185 +150 +160 +165	2 1	-1.09133-1.00605	-0.67544
07/30/2023 03:00 PM	Haugesund Sarpsborg 08	35.6% 35.8%	28.7%	+590 -250 +575 -240	1 2	-0.38497-0.39720	-1.02845
07/30/2023 03:00 PM	Odd Rosenborg	24.8% 51.8%	23.3%	+440 -150 +410 -150	2 3	-0.55158-0.56198	-0.65772
07/30/2023 03:00 PM	Viking Brann	44.3% 30.6%	25.0%	+275 -120 +245 -110	2 0	-1.36806-1.28884	-0.81344
07/30/2023 03:00 PM	Strømsgodset Aalesund	59.1% 20.5%	20.4%	+199 +130 +205 +125	0 1	-0.87306-0.85982	-1.58246

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.